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The number of states reporting dropout statistics in agreement with the
CCD definition more than tripled between the 199192 and 199798
school years, from 12 to 37 ( table 2). The number of
states for which dropout information is published changes from year to year.
For this reason, and because none of the years includes all states, the tables
do not sum the state level results into one national level count. Readers
are cautioned that changes within a single state over time are probably more
meaningful than changes among the reporting states as whole.
Table 2 presents the dropout rates for the aggregate
of grades 9 through 12 from 199192 through 199798.4 The inclusion
of data from states using a JulyJune reporting calendar increased the
number of reporting states by as many as 14, depending on the year in question,
from what had been published in most previous CCD publications (see methodology
section for a discussion of reporting calendars).
During the first 2 years of the dropout statistic collection, no more than
15 states reported publishable data. Because the data are most complete for
the period 199394 through 199798, most discussion of changes
over time will be limited to this time period for states reporting in both
199394 and 199798. In order to highlight differences, the text
tables have arbitrarily classified dropout rates as relatively high (10 percent
or more) or relatively low (less than 4 percent).
A total of 34 states reported publishable data for both of these 2 years.
Among this group as a whole, the range among dropout rates was relatively
stable from 199394 to 199798. The range in 199394 dropout
rates for reporting states was from a low of 2.7 percent in North Dakota to
a high of 13.7 percent in Arizona. Four years later, the reported rates ranged
from 2.8 percent in North Dakota and Wisconsin to 12.8 percent in the District
of Columbia, which is a large city school system.
In 199394, eight states reported dropout rates of less than 4 percent;
this increased to nine states in 199798 (table A).
The dropout rates for 19 states were between 4 percent and 7 percent in 199394
and 22 states in 199798. The number of states reporting dropout rates
of 7 percent or higher decreased from seven states to five. (Oregon does not
have data for both years and was therefore not included. Louisiana's data
were not comparable between these 2 years and were also not included in these
totals.)
Dropout rates were more likely to decline than increase over the 4-year
interval: rates for 19 reporting states either declined or stayed the same.
In this period, the dropout rates increased by 1.0 or more percentage points
in the District of Columbia, Louisiana, Oklahoma, and Utah. (Please note that
effective with the 199596 school year, Louisiana changed its dropout
data collection from school-level aggregate counts reported by districts to
an individual student-record system. This increase in the dropout rate is
attributable in part to the increased ability to track students.) However,
the dropout rates decreased by at least 1 percentage point in Alabama, Arizona,
Connecticut, Georgia, Idaho, Missouri, New Mexico, and South Dakota.
| Table A.Number of states with high school
dropout rates of less than 4 percent and 10 percent or more: School years
199394 through 199798 |
| School year |
Less than 4 percent |
More than 10 percent |
199394 (35) |
8 |
1 |
199495 (35) |
7 |
2 |
199596 (36) |
6 |
2 |
199697 (35) |
8 |
3 |
199798 (37) |
9 |
3 |
| |
| SOURCE: U.S. Department
of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of
Data, "Local Education Agency Universe Survey Dropout Data and Completion
File: School Years 199192 through 199697," and "Local Education Agency
Universe Dropout File: School Year 199798." |
Changes in numbers of dropouts. The numbers of dropouts for
the 199192 through 199798 period are shown on table
3. Unlike rates, which make large and small states comparable, the actual
numbers of dropouts highlight the differences in public school student membership
among states.
North Dakota reported fewer than 1,000 dropouts from grades 9 through 12
in each of the 4 years from 199293 to 199596. In contrast, Georgia
and Illinois had more than 25,000 dropouts every year from 199394 through
199798, as did Ohio in all of these years except 199394. For
every year from 199394 through 199798, approximately one out
of three reporting states had more than 10,000 high school dropouts.
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A slight but consistent majority of high school dropouts were males (table
4). In only one instance (Arizona, in 199495) was 50.0 percent
or more of the dropouts female. The states in which high school dropouts were
most likely to be males were Maryland and Ohio, in which at least 60.0 percent
of dropouts were males in 3 of the 5 years between 199394 and 199798.
