Table
A1.2.-Equations for full-time and part-time college enrollment rates of
men |
Independent
variable |
Coefficient
|
Standard
error |
T-statistic
|
R2
|
F-statistic |
Full-time
|
Constant
|
-5.05
|
0.17
|
-29.2
|
0.99
|
880.1 |
Dummy18
|
2.58
|
0.11
|
24.1
|
|
|
Dummy19
|
2.72
|
0.11
|
25.4
|
|
|
Dummy20
|
2.55
|
0.12
|
21.0
|
|
|
Dummy21
|
2.43
|
0.11
|
21.3
|
|
|
Dummy22
|
1.95
|
0.14
|
13.5
|
|
|
Dummy23
|
1.54
|
0.13
|
11.8
|
|
|
Dummy24
|
1.21
|
0.15
|
8.2
|
|
|
Dummy25-29
|
0.40
|
0.14
|
2.8
|
|
|
Dummy30-34
|
-0.61
|
0.11
|
-5.3
|
|
|
Dummy35-44
|
-1.33
|
0.16
|
-8.2
|
|
|
LNURM
|
0.07
|
0.03
|
2.1
|
|
|
LNCPIMA
|
0.32
|
0.03
|
11.6
|
|
|
Rho17
|
0.43
|
0.19
|
2.3
|
|
|
Rho18
|
0.57
|
0.17
|
3.3
|
|
|
Rho19
|
0.32
|
0.20
|
1.6
|
|
|
Rho20
|
0.48
|
0.20
|
2.4
|
|
|
Rho21
|
0.33
|
0.19
|
1.7
|
|
|
Rho22
|
0.63
|
0.16
|
4.0
|
|
|
Rho23
|
0.39
|
0.21
|
1.9
|
|
|
Rho24
|
0.72
|
0.14
|
5.1
|
|
|
Rho25-29
|
0.64
|
0.13
|
5.0
|
|
|
Rho30-34
|
0.40
|
0.13
|
3.2
|
|
|
Rho35-44
|
0.69
|
0.11
|
6.1
|
|
|
Part-time
|
Constant
|
-6.11
|
0.21
|
-29.4
|
0.92
|
126.5 |
Dummy18
|
2.34
|
0.08
|
28.0
|
|
|
Dummy19
|
2.73
|
0.24
|
11.2
|
|
|
Dummy20
|
2.67
|
0.08
|
35.5
|
|
|
Dummy21
|
2.61
|
0.11
|
24.4
|
|
|
Dummy22
|
2.76
|
0.09
|
31.3
|
|
|
Dummy23
|
2.43
|
0.09
|
28.1
|
|
|
Dummy24
|
2.17
|
0.10
|
22.7
|
|
|
Dummy25-29
|
2.19
|
0.11
|
20.6
|
|
|
Dummy30-34
|
1.76
|
0.15
|
11.5
|
|
|
Dummy35-44
|
1.67
|
0.09
|
19.1
|
|
|
LNCPIMA
|
0.20
|
0.04
|
5.6
|
|
|
Rho17
|
-0.38
|
0.21
|
-1.8
|
|
|
Rho18
|
0.16
|
0.21
|
0.8
|
|
|
Rho19
|
0.85
|
0.14
|
5.9
|
|
|
Rho20
|
0.33
|
0.20
|
1.7
|
|
|
Rho21
|
0.64
|
0.17
|
3.7
|
|
|
Rho22
|
0.34
|
0.26
|
1.3
|
|
|
Rho23
|
-0.08
|
0.20
|
-0.4
|
|
|
Rho24
|
0.33
|
0.20
|
1.7
|
|
|
Rho25-29
|
0.67
|
0.12
|
5.4
|
|
|
Rho30-34
|
0.80
|
0.10
|
8.0
|
|
|
Rho35-44
|
0.59
|
0.11
|
5.5
|
|
|
R2
= Coefficient of determination.
F-Statistic = Obtained statistic for the F value.
Where:
Dummy(age) = 1 for each age and 0 otherwise.
Rho(age) = Autocorrelation coefficient for each age.
LNURM = Log unemployment rate.
LNCPIMA = Log of four-period weighted average of per capita real disposable
income.
NOTE: The regression method used to estimate the full-time and part-time
equations was pooled least squares with first-order autocorrelation correction.
The time period used to estimate the equations is from 1975 to 1999. The
number of observations is 275. For additional information, see The
Modern Forecaster by Hans Levenbach and James P. Cleary (Van Nostrand
Reinhold Company Inc., New York, 1984, pp. 354-373).
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics,
Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model.
(This table was prepared May 2001.) |
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