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Digest of Education Statistics
2023 Tables and Figures All Years of Tables and Figures Most Recent Full Issue of the Digest


Table 104.94.Percentage distribution of fall 2022 ninth-graders' education attainment expectations, by selected student, family, and school characteristics: Fall 2022
[Standard errors appear in parentheses]
Selected student, family, or school characteristicLess than high schoolHigh school diploma or equivalent1Certificate2Associate's degreeBachelor's degreeGraduate or professional degreeDon't know
12345678
     Total 5.0(0.30)13.3(0.40)6.5(0.31)4.6(0.29)17.1(0.48)26.4(0.58)27.0(0.54)

Sex





















  Female4.7(0.43)11.7(0.56)4.5(0.35)4.4(0.37)16.8(0.62)32.0(0.89)25.9(0.81)
  Male5.3(0.41)14.8(0.58)8.4(0.48)4.9(0.41)17.4(0.67)21.2(0.70)28.0(0.78)

Race/ethnicity





















  American Indian/Alaska Native3.3(0.97)15.6(1.72)6.1(1.03)7.1(1.49)11.4(1.68)21.2(2.03)35.3(2.20)
  Asian2.4(0.51)5.1(0.77)1.8(0.36)3.5(0.83)19.9(1.22)39.5(2.25)27.7(2.11)
  Black8.1(1.08)18.8(1.22)5.2(0.62)4.7(0.61)14.0(1.16)27.3(1.40)21.9(1.27)
  Hispanic3.5(0.51)17.0(0.83)6.3(0.60)4.6(0.62)13.8(0.73)23.6(0.96)31.2(0.90)
  Pacific Islander(†)13.2!(5.08)16.1!(7.42)(†)(†)9.6!(3.48)47.9(9.07)
  White5.2(0.40)10.5(0.57)7.6(0.49)4.9(0.38)20.0(0.80)26.4(0.94)25.4(0.89)
  Two or more races5.9(0.96)10.4(1.25)6.1(0.99)3.3(0.83)17.6(1.50)28.0(1.85)28.7(2.06)

Native language3





















  Monolingual5.2(0.31)13.1(0.44)6.6(0.34)4.8(0.31)17.2(0.52)26.6(0.64)26.6(0.57)
    English5.6(0.33)12.9(0.48)6.6(0.35)4.7(0.33)18.0(0.56)26.2(0.72)25.9(0.66)
    Spanish2.6(0.66)16.2(1.31)8.7(1.24)4.9(1.35)11.0(1.30)24.7(1.65)31.8(2.12)
    Another language2.8(0.80)6.8(1.30)1.2(0.35)4.5!(1.54)16.1(1.85)41.4(2.91)27.1(2.88)
  Bilingual3.4(0.71)15.7(1.39)5.2(0.90)3.5(0.61)16.6(1.22)25.1(1.43)30.5(1.68)

Parents/guardians in the primary 
   household4





















  Two parents4.8(0.31)11.9(0.44)6.3(0.37)4.8(0.33)18.4(0.59)27.4(0.68)26.4(0.64)
  One parent6.0(0.59)17.6(0.97)7.2(0.62)4.1(0.59)13.2(0.91)23.4(1.09)28.4(1.16)
  Nonparental guardian(s)(†)21.9(5.14)7.1!(2.69)(†)8.3!(2.88)18.8(4.35)37.5(5.08)

Highest level of education attained by 
   either parent





















  Less than high school completion7.1(1.21)20.8(1.92)8.4(1.33)3.5(0.80)12.6(1.67)17.0(1.64)30.7(2.23)
  High school diploma or equivalent15.6(0.64)21.6(0.97)7.1(0.64)5.0(0.75)13.4(0.95)19.2(1.09)28.0(1.13)
  Completed a credential beyond high 
     school, no bachelor's degree5

5.3


(0.56)

15.1


(0.98)

8.6


(0.64)

5.7


(0.52)

15.5


(0.92)

21.2


(0.88)

28.6


(1.19)
  Bachelor's degree or higher4.4(0.34)8.3(0.46)5.2(0.35)4.1(0.35)19.9(0.64)32.7(0.83)25.4(0.73)

Socioeconomic status6





















  Lowest fifth5.6(0.57)22.6(1.13)8.2(0.80)5.5(0.76)14.5(0.86)19.6(1.11)24.0(1.13)
  Middle three-fifths5.3(0.42)13.2(0.54)7.1(0.39)4.6(0.38)16.1(0.54)23.7(0.69)29.9(0.70)
  Highest fifth3.6(0.50)4.5(0.60)3.2(0.48)3.9(0.60)22.6(1.03)41.2(1.38)21.0(1.10)

