Table 25.-Percent change in number of public high school graduates, by region and state, with projections: 1992-93 to 2010-11
| Region and state | Actual | Projected |
1992-93 to 1998-99 | 1998-99 to 2005-06 | 2005-06 to 2010-11 | 1998-99 to 2010-11 |
United States | 11.4 | 6.1 | 4.7 | 11.1 |
Northeast | 5.6 | 9.2 | 1.4 | 10.8 |
Connecticut | 5.5 | 19.6 | 4.5 | 25.1 |
Maine | -0.1 | 2.6 | -11.0 | -8.6 |
Massachusetts | 6.5 | 15.5 | 1.7 | 17.5 |
New Hampshire | 11.8 | 17.9 | -5.0 | 12.0 |
New Jersey | 0.4 | 14.0 | 8.5 | 23.8 |
New York | 4.9 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 8.1 |
Pennsylvania | 8.6 | 5.5 | -2.5 | 2.8 |
Rhode Island | 7.1 | 10.6 | -0.8 | 9.8 |
Vermont | 25.0 | 3.4 | -12.0 | -9.1 |
Midwest | 9.6 | 0.5 | 1.7 | 2.2 |
Illinois | 8.6 | 7.4 | 10.2 | 18.3 |
Indiana | 2.3 | -4.3 | 7.2 | 2.7 |
Iowa | 12.1 | -5.1 | 1.4 | -3.8 |
Kansas | 16.0 | 0.3 | -3.3 | -3.0 |
Michigan | 10.3 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 2.7 |
Minnesota | 18.7 | 0.1 | -1.0 | -0.9 |
Missouri | 12.1 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 4.2 |
Nebraska | 17.0 | -5.8 | -4.5 | -10.1 |
North Dakota | 14.7 | -10.3 | -12.9 | -21.9 |
Ohio | 1.8 | -2.0 | 0.0 | -2.0 |
South Dakota | 10.1 | -10.6 | -13.9 | -23.0 |
Wisconsin | 16.6 | 1.7 | -4.5 | -2.9 |
South | 10.7 | 6.2 | 5.8 | 12.4 |
Alabama | 0.7 | -4.3 | 1.1 | -3.2 |
Arkansas | 4.8 | -4.0 | -0.7 | -4.7 |
Delaware | 18.1 | -2.1 | 9.1 | 6.9 |
District of Columbia | -14.7 | 0.2 | 18.3 | 18.5 |
Florida | 14.5 | 17.7 | 8.3 | 27.5 |
Georgia | 2.8 | 14.8 | 11.2 | 27.6 |
Kentucky | 2.2 | -4.0 | -1.5 | -5.5 |
Louisiana | 12.2 | -7.1 | -2.0 | -9.0 |
Maryland | 16.9 | 15.0 | 1.6 | 16.9 |
Mississippi | 2.5 | -7.5 | 6.1 | -1.9 |
North Carolina | -0.6 | 14.2 | 12.4 | 28.4 |
Oklahoma | 19.7 | -4.1 | -3.5 | -7.5 |
South Carolina | 0.6 | -2.3 | 1.7 | -0.7 |
Tennessee | -7.6 | 10.2 | 5.5 | 16.3 |
Texas | 26.7 | 6.8 | 7.7 | 15.0 |
Virginia | 12.2 | 8.8 | 7.7 | 17.2 |
West Virginia | -1.7 | -14.4 | -4.7 | -18.4 |
West | 19.9 | 9.9 | 8.7 | 19.5 |
Alaska | 23.0 | 10.0 | -1.6 | 8.2 |
Arizona | 12.5 | 19.1 | 17.8 | 40.3 |
California | 20.0 | 13.5 | 10.8 | 25.8 |
Colorado | 16.1 | 12.6 | 7.8 | 21.4 |
Hawaii | 9.7 | 0.0 | -4.4 | -4.5 |
Idaho | 21.1 | -1.6 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
Montana | 16.4 | -5.5 | -11.3 | -16.2 |
Nevada | 53.6 | 32.5 | 31.8 | 74.6 |
New Mexico | 14.1 | -3.5 | -0.8 | -4.3 |
Oregon | 7.4 | 6.4 | -0.4 | 5.9 |
Utah | 30.5 | -8.6 | 4.4 | -4.6 |
Washington | 28.6 | 4.5 | 3.6 | 8.2 |
Wyoming | 2.8 | -13.0 | -15.6 | -26.6 |
NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data surveys and State Public High School Graduates Model. (This table was prepared May 2001.)
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