Delaware, Maine, Mississippi, and North Dakota also reported at least 60.0
percent of dropouts were males in one or two of these years.
Although this report generally does not discuss data from the outlying areas,
two cases should be noted because of their contrast with findings from the
states. In Puerto Rico, the majority of dropouts have been females for each
of the 6 years that the commonwealth reported dropout statistics. In American
Samoa, on the other hand, more than two-thirds of all high school dropouts
were males in 5 out of 7 years.
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High school dropout rates for each of five racial/ethnic groups5
were calculated by dividing the number of grade 9 through 12 dropouts
in a group by the grade 9 through 12 membership for that group.
Because racial/ethnic detail was not reported for student membership
on the CCD until 199293, tables
5af address only the 6 years from 199293 through
199798. Also, caution should be used when interpreting results
by race/ethnicity as some of the racial/ethnic group populations
are quite small in some states. To see the percentage of individuals
in each racial/ethnic group in the state see tables A-6af.
Dropout rates across this time were generally lowest for White and Asian
students and highest for American Indian and Hispanic students in the reporting
states. Roughly the same number of states reported dropout statistics and
racial/ethnic information in the years 199394 through 199798,
and so many of the comparisons are limited to these years.
| Table B.Number of states with high school
dropout rates of 10 percent or more, by race/ethnicity: School years 199394
through 199798 |
| Race/ethnicity |
199394 (31) |
199495 (32) |
199596 (34) |
199697 (33) |
199798 (34) |
American Indian/Alaska Native |
7 |
9 |
12 |
10 |
11 |
Asian/Pacific Islander |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
Hispanic |
14 |
14 |
15 |
14 |
15 |
Black |
11 |
11 |
16 |
11 |
10 |
White |
1 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| |
| NOTE: The number of states reporting dropouts
by race/ethnicity each year appear in the parentheses after the year.
|
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics,
Common Core of Data, "Local Education Agency Universe Dropout File: School
Year 199798," and "Local Education Agency Universe Dropout Data and Completion
File: School Years 199192 through 199697." |
American Indian students. More than 18 percent of American
Indian high school students dropped out of school in 4 of the 5
years in Arizona, Minnesota, and South Dakota (tables
5ae). On the other hand, American Indian dropout rates
were below 4 percent in 4 states in 4 of the 5 years (table
C).
Asian/Pacific Islander students. Relative to other minority
students, dropping out was rare for Asian/Pacific Islander high
school students in reporting states. Only one state in each year
from 199394 through 199798 reported a dropout rate of
10 percent or more in this group. The Asian/Pacific Islander dropout
rate was less than 4 percent in more than half of the states every
year from 199495 through 199798 (table
C).
| Table C.Number of states with high school dropout
rates of less than 4 percent, by race/ethnicity: School years 199394 through
199798 |
| Race/ethnicity |
199394 (31) |
199495 (32) |
199596 (34) |
199697 (33) |
199798 (34) |
American Indian/Alaska Native |
4 |
5 |
4 |
3 |
4 |
Asian/Pacific Islander |
15 |
18 |
18 |
19 |
22 |
Hispanic |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
Black |
0 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
White |
12 |
12 |
15 |
14 |
17 |
| |
| NOTE: The number of states reporting dropouts
by race/ethnicity each year appear in the parentheses after the year. |
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National
Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data, "Local Education Agency
Universe Dropout File: School Year 199798," and "Local Education Agency
Universe Dropout Data and Completion File: School Years 199192 through
199697." |
Black, non-Hispanic students. Ten reporting states reported
dropout rates of 10 percent or more among Black high school students
in all 5 years (table B). There were 16 reporting
states with Black dropout rates this high in 199596, and 10
states in 199798. The dropout rate among Blacks was 20 percent
or more in Minnesota for all years 199394 through 199697
(tables 5af). In only 2 years,
199495 and 199798, did more than a single state report
a Black high school dropout rate of less than 4 percent.