Growth mindset: most people can learn 
   to be good at math





















  Slightly to strongly agree4.9(0.32)13.1(0.46)6.5(0.35)4.7(0.31)17.8(0.55)27.0(0.65)26.1(0.61)
  Slightly to strongly disagree5.9(0.90)15.1(1.28)6.8(0.94)5.2(0.94)12.9(1.33)25.3(2.07)28.9(1.65)

Mathematics achievement by quintile 
   rank





















  Lowest fifth6.8(0.85)23.1(1.11)7.3(0.66)3.5(0.44)7.9(0.66)16.3(0.95)35.1(1.11)
  Middle three-fifths5.3(0.32)13.3(0.47)7.2(0.45)5.2(0.39)17.6(0.57)24.7(0.72)26.8(0.70)
  Highest fifth2.6(0.37)3.9(0.49)3.7(0.67)4.3(0.58)25.4(1.31)41.1(1.42)19.0(1.59)

Reading achievement by quintile rank





















  Lowest fifth7.6(0.75)22.2(1.07)7.4(0.55)4.0(0.61)9.1(0.86)16.3(1.05)33.4(1.09)
  Middle three-fifths4.9(0.34)13.1(0.47)7.4(0.46)5.2(0.43)17.4(0.58)25.4(0.71)26.7(0.69)
  Highest fifth2.7(0.36)5.0(0.59)3.1(0.45)3.9(0.52)25.3(1.27)39.5(1.32)20.6(1.27)

School control





















  Public5.1(0.34)14.1(0.44)6.9(0.35)4.7(0.32)17.0(0.51)25.4(0.62)26.8(0.59)
    Charter school5.5(0.77)14.6(1.56)6.4(0.77)4.8(0.56)15.6(1.21)24.3(1.57)28.8(1.72)
    Other public75.0(0.35)14.1(0.47)6.9(0.37)4.7(0.33)17.1(0.55)25.5(0.67)26.7(0.63)
  Private4.7(0.53)6.0(0.74)3.4(0.38)3.8(0.72)18.3(1.15)35.5(1.39)28.3(1.03)
    Catholic4.8(0.48)5.9(0.53)3.5(0.50)3.3(0.39)17.7(1.04)37.9(1.30)26.9(1.17)
    Other private4.7(0.84)6.1(1.27)3.4(0.58)4.2(1.24)18.7(1.88)33.6(2.20)29.3(1.64)

School locale





















  City5.5(0.57)13.6(0.83)5.2(0.45)4.3(0.52)15.3(0.79)28.4(1.19)27.6(0.79)
  Suburb4.3(0.46)12.0(0.70)6.0(0.58)4.3(0.56)18.7(0.81)27.8(1.07)27.0(1.05)
  Town6.2(1.26)16.8(1.45)8.8(1.04)5.9(0.76)16.1(1.33)22.5(1.23)23.8(1.75)
  Rural4.9(0.57)13.4(0.92)8.4(0.63)5.0(0.51)17.7(1.13)22.9(1.00)27.6(1.01)
†Not applicable.
!Interpret data with caution. The coefficient of variation (CV) for this estimate is between 30 and 50 percent.
‡Reporting standards not met. Either there are too few cases for a reliable estimate or the coefficient of variation (CV) is 50 percent or greater.
1Includes equivalency credentials, such as the GED certificate, the High School Equivalency Test (HiSET), and the Test Assessing Secondary Completion (TASC).
2Any postsecondary education from a school that provides occupational training, such as a trade school.
3The first or primary language students learned to speak when they were children. Monolingual includes students who indicated learning to speak English, Spanish, or another language. Bilingual includes those who indicated learning to speak English and Spanish equally or English and another language equally.
4The parents or guardians living in the home where the student spends the most time. Households with two parents or one parent may include biological parents, adoptive parents, step-parents, foster parents and legal guardians, or grandparents, all of whom are classified as "parents" to the student. Households with nonparental guardians may include aunts, uncles, or unmarried partners of a parent. Some 3.5 percent of ninth-graders who live primarily with one parent and one nonparental guardian are included among those living with two parents.
5Includes attainment of a postsecondary certificate or associate’s degree from a college or university or an occupational, technical, or trade school.
6Measured as a composite score based on parental education, parental occupation, and family income.
7Includes traditional, magnet, virtual, and other noncharter public schools.
NOTE: All estimates are weighted by the study respondent weight. Race categories exclude persons of Hispanic ethnicity. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, High School and Beyond Longitudinal Study of 2022 (HS&B:22). (This table was prepared February 2024).

2023 Tables and Figures All Years of Tables and Figures Most Recent Full Issue of the Digest