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Science for Grades 4 and 8: Trends Over Three Time Points

Content Subscales

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Table 31a. Change in average science content domain scores of 4th-grade students, by education system: 2007-2015 and 2011-2015
Education system Average content domain score Change in average content domain score1
2007 2011 2015 Score difference: 2007 to 2015 Score difference: 2011 to 2015
Life science Physical science Earth science Life science Physical science Earth science Life science Physical science Earth science Life science Physical science Earth science Life science Physical science Earth science

higher icon Average score is higher than U.S. average score at the .05 level of statistical significance.

lower icon Average score is lower than U.S. average score at the .05 level of statistical significance.

― Not available.

# Rounds to zero.

*p<.05. Change in average scores is significant at the .05 level of statistical significance.

1 The change in average score is calculated by subtracting the 2007 or 2011 estimate, respectively, from the 2015 estimate using unrounded numbers.

2 National Defined Population covers 90 to 95 percent of the National Target Population in 2015.

3 Met guidelines for sample participation rates only after replacement schools were included in 2015.

4 National Defined Population covers less than 90 percent of the National Target Population (but at least 77 percent) in 2015.

5 Nearly satisfied guidelines for sample participation rates after replacement schools were included in 2015.

6 The number in parentheses indicates years of school not grade in schooling.

7 National Target Population does not include all of the International Target Population in 2015.

8 Reservations about reliability because the percentage of students with achievement too low for estimation exceeds 15 percent but does not exceed 25 percent in 2015.

9 Did not satisfy guidelines for sample participation rates in 2015.

NOTE: Education systems are ordered by 2015 average score in life science. Education systems that are not countries are designated by the appended three-letter international abbreviation for their country. Participants that did not administer TIMSS at the target grade are not shown; see the international report for their results. For cross-education system trend tables, data are shown for the first available and most recent year; 1995 is the first year for the overall science scale and benchmark data and 2007 is the first year for the content and cognitive subscales. Participants that only participated in one of the three time points are also excluded. U.S. state data are based on public school students only. Standard error is abbreviated as s.e. For TIMSS 2015, Norway revised its assessed population to students in their 5th and 9th years of schooling to obtain better comparisons with Sweden and Finland. However, in previous TIMSS cycles Norway assessed students in their 4th and 8th years of schooling, which were defined as 4th and 8th grades but have been redefined as 3rd and 7th grades because year 1 in Norway is now considered the equivalent of a year of kindergarten. To maintain trend with previous TIMSS cycles, in 2015 Norway also collected data from students in their 4th and 8th years of schooling, which is used in trend tables. Jordan did not participate in the science assessment at the 4th grade. Trend results for Kuwait do not include private schools. Trend results for Lithuania do not include students taught in Polish or in Russian.

  For 2007, Georgia and Lithuania had a National Target Population that did not include all of the International Target Population; the United States, Ontario-CAN, and Quebec-CAN had a National Defined Population that covered 90-95 percent of the National Target Population; Denmark and the United States met guidelines for sample participation only after replacement schools were included; the Netherlands and Dubai-UAE nearly satisfied guidelines for sample participation rates after replacement schools were included; and Dubai-UAE tested the same cohort of students as other education systems, but later in the assessment year at the beginning of the next school year.

  For 2011, Georgia, Kuwait, Lithuania, and Florida-USA had a National Target Population that did not include all of the International Target Population; Croatia, Denmark, Hong Kong-CHN, Kazakhstan, Lithuania, Qatar, Serbia, Singapore, and the United States had a National Defined Population that covered 90-95 percent of the National Target Population; Florida-USA had a National Defined Population that covered less than 90 percent of the National Target Population (but at least 77 percent); the Netherlands and Northern Ireland-GBR met guidelines for sample participation rates only after replacement schools were included; and Norway (4) nearly satisfied guidelines for sample participation rates after replacement schools were included. In Kuwait in 2011, there were reservations about reliability because the percentage of students with achievement too low for estimation exceeded 15 percent but did not exceed 25 percent; in Morocco there were reservations about reliability because the percentage of students with achievement too low for estimation exceeded 25 percent.

  The standard errors for the estimates shown in this table are in table 31b available at http://nces.ed.gov/timss/timss2015/timss2015_table31b.asp.

SOURCE: International Association for the Evaluation of Educational Achievement (IEA), Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS), 2007, 2011, and 2015.

