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Education Statistics Quarterly
Vol 4, Issue 2, Topic: Elementary and Secondary Education
Public High School Dropouts and Completers From the Common Core of Data: School Years 1991-92 Through 1997-98
By: Beth Aronstamm Young and Lee Hoffman
 
This article was originally published as the Executive Summary of the Statistical Analysis Report of the same name. The universe data are from the NCES Common Core of Data (CCD).
 
 

Introduction

The National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) began collecting the counts of public school dropouts through the Common Core of Data (CCD) with the 1991-92 school year. A dropout was defined, in simplified terms, as an individual who had been enrolled at any time during the previous school year, was not enrolled at the beginning of the current school year, and had not graduated or transferred to another public or private school.

The CCD is a voluntary collection, and dropout statistics are published for only those states whose dropout counts conform to the CCD definition. Dropout data were reported for 12 states for 1991-92. By 1997-98, this number had increased to 37.

Since 1993, the CCD dropout statistics have been reported in the NCES annual publication Dropout Rates in the United States in conjunction with statistics from the Current Population Survey (CPS). The current report focuses solely on CCD data and introduces a high school 4-year completion rate based upon dropout and completion statistics. The 4-year completion rate is the proportion of students who leave school from the 9th through 12th grades who do so as completers. It is relatively unaffected by net enrollment loss or gain due to population changes or by double-counting students who are retained in a grade during the high school years. Unlike the high school completion rate reported from the CPS, which is based on all 18- to 24-year-olds, the CCD 4-year completion rate is limited to public school data from grades 9 through 12 over 4 years (figure A). The CCD rate thus excludes some persons reported through the CPS who completed high school or who received a GED-based equivalency credential in their twenties, as well as those who graduated from nonpublic schools. It should be stressed that this report does not include all states; the statistics are valid for those states reporting but may not be nationally representative.

Figure A.—Example of how the CCD public high school 4-year completion rate is calculated
Figure A.- Example of how the CCD public high school 4-year completion rate is calculated

SOURCE: Based on the completion-rate equation shown on p. 2 of the complete report from which this article is excerpted.

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Major Findings

Some of the major findings from the analysis of public high school dropout and 4-year completion rate data are the following:

  • Between 1993-94 and 1997-98 (years in which the numbers of reporting states were similar), the high school dropout rates were between 4 percent and 7 percent in almost two-thirds of the reporting states (table A).
  • White and Asian/Pacific Islander students were less likely to drop out than were American Indian/Alaska Native, Black, or Hispanic students. Approximately one-third of all reporting states reported dropout rates of 10 percent or higher for Black students in each year from 1993-94 through 1997-98. Slightly less than one-half of the states had similar dropout rates for Hispanic students in this time period.
  • Students were more likely to drop out of high school in districts that served large or midsize cities than in rural districts for those states reporting. When relatively low dropout rates are examined, 1997-98 data highlight this difference. In that year, the average high school dropout rate was less than 4 percent in rural districts in 16 of 37 reporting states. In contrast, none of the 21 reporting states with large city districts reported a dropout rate of less than 4 percent in large city districts..
  • High school 4-year completion rates were 80 percent or higher in 20 of 33 reporting states in 1997-98 (table B). (This rate does not reflect those receiving a GED-based equivalency credential.)
  • The average 4-year completion rate was less than 60 percent for American Indian/Alaska Native students in nine reporting states, Hispanic students in six reporting states, and Black students in six reporting states in 1997-98 (table C).
  • In every reporting state except Alabama, Maine, and West Virginia, the 4-year completion rate was higher for Asian/Pacific Islander students than for the other minority groups in 1997-98.

