Skip Navigation
small NCES header image
Projections of Education Statistics to 2011
Go to Table of ContentsChapterGo to Chapter 1Go to Chapter 2Go to Chapter 3Go to Chapter 4Go to Chapter 5Go to Chapter 6Go to List of FiguresGo to List of TablesGo to Appendices
Table A4.1.-Equations for public elementary and secondary teachers
Dependent Variable Equation R2 Durbin-Watson statistic1 Estimation technique2 Rho Time period
Elementary ELTCH = 94.0 + 1.8SGRANT + 0.03ELENR 0.99 1.7 AR1 0.98 1960 to
            (5.9)   (3.6)       (43.2) 1998
Secondary SCTCH = 74.1 + 1.5SGRANT3 + 0.03SCENR 0.95 1.5 AR1 0.72 1965 to
            (10.4)   (5.8)       (5.3) 1998

1For an explanation of the Durbin-Watson statistic, see J. Johnston, Econometric Methods, New York: McGraw-Hill, 1972, pages 251-252.
2AR1 indicates an estimation procedure for correcting the problem of first-order autocorrelation. For a general discussion of the problem of autocorrelation, and the method used to forecast in the presence of autocorrelation, see G. Judge, W. Hill, R. Griffiths, H. Lutkepohl, and T. Lee, The Theory and Practice of Econometrics, New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1985, pages 315- 318.
Where:
ELTCH = Number of public elementary classroom teachers, in thousands
SCTCH = Number of public secondary classroom teachers, in thousands
SGRANT = Education revenue receipts from state sources per capita SGRANT3 = Education revenue receipts from state sources per capita lagged 3 years
ELENR = Number of students enrolled in public elementary schools, in thousands
SCENR = Number of students enrolled in public secondary schools, in thousands

NOTE: R2 indicates the coefficient of determination. Numbers in parentheses are t-statistics.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Elementary and Secondary Teacher Model. (This table was prepared June 2001.)

Download this table as a Microsoft Excel spreadsheet (50kb)

Download this table in PDF format (62kb)

Back to List of Tables

Would you like to help us improve our products and website by taking a short survey?

YES, I would like to take the survey

or

No Thanks

The survey consists of a few short questions and takes less than one minute to complete.
National Center for Education Statistics - http://nces.ed.gov
U.S. Department of Education