Singapore2 595 higher 597 higher 565 higher 597 higher 598 higher 541 607 higher 603 higher 546 12 6 -18 * 9 5 5
Korea, Republic of 571 higher 597 higher 603 higher 581 higher 597 higher 591 higher 11 * 1 -12 *
Russian Federation 545 552 higher 541 556 higher 548 552 higher 569 higher 567 higher 562 higher 24 * 15 * 21 * 13 * 19 * 10
Japan 536 lower 571 higher 532 540 lower 589 higher 551 higher 556 587 higher 563 higher 20 * 16 * 31 * 16 * -2 12 *
Finland 574 higher 568 higher 566 higher 556 547 higher 560 higher -18 * -21 * -5
United States2, 3 544 535 537 547 544 539 555 537 539 12 * 3 2 8 * -6 #
Hong Kong-CHN3 540 562 higher 568 higher 524 lower 539 548 higher 550 555 higher 574 higher 10 -7 6 26 * 16 * 26 *
Hungary 553 higher 529 517 lower 552 520 lower 524 lower 550 534 535 -2 5 18 * -1 13 * 11
Kazakhstan 500 lower 486 lower 491 lower 545 lower 559 higher 542 45 * 73 * 51 *
Slovenia 511 lower 528 516 lower 524 lower 524 lower 506 lower 545 lower 546 higher 531 34 * 18 * 15 * 21 * 23 * 25 *
Chinese Taipei-CHN 547 564 higher 563 higher 538 lower 569 higher 553 higher 545 lower 568 higher 555 higher -2 5 -8 * 7 * # 3
Sweden2 532 lower 509 lower 539 534 lower 528 lower 538 540 lower 534 552 higher 8 26 * 13 * 6 6 13 *
Czech Republic 522 lower 509 lower 514 lower 550 519 lower 537 538 lower 531 531 lower 16 * 22 * 18 * -12 * 11 * -6
England-GBR 536 546 higher 542 530 lower 535 lower 522 lower 536 lower 540 527 lower # -6 -14 * 6 5 5
Denmark2, 3 527 lower 502 lower 519 lower 530 lower 526 lower 527 lower 534 lower 516 lower 531 lower 7 14 * 12 * 4 -10 * 4
Australia 529 lower 521 lower 536 516 lower 514 lower 520 lower 531 lower 516 lower 520 lower 2 -5 -16 * 15 * 2 #
Serbia4 518 lower 523 lower 497 lower 531 lower 529 496 lower 13 * 6 -1
Croatia 525 lower 502 lower 521 lower 531 lower 535 535 6 33 * 14 *
Ireland 513 lower 517 lower 520 lower 531 lower 524 lower 535 18 * 7 15 *
Lithuania2 518 lower 511 lower 508 lower 520 lower 514 lower 501 lower 529 lower 538 517 lower 11 * 26 * 9 9 * 24 * 17 *
Germany 531 lower 527 524 lower 525 lower 535 lower 520 lower 528 lower 532 519 lower -3 6 -5 3 -3 -1
Netherlands3 539 503 lower 524 lower 537 lower 526 lower 525 lower 525 lower 504 lower 520 lower -14 * # -4 -11 * -22 * -5
Spain2 513 lower 497 lower 499 lower 523 lower 507 lower 520 lower 10 * 10 * 21 *
Northern Ireland-GBR5 519 lower 520 lower 507 lower 521 lower 514 lower 522 lower 3 -6 15 *
Italy2 555 higher 520 lower 527 lower 535 lower 509 lower 523 lower 519 lower 513 lower 510 lower -36 * -7 -16 * -16 * 4 -13 *
Slovak Republic 535 512 lower 532 534 lower 527 lower 535 517 lower 526 lower 514 lower -18 * 14 * -18 * -16 * -2 -22 *
Belgium (Flemish)-BEL3 510 lower 507 lower 505 lower 513 lower 506 lower 513 lower 3 -1 8
New Zealand 506 lower 494 lower 513 lower 497 lower 493 lower 499 lower 511 lower 497 lower 506 lower 5 3 -7 14 * 4 7
Portugal2 520 lower 517 lower 531 508 lower 502 lower 513 lower -13 * -15 * -18 *
Norway (4)6 482 lower 461 lower 490 lower 496 lower 482 lower 506 lower 502 lower 475 lower 498 lower 20 * 14 * 8 6 -8 -8
Chile 490 lower 471 lower 475 lower 487 lower 466 lower 465 lower -2 -5 -10 *
Turkey 460 lower 466 lower 456 lower 472 lower 496 lower 480 lower 12 * 29 * 24 *
Georgia7 421 lower 403 lower 416 lower 461 lower 440 lower 458 lower 459 lower 438 lower 441 lower 37 * 35 * 25 * -2 -2 -17 *
Bahrain2 444 lower 453 lower 445 lower 455 lower 465 lower 448 lower 11 * 12 * 3
United Arab Emirates 420 lower 429 lower 435 lower 449 lower 453 lower 448 lower 29 * 25 * 13 *
Qatar 383 lower 397 lower 401 lower 436 lower 435 lower 427 lower 53 * 39 * 26 *
Oman 370 lower 370 lower 371 lower 426 lower 435 lower 423 lower 56 * 65 * 53 *
Iran, Islamic Rep. of 437 lower 440 lower 416 lower 449 lower 453 lower 457 lower 417 lower 423 lower 408 lower -20 * -16 * -8 -31 * -30 * -49 *
Saudi Arabia 415 lower 439 lower 432 lower 382 lower 390 lower 395 lower -33 * -49 * -37 *
Morocco8 245 lower 256 lower 208 lower 350 lower 357 lower 289 lower 106 * 101 * 81 *
Kuwait8 323 lower 348 lower 352 lower 310 lower 303 lower 312 lower -12 -46 * -40 *
Benchmarking participants
Florida-USA7 549 542 537 558 542 539 9 -1 2
Ontario-CAN 539 535 533 535 lower 528 lower 514 lower 544 lower 522 lower 515 lower 5 -13 * -18 * 9 * -6 1
Quebec-CAN9 524 lower 509 lower 522 lower 524 lower 507 lower 516 lower 533 lower 519 lower 515 lower 9 10 -7 9 12 * -1
Dubai-UAE 456 lower 456 lower 461 lower 455 lower 460 lower 469 lower 518 lower 521 lower 510 lower 62 * 64 * 49 * 62 * 61 * 41 *
Abu Dhabi-UAE2 403 lower 415 lower 418 lower 413 lower 413 lower 408 lower 10 -2 -10