Table A.—Dropout rates for grades 9-12, by state: School years 1991-92 through 1997-98
State
1997–98
1996–97
1995–96
1994–95
1993–94
1992–93
1991–92
Alabama1
4.8 5.3 5.6 6.2 5.8
Alaska2
4.6 4.9 5.6
Arizona1
9.4 10.0 10.2 9.6 13.7 10.3 11.0
Arkansas
5.4 5.0 4.1 4.9 5.3 4.8 4.1
California
Colorado
Connecticut
3.5 3.9 4.8 4.9 4.8 4.6
Delaware
4.7 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.2
District of Columbia
12.8 10.6 9.5 10.1 11.5
Florida
Georgia
7.3 8.2 8.5 9.0 8.7
Hawaii
Idaho1
6.7 7.2 8.0 9.2 8.5
Illinois1
6.9 6.6 6.4 6.6 6.8
Indiana
Iowa
2.9 2.9 3.1 3.5 3.2
Kansas
Kentucky
5.2
Louisiana3
11.4 11.6 11.6 3.5 4.7
Maine
3.2 3.2 3.1 3.4 3.1
Maryland1
4.3 4.9 4.8 5.2 5.2
Massachusetts
3.2 3.4 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.5 3.2
Michigan
Minnesota
4.9 5.5 5.2 5.2 5.1
Mississippi
5.8 6.0 6.2 6.4 6.1 5.6 5.3
Missouri
5.2 5.8 6.5 7.0 7.0 6.2 6.2
Montana
4.4 5.1 5.6
Nebraska
4.4 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.6 3.8 3.6
Nevada
10.1 10.2 9.6 10.3 9.8 8.3 7.8
New Hampshire
New Jersey1
3.5 3.7 4.1 4.0 4.3
New Mexico
7.1 7.5 8.3 8.5 8.1 7.8 7.5
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
2.8 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.7 2.3
Ohio2
5.1 5.2 5.4 5.3 4.7
Oklahoma1
5.8 5.9 5.7 5.8 4.6
Oregon
7.0 7.1 7.3 5.8 5.9
Pennsylvania
3.9 3.9 4.0 4.1 3.8 3.7 3.7
Rhode Island
4.9 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.9 4.6 4.8
South Carolina
South Dakota1
3.1 4.5 5.7 5.3 5.3
Tennessee1
5.0 5.1 4.9 5.0 4.8
Texas
Utah
5.2 4.5 4.4 3.5 3.1
Vermont1
5.2 5.0 5.3 4.7 4.8
Virginia1
4.8 4.6 4.7 5.2 4.8
Washington
West Virginia
4.1 4.1 3.8 4.2 3.8
Wisconsin1
2.8 2.7 2.4 2.7 3.1
Wyoming2
6.4 6.2 5.7 6.7 6.5
Outlying areas and DoD Dependents Schools
DoD Dependents Schools
American Samoa
2.0 1.1 0.2 1.4 1.4 0.9 1.8
Guam
16.2 16.7 13.9 13.1 11.3 8.7 6.6
Northern Marianas
13.2 8.6 5.0 5.4 3.2
Puerto Rico2
1.3 1.6 1.5 2.2 2.2 2.5
Virgin Islands
6.8 3.5 2.3 6.0 3.1 6.4 3.7

—Data missing.

1This state reported on an alternative July-June cycle rather than the specified October-September cycle.

2The following states reported data using an alternative calendar in the years indicated: Alaska (1995-96), Ohio (1993-94), Wyoming (1993-94), and Puerto Rico (all years except 1997-98).

3Effective with the 1995-96 school year, Louisiana changed its dropout data collection from school-level aggregate counts reported by districts to an individual, student-record system. The increase in the dropout rate is due in part to the increased ability to track students.

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD): Data File: Local Education Agency (School District) Universe Dropout and Completion Data: School Years 1991-92 Through 1996-97 and Data File: Local Education Agency (School District) Universe Dropout Data: School Year 1997-98. (Originally published as table 2 on p. 22 of the complete report from which this article is excerpted.)

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Table B.—High school completion rates, by state: School years 1994-95 through 1997-98
State
Four-year completion rate1
1997–98
1996–97
1995–96
1994–95
Alabama
78.3 76.8
Alaska
Arizona
65.3 62.5 61.4 62.0
Arkansas
81.2 80.0 80.7 80.4
California
Colorado
 
Connecticut
83.2 81.8 81.4
Delaware
81.9 80.4 81.3
District of Columbia
60.9
Florida
Georgia
68.3 67.6
Hawaii
Idaho
73.2 72.4
Illinois
76.9 76.1
Indiana
Iowa
88.0 87.1
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana2
60.4 60.7
Maine
86.5 86.4
Maryland
80.6 80.4
Massachusetts
85.6 85.8 84.6 85.3
Michigan
Minnesota
80.3
Mississippi
76.0 75.5 75.5 77.9
Missouri
76.9 74.8 74.7 75.3
Montana
Nebraska
83.2 83.0 84.6 84.5
Nevada
64.5 64.4 64.1 64.1
New Hampshire
New Jersey
84.6 85.2
New Mexico
69.0 68.6 68.8 70.0
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
89.5 89.9 90.6
Ohio
79.5 79.4
Oklahoma
78.3 78.6
Oregon
74.2 75.6
Pennsylvania
83.8 84.2 84.2 84.2
Rhode Island
80.9 80.7 81.6 80.8
South Carolina
South Dakota
81.3 81.9
Tennessee
83.5 78.3
Texas
Utah
81.3 83.7
Vermont
81.8 82.0
Virginia
81.1 81.6
Washington
West Virginia
83.9 83.3
Wisconsin
89.8 89.0
Wyoming
77.3 76.8
Outlying areas and DoD Dependents Schools
DoD Dependents Schools
American Samoa
95.9 96.4 94.8 94.4
Guam
54.5 46.5 45.8 64.3
Northern Marianas
71.1
Puerto Rico
91.5 93.4 92.3
Virgin Islands
78.3 78.8 76.6 85.9

—Data missing.

1Includes regular and other diplomas, as well as other completion credentials (e.g., certificates of attendance or other certificates of completion), but does not include high school equivalency credentials (e.g., GEDs).

2Effective with the 1995-96 school year, Louisiana changed its dropout data collection, which increased the number of its dropouts. In calculating the completion rates, 1995-96 data were used in place of older data.

