Projections of Education Statistics to 2008
List of Tables
[National Projections Tables] [State-Level Projections Tables] [Appendix A. Methodological Tables] [Appendix B. Supplementary Tables]
National Projections
[Enrollment] [Classroom Teachers] [Expenditures]
Enrollment
[Elementary and Secondary Schools] [Institutions of Higher Education] [High School Graduates] [Earned Degrees Conferred]
Elementary and Secondary Schools
1. Enrollment in grades K-8 and 9-12 of elementary and secondary schools, by control of institution, with projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
2. Enrollment in elementary and secondary schools, by organizational level and control of institution, with projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
Institutions of Higher Education
3. Total enrollment in all institutions of higher education, by sex, attendance status, and control of institution, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
4. Total enrollment in 4-year institutions of higher education, by sex, attendance status, and control of institution, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
5. Total enrollment in 2-year institutions of higher education, by sex, attendance status, and control of institution, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
6. Enrollment in all institutions of higher education, by age, sex, and attendance status, with middle alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1988, 1993, 1996, 2003, and 2008
7. Enrollment in all institutions of higher education, by age, sex, and attendance status, with low alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1988, 1993, 1996, 2003, and 2008
8. Enrollment in all institutions of higher education, by age, sex, and attendance status, with high alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1988, 1993, 1996, 2003, and 2008
9. Total enrollment in all institutions of higher education, by sex and attendance status, with alternative projections:
50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
10. Total enrollment in public 4-year institutions of higher education, by sex and attendance status, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
11. Total enrollment in public 2-year institutions of higher education, by sex and attendance status, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
12. Total enrollment in private 4-year institutions of higher education, by sex and attendance status, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
13. Total enrollment in private 2-year institutions of higher education, by sex and attendance status, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
14. Undergraduate enrollment in all institutions, by sex and attendance status, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
15. Undergraduate enrollment in public institutions, by sex and attendance status, with alternative projections:
50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
16. Undergraduate enrollment in private institutions, by sex and attendance status, with alternative projections:
50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
17. Graduate enrollment in all institutions, by sex
and attendance status, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
18. Graduate enrollment in public institutions, by sex and attendance status, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
19. Graduate enrollment in private institutions, by sex and attendance status, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
20. First-professional enrollment in all institutions, by sex and attendance status, with alternative projections:
50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
21. First-professional enrollment in public institutions, by sex and attendance status, with alternative projections:
50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
22. First-professional enrollment in private institutions, by sex and attendance status, with alternative projections:
50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
23. Full-time-equivalent enrollment in all institutions of higher education, by level of student and type of institution, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
24. Full-time-equivalent enrollment in public institutions of higher education, by level of student and type of institution, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
25. Full-time-equivalent enrollment in private institutions of higher education, by level of student and type of institution, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
High School Graduates
26. High school graduates, by control of institution, with projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
Earned Degrees Conferred
27. Associate degrees, by sex of recipient, with projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
28. Bachelor's degrees, by sex of recipient, with projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
29. Master's degrees, by sex of recipient, with projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
30. Doctor's degrees, by sex of recipient, with projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
31. First-professional degrees, by sex of recipient, with projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
Classroom Teachers
Elementary and Secondary Schools
32. Classroom teachers in elementary and secondary schools, by control of institution and organizational level, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
33. Pupil-teacher ratios in elementary and secondary schools, by control of institution and organizational level, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., fall 1983 to fall 2008
Expenditures
Public Elementary and Secondary Schools
34. Current expenditures and current expenditures per pupil in average daily attendance (ADA) in public elementary and secondary schools, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
35. Current expenditures and current expenditures per pupil in fall enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools,
with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
36. Average annual salaries of classroom teachers in public elementary and secondary schools, with alternative projections:
50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
Institutions of Higher Education
37. Current-fund expenditures of public and private institutions of higher education, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
38. Educational and general expenditures of public and private institutions of higher education, with alternative projections:
50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
39. Current-fund expenditures and current-fund expenditures per full-time equivalent (FTE) student of public 4-year institutions, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
40. Educational and general expenditures and educational and general expenditures per full-time equivalent (FTE) student of public 4-year institutions, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