In five reporting states, the Black dropout rate was threefold the White
dropout rate in all 5 years: Illinois, Minnesota, Nebraska, Pennsylvania,
and Wisconsin. Iowa had Black dropout rates that were three times as great
as White dropout rates in 4 years. (New Jersey dropout data by race/ethnicity
were only available for 3 years and in each of those years the Black dropout
rate was at least three times that of White students.)
Hispanic students. Among Hispanic high school students,
dropout rates were 10 percent or higher in about 40 percent of reporting
states every year (table B). The dropout
rate among Hispanic students was 15 percent or higher in Arizona
and Nevada in all 5 years, in Minnesota 4 of the 5 years, and in
Oregon in 3 of the 5 years (Oregon only reported in 3 of the 5 years).
Few states had relatively low dropout rates for Hispanic students.
West Virginia had a dropout rate of less than 4 percent in 4 out
of the 5 years; Vermont in 3 out of the 5 years; and Maine in 2
out of the 5 years.
There were five reporting states in which the Hispanic dropout rate was
three times the size of the White dropout rate in all 5 years: Connecticut,
Minnesota, Nebraska, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Massachusetts had Hispanic
dropout rates that were three times the White dropout rate in 4 years. (As
was the case in the Black dropout rate, New Jersey dropout data by race/ethnicity
were only available for 3 years and each of those years the Hispanic dropout
rate was three times as great as the White dropout rate.)
White students. By comparison, the dropout rate for White
students was above 10 percent in only one reporting state in 199394
(Arizona) and 199495 (District of Columbia) and no states
in 199596 through 199798 (tables
5ae). Twelve states had White student dropout rates of
less than 4 percent in 199394 and 199495, as did 14
or more states in the subsequent 3 years (table
C).
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Most of the discussion in this report has been limited to dropouts from
the traditional high school grades, 9 through 12. The CCD collects the numbers
of dropouts for grades 7 and 8 as well, and this section examines dropout
rates from individual grades.
Tables 6ag shows that relatively few
students drop out before the 9th grade. This is not surprising,
since attendance is compulsory to at least age 16 in all states.6
The dropout rate for grade 7 was less than 1 percent for roughly
two-thirds of reporting states in every year from 199394
through 199798 (the proportions ranged from 63.9 percent
of reporting states in 199596 to 71.4 percent in 199697).
The incidence of dropouts from the eighth grade was similarly low.
In 22 states, it was less than 1 percent in 199394 and 199798.
Comparing the numbers of reporting states with relatively high or low dropout
rates at different grades gives an idea of differences over time. There do
not appear to be large differences among grade levels or between 199394
and 199798 when states with dropout rates of 10.0 percent or more are
considered (table D).
| Table D.Number of states with high school dropout
rates of 10 percent or more, by grade: School years 199394 through 199798
|
| School year |
Grade |
| 9th |
10th |
11th |
12th |
199394 (35) |
1 |
2 |
4 |
3 |
199495 (35) |
0 |
3 |
3 |
2 |
199596 (36) |
2 |
2 |
2 |
3 |
199697 (35) |
2 |
2 |
2 |
1 |
199798 (37) |
2 |
2 |
3 |
2 |
| |
| NOTE: The number of states reporting dropouts
each year appear in the parentheses after the year. |
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National
Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data, "Local Education Agency
Universe Dropout File: School Year 199798," and "Local Education Agency
Universe Dropout Data and Completion File: School Years 199192 through
199697." |
The picture is the same when lower dropout rates, those of less than 4 percent,
are examined (table E). Almost half the reporting
states had 9th grade dropout rates of less than 4 percent.
Low dropout rates were observed less often for grades 10 through
12, but states grew more likely to have lower dropout rates in these
grades from 199394 to 199798.
| Table E.Number of states with high
school dropout rates of less than 4 percent, by grade: School years 199394
through 199798 |
| School year |
Grade |
| 9th |
10th |
11th |
12th |
199394 (35) |
15 |
6 |
4 |
4 |
199495 (35) |
16 |
7 |
2 |
5 |
199596 (36) |
16 |
6 |
4 |
7 |
199697 (35) |
16 |
7 |
5 |
7 |
199798 (37) |
17 |
9 |
8 |
9 |
| |
| NOTE: The number of states reporting dropouts
each year appear in the parentheses after the year. |
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National
Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data, "Local Education Agency
Universe Dropout File: School Year 199798," and "Local Education Agency
Universe Dropout Data and Completion File: School Years 199192 through
199697." |
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The CCD assigns each school a "locale code" that identifies its
location relative to a population center. The codes range from "large
city" to "rural." (See the glossary for detailed definitions of
the locale codes.) These school locale codes have been aggregated
to the school districts with which the schools are associated, and
the dropout rates among the different types of locale are shown
on tables 7ag.