NOTE: The completion rate is calculated by dividing the number of high school completers in a given year by the number of high school completers in that year and dropouts over a 4-year period. A state that reported completers but not dropouts would not have a high school completion rate. Data for other completers are missing in the following states: Kentucky, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Washington, and Wisconsin.

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD): Data File: Local Education Agency (School District) Universe Dropout and Completion Data: School Years 1991-92 Through 1996-97 and Data File: Local Education Agency (School District) Universe Dropout Data: School Year 1997-98. (Originally published as table 10 on p. 49 of the complete report from which this article is excerpted.)

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Table C.—High school 4-year completion rates,1 by race/ethnicity and state: School year 1997-98
State
American Indian/
Alaska Native
Race/ethnicity
Asian/Pacific
Islander
Hispanic
Black,
non-
Hispanic
White,
non-
Hispanic
Alabama
94.3 92.3 71.1 74.8 79.7
Alaska
Arizona
Arkansas
70.8 81.6 66.9 74.7 82.1
California
Colorado
Connecticut
84.0 89.3 60.6 71.1 88.5
Delaware
95.7 72.3 77.6 85.0
District of Columbia
Florida
Georgia
68.6 82.2 60.7 63.3 71.4
Hawaii
Idaho
54.0 79.0 51.6 65.3 75.1
Illinois
76.3 89.8 61.5 57.8 84.9
Indiana
Iowa
62.2 88.5 72.2 67.6 89.5
Kansas
Kentucky
Louisiana2
53.0 61.9 52.9 53.7 66.5
Maine
79.6 84.6 89.0 83.3 86.8
Maryland
74.5 94.2 79.7 70.5 85.9
Massachusetts
74.3 89.6 65.1 75.6 88.9
Michigan
Minnesota
Mississippi
34.1 82.9 63.5 73.7 78.2
Missouri
76.3 85.3 71.1 60.1 80.0
Montana
Nebraska
45.0 80.6 58.7 56.3 86.8
Nevada
54.0 70.7 49.4 56.8 69.4
New Hampshire
New Jersey
New Mexico
64.3 78.7 62.8 62.4 77.9
New York
North Carolina
North Dakota
53.7 87.3 76.3 73.6 92.1
Ohio
61.4 87.0 63.1 60.0 83.7
Oklahoma
79.4 84.5 63.2 68.9 80.2
Oregon
Pennsylvania
74.1 87.5 58.3 60.8 88.6
Rhode Island
55.6 84.9 64.2 70.0 83.8
South Carolina
South Dakota
30.6 83.3 72.8 67.1 88.1
Tennessee
Texas
Utah
60.3 72.5 53.8 50.4 83.6
Vermont
Virginia
72.9 87.8 69.2 73.9 84.0
Washington
West Virginia
82.1 95.1 95.9 77.8 84.1
Wisconsin
75.6 89.5 70.9 54.8 93.6
Wyoming
51.0 88.5 64.2 68.1 79.0
Outlying areas and DoD Dependents Schools
DoD Dependents Schools
American Samoa
95.9
Guam
100.0 50.8 37.5 26.3 39.4
Northern Marianas
71.1
Puerto Rico
91.5
Virgin Islands
72.6 78.8 70.0

—Data missing.

1Includes regular and other diplomas, as well as other completion credentials (e.g., certificates of attendance or other certificates of completion), but does not include high school equivalency credentials (e.g., GEDs).

2Effective with the 1995-96 school year, Louisiana changed its dropout data collection, which increased the number of its dropouts. In calculating the completion rates, 1995-96 data were used in place of older data.

NOTE: Total completers by race/ethnicity are obtained from the "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education." The completion rate by race/ethnicity is calculated by dividing the number of high school completers by the number of high school completers and dropouts in a specific racial/ethnic group. A state that reported completers, but not by race/ethnicity, would not have a high school completion rate by race/ethnicity. Data for other completers are missing in the following states: Kentucky, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Washington, and Wisconsin. Caution should be used when interpreting results by race/ethnicity as some of the racial/ethnic group populations are quite small in some states.

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD): "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 1998-99; and Data File: Local Education Agency (School District) Universe Dropout Data: School Year 997-98. (Originally published as table 12a on p. 51 of the complete report from which this article is excerpted.)
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Data sources: The following components of the NCES Common Core of Data (CCD): Data File: Local Education Agency (School District) Universe Dropout and Completion Data: School Years 1991-92 Through 1996-97, Data File: Local Education Agency (School District) Universe Dropout Data: School Year 1997-98, and "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 1998-99.

For technical information, see the complete report:

Young, B.A., and Hoffman, L. (2002). Public High School Dropouts and Completers From the Common Core of Data: School Years 1991-92 Through 1997-98 (NCES 2002–317).

Author affiliations: B.A.Young and L. Hoffman, NCES.

For questions about content, contact Lee Hoffman (lee.hoffman@ed.gov).

To obtain the complete report (NCES 2002–317), call the toll-free ED Pubs number (877-433-7827) or visit the NCES Electronic Catalog (http://nces.ed.gov/pubsearch).


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