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Title:  Demographic Changes and Literacy Development in a Decade
Description: This paper considers several interrelated topics: (1) anticipated demographic changes in the U.S. adult population age 16 and over in the decade between the National Adult Literacy Survey (NALS) of 1992 and the National Assessment of Adult Literacy (NAAL) scheduled for 2002; (2) implications of these demographic changes for interpreting changes observed over the intervening decade in national and state adult literacy proficiency profiles; and (3) implications of anticipated demographic changes for the NAAL methodology, including the content of the background questionnaire, the sampling design, and other survey and assessment procedures. A demographic model of adult literacy proficiency will be described that links changes in literacy proficiency to compositional and maturational changes in the adult population. The model is used both to project future changes in the adult populationís literacy as well as to disaggregate observed past changes in literacy proficiency into compositional and maturational components.
Online Availability:
Cover Date: March 2000
Web Release: March 30, 2000
Print Release:
Publication #: NCES 200009
General Ordering Information
Center/Program: NCES
Type of Product: Working Paper
  Working Papers provide preliminary analysis of substantive, technical, and methodological issues. They are works in progress that are presented to promote the sharing of valuable work experience and knowledge. These papers have not undergone a rigorous review for consistency with NCES standards.
Survey/Program Areas: National Assessments of Adult Literacy (NAAL)
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