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Full Population Estimates

Sample Booklets

Several statistical scenarios have been proposed below that are based on different assumptions about how excluded students might have performed on the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP). Combined with the actual performance of students who were assessed, these scenarios produce results for the full population (one scenario that includes estimates for excluded students) in each jurisdiction and each assessment year. These techniques provide an indication as to which statements about trend gains or losses might be changed if exclusion rates were zero in both assessment years (and if the assumptions about the performance of missing students are correct).

The results of one of these scenarios are presented here. However, the methods used to construct the scenario are still under development. The results of this special analysis should not be interpreted as official results.

State and Trial Urban District Assessment (TUDA) results are accessible by clicking links in the table below. The results are listed and can be tabulated by year, jurisdiction (state or district), grade (4, 8, 12) and subject (mathematics and reading).

How FPE Data is Structured

FPE Tables: Present-2013

In the table below, Comparison of Change in Average Scores in Official NAEP Reported Sample and Full Population Estimates, the FPE data are organized in tables as follows:

Reported

  • The first column presents the reported score for the most recent year.
  • The second column presents the reported score for the previous assessment.
  • The third column is the unrounded difference between the reported scores for the most current and previous assessments.

FPE

  • The first column presents the score under the full population scenario for the most recent assessment.
  • The second column presents the score under the full population scenarios for the previous assessment.
  • The third column is the unrounded difference between these two years under the full population scenario.

Reported-FPE difference

  • The final column is the difference between the reported score and the full population scenario in the most recent year.

NOTE: In both the reported and full population scenario, an asterisk is presented when the unrounded differences are statistically significant (p <.05).

FPE Tables: 2011-2005

Comparison of Change in Average Scores in Official NAEP Reported Sample and Full Population Estimates

YearSubject(s)JurisdictionGrade(s)
U.S. population map
Last updated 15 April 2024 (DS)