Some students with disabilities and English learners are excluded from official NAEP results because they cannot participate in the assessment, even with accommodations.
The Full Population Estimates (FPEs) shown on this page are a special analysis using "what-if" scenarios to estimate how these students might have performed if they were able to complete the assessment.
By combining these estimates with the scores of students who did participate, FPEs offer a comparison to the official results for states and districts participating in the Trial Urban District Assessment (TUDA). Because these methods are still under development, FPEs are for research purposes only and are not considered official NAEP scores.
Results for states and TUDA districts can be accessed through the links in the table below. You can view and tabulate results by year, jurisdiction (state or district), grade (4 or 8), and subject (mathematics, reading, or science).
How FPE Data is Structured
FPE Tables: Present-2013
In the table below,
Comparison of Change in Average Scores in Official NAEP Reported Sample and Full Population Estimates, the FPE data are organized in tables as follows:
Reported
- The first column presents the reported score for the most recent year.
- The second column presents the reported score for the previous assessment.
- The third column is the unrounded difference between the reported scores for the most current and previous assessments.
FPE
- The first column presents the score under the full population scenario for the most recent assessment.
- The second column presents the score under the full population scenarios for the previous assessment.
- The third column is the unrounded difference between these two years under the full population scenario.
Reported-FPE difference
- The final column is the difference between the reported score and the full population scenario in the most recent year.
NOTE: In both the reported and full population scenario, an asterisk is presented when the unrounded differences are statistically significant (p <.05).
FPE Tables: 2011-2005
In the table below,
Comparison of Change in Average Scores in Official NAEP Reported Sample and Full Population Estimates, the FPE data are organized in tables as follows:
- The first column presents the reported score gain (or loss) for each jurisdiction based on the sample of students who were included in the assessment.
- The second column shows the score gain (or loss) under the full population scenario.
- The third column reports the difference between the official gain and the gain under this scenario.
- Statistically significant score changes in columns one and two are marked with an asterisk. A footnote marks jurisdictions that show a trend that is statistically significant in the official results but not significant under the full population scenario or vice versa.