41 Current-fund expenditures and current-fund expenditures per full-time equivalent (FTE) student of public 2-year institutions, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
42. Educational and general expenditures and educational and general expenditures per full-time equivalent (FTE) student of public 2-year institutions, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
43. Current-fund expenditures and current-fund expenditures per full-time equivalent (FTE) student of private 4-year institutions, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
44. Educational and general expenditures and educational and general expenditures per full-time equivalent (FTE) student of private 4-year institutions, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
State-Level Projections
Public Elementary and Secondary School Enrollment
45. Enrollment in grades K-12 in public elementary and secondary schools, by region and state, with projections: Fall 1990 to fall 2008
46. Percent change in grades K-12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state, with projections: Fall 1990 to fall 2008
47. Enrollment in grades K-8 in public schools, by region and state, with projections: Fall 1990 to fall 2008
48. Percent change in grades K-8 enrollment in public schools, by region and state, with projections: Fall 1990 to fall 2008
49. Enrollment in grades 9-12 in public schools, by region and state, with projections: Fall 1990 to fall 2008
50. Percent change in grades 9-12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state, with projections: Fall 1990 to fall 2008
Public High School Graduates
51. Number of high school graduates in public schools, by region and state, with projections: 1989-90 to 2007-08
52. Percent change in number of public high school graduates, by region and state, with projections: 1989-90 to 2007-08
Appendix A
Methodological Tables
[Enrollment] [Earned Degrees Conferred] [Public Classroom Teachers] [Public Elementary and Secondary School Expenditures] [Institutions of Higher Education Expenditures]
Enrollment
A1.1. Elementary enrollment rates, by age and sex
A1.2. Secondary enrollment rates, by age and sex
A1.3. College enrollment rates, by age, sex, and attendance status, with alternative projections
A1.4. Full-time and part-time equations for college enrollment rates of men
A1.5. Full-time and part-time equations for college enrollment rates of women
A1.6. Enrollment rates in public schools, by grade level
A1.7. Public school grade retention rates
A1.8. Full-time enrollment, by level enrolled and type of institution, as a percent of total enrollment, for each age and sex classification
A1.9. Part-time enrollment, by level enrolled and type of institution, as a percent of total enrollment, for each age and sex classification
A1.10. Public college enrollment as a percent of total enrollment, by attendance status, sex, level enrolled, and type of institution
A1.11. Graduate enrollment as a percent of total postbaccalaureate enrollment, by sex, attendance status, and type and control of institution
A1.12. Full-time-equivalent of part-time enrollment as a percent of part-time enrollment, by level enrolled and by type and control of institution
A1.13. Enrollment (assumptions)
A1.14. Enrollment (estimation methods)
A1.15. Number of years, projection methods, and smoothing constants used to project public school enrollment and high school graduates, by state
A1.16. Weights used to combine the enrollment projections, by projection method and lead time
Earned Degrees Conferred
A3.1. Equations for associate degrees
A3.2. Equations for bachelor's degrees
A3.3. Equation for doctor's degrees
A3.4. Equations for first-professional degrees
A3.5. Earned degrees conferred (assumptions)
Public Classroom Teachers
A4.1. Equations for public elementary and secondary classroom teachers
Public Elementary and Secondary School Expenditures
A5.1. Equations for current expenditures per pupil in average daily attendance, average annual salaries of teachers,
and education revenue receipts from state sources
A5.2. Mean absolute percentage errors by lead time for current expenditures in public elementary and secondary schools,
current expenditures per pupil in average daily attendance (ADA) in public elementary and secondary schools, and average annual teacher salaries of classroom teachers in public elementary and secondary schools, all in constant dollars
Institutions of Higher Education Expenditures
A6.1. Equations for current-fund expenditures per student in full-time equivalent enrollment and educational and general expenditures per student in full-time-equivalent enrollment in
public 4-year institutions, public 2-year institutions, and private 4-year institutions
A6.2. Mean absolute percentage errors by lead time for current-fund expenditures and educational and general expenditures
in constant dollars in public and private institutions of higher education by type
Appendix B
Supplementary Tables
B1. Annual number of births (U.S. Census projections, Middle Series): 50 States and D.C., 1948 to 2008
B2. Preprimary school-age populations (U.S. Census projections, Middle Series): 50 States and D.C., 1983 to 2008
B3. School-age populations (U.S. Census projections, Middle Series), ages 5, 6, 5-13, and 14-17 years: 50 States and D.C., 1983 to 2008
B4. College-age populations (U.S. Census projections, Middle Series), ages 18, 18-24, 25-29, 30-34, and 35-44 years: 50 States and D.C., 1983 to 2008
B5. Average daily attendance (ADA) in public elementary and secondary schools, change in ADA, the population, and ADA as a proportion of the population: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
B6. Disposable income per capita (in constant 1994-95 dollars), with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
B7. Education revenue receipts from state sources per capita (in constant 1995-96 dollars), with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
B8. Consumer Price Index (base year 1995-96), with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
B9. Rate of change for the inflation rate based on the Consumer Price Index, with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
B10. Personal tax and nontax payments to state and local governments, per capita (in constant 1995-96 dollars), with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
B11. Indirect business taxes and nontax accruals,
excluding property taxes, for state and local governments, per capita (in constant 1995-96 dollars), with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
B12. Sum of personal tax and nontax payments and indirect business taxes and tax accruals, excluding property taxes, for state and local governments, per capita (in constant 1995-96 dollars), with alternative projections: 50 States and D.C., 1982-83 to 2007-08