Differences between large city and rural districts. Not all
states have one or more school district in every locale. The District of Columbia,
for example, consists of a single urban district while South Dakota has no
large city school districts. Because of this, caution should be used when
interpreting state differences.
Relatively high dropout rates were most often observed in reporting school
districts that served large or mid-sized cities and least frequently in rural
areas (table F). Towns, however, had dropout rates
in excess of 10 percent for some states in some years. When the slight decline
in high dropout rates over time is taken into account (see table
2), the pattern remains consistent: higher proportions of students drop
out of high school in large city districts than in any other types, while
there is not much difference in the occurrence of high dropout rates among
towns and urban fringes.
| Table F.Number of states with high school
dropout rates of 10 percent or more, by district locale: School years 199394
through 199798 |
| School year |
Locale |
| Large city |
Mid-size city |
Urban fringe large city |
Urban fringe mid-size city |
Large town |
Small town |
Rural |
199394 (35) |
8 |
4 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
1 |
2 |
199495 (35) |
12 |
3 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
199596 (35) |
11 |
4 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
199697 (35) |
11 |
3 |
1 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
0 |
199798 (37) |
9 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
| |
| NOTE: The number of states reporting dropouts
each year appear in the parentheses after the year. |
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National
Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data, "Local Education Agency
Universe Dropout File: School Year 199798," and "Local Education Agency
Universe Dropout Data and Completion File: School Years 199192 through
199697." |
The contrast between rural and large city dropout rates is even more evident
when relatively low dropout rates are examined. In 199798, 36 of the
reporting states included rural school districts. In 16 of these states, the
average dropout rate for rural districts was less than 4 percent (table
G). Twenty-one states included large city school districts, and in none
of these states was the large city dropout rate below 4 percent.
Although the numbers of reporting states were slightly smaller in 199394,
the findings were similar. One of 18 states with large city districts reported
a dropout rate of less than 4 percent in these districts; 19 of 34 states
had dropout rates below 4 percent in their rural school districts.
| Table G.Number of states with high school
dropout rates of less than 4 percent, by district locale: School years 199394
through 199798 |
| School year |
Locale |
| Large city |
Mid-size city |
Urban fringe large city |
Urban fringe mid-size city |
Large town |
Small town |
Rural |
199394 (35) |
0 |
7 |
9 |
14 |
6 |
15 |
19 |
199495 (35) |
0 |
5 |
13 |
14 |
8 |
14 |
17 |
199596 (35) |
0 |
6 |
12 |
18 |
8 |
10 |
17 |
199697 (35) |
0 |
5 |
12 |
18 |
6 |
11 |
17 |
199798 (37) |
0 |
5 |
12 |
13 |
10 |
12 |
16 |
| |
| NOTE: The number of states reporting dropouts
each year appear in the parentheses after the year. |
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National
Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data, "Local Education Agency
Universe Dropout File: School Year 199798," and "Local Education Agency
Universe Dropout Data and Completion File: School Years 199192 through
199697." |
Footnotes
4 In the interest
of brevity, dropouts from grades 9 through 12 will be referred to
as "high school" dropouts throughout this section.
5 The groups were American Indian/Alaska Native; Asian/Pacific islander; Hispanic; Black, not Hispanic; and White, not
Hispanic. Minority includes all groups except White, not Hispanic.
6
Council of Chief State School Officers, Key State Education Policies
on K12 Education: 2000. The only exception is Wyoming
that allows students to leave school at 16 or upon completing the
10th grade. California, Colorado, and the District of Columbia
are missing data.
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