Table A1.11-Number of years, projection methods, and smoothing constants used to project public school enrollments and high school graduates, by state
|
Projected state variable |
Number
of years
(1970-1999) |
Projection method | Smoothing constant | Choice of smoothing constant |
Grade progression rates | 30 | Single exponential smoothing | 0.4 | Empirical research |
Graduates/grade 12 enrollment | 30 | Single exponential smoothing | 0.4 | Empirical research |
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, State Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, and State Public High School Graduates Model. (This table was prepared June 2001.)
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