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Projections of Education Statistics to 2011
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Table 25.-Percent change in number of public high school graduates, by region and state, with projections: 1992-93 to 2010-11
Region and state Actual Projected
1992-93 to 1998-99 1998-99 to 2005-06 2005-06 to 2010-11 1998-99 to 2010-11
United States 11.4 6.1 4.7 11.1
Northeast 5.6 9.2 1.4 10.8
Connecticut 5.5 19.6 4.5 25.1
Maine -0.1 2.6 -11.0 -8.6
Massachusetts 6.5 15.5 1.7 17.5
New Hampshire 11.8 17.9 -5.0 12.0
New Jersey 0.4 14.0 8.5 23.8
New York 4.9 5.5 2.5 8.1
Pennsylvania 8.6 5.5 -2.5 2.8
Rhode Island 7.1 10.6 -0.8 9.8
Vermont 25.0 3.4 -12.0 -9.1
Midwest 9.6 0.5 1.7 2.2
Illinois 8.6 7.4 10.2 18.3
Indiana 2.3 -4.3 7.2 2.7
Iowa 12.1 -5.1 1.4 -3.8
Kansas 16.0 0.3 -3.3 -3.0
Michigan 10.3 1.9 0.8 2.7
Minnesota 18.7 0.1 -1.0 -0.9
Missouri 12.1 2.7 1.4 4.2
Nebraska 17.0 -5.8 -4.5 -10.1
North Dakota 14.7 -10.3 -12.9 -21.9
Ohio 1.8 -2.0 0.0 -2.0
South Dakota 10.1 -10.6 -13.9 -23.0
Wisconsin 16.6 1.7 -4.5 -2.9
South 10.7 6.2 5.8 12.4
Alabama 0.7 -4.3 1.1 -3.2
Arkansas 4.8 -4.0 -0.7 -4.7
Delaware 18.1 -2.1 9.1 6.9
District of Columbia -14.7 0.2 18.3 18.5
Florida 14.5 17.7 8.3 27.5
Georgia 2.8 14.8 11.2 27.6
Kentucky 2.2 -4.0 -1.5 -5.5
Louisiana 12.2 -7.1 -2.0 -9.0
Maryland 16.9 15.0 1.6 16.9
Mississippi 2.5 -7.5 6.1 -1.9
North Carolina -0.6 14.2 12.4 28.4
Oklahoma 19.7 -4.1 -3.5 -7.5
South Carolina 0.6 -2.3 1.7 -0.7
Tennessee -7.6 10.2 5.5 16.3
Texas 26.7 6.8 7.7 15.0
Virginia 12.2 8.8 7.7 17.2
West Virginia -1.7 -14.4 -4.7 -18.4
West 19.9 9.9 8.7 19.5
Alaska 23.0 10.0 -1.6 8.2
Arizona 12.5 19.1 17.8 40.3
California 20.0 13.5 10.8 25.8
Colorado 16.1 12.6 7.8 21.4
Hawaii 9.7 0.0 -4.4 -4.5
Idaho 21.1 -1.6 3.7 2.1
Montana 16.4 -5.5 -11.3 -16.2
Nevada 53.6 32.5 31.8 74.6
New Mexico 14.1 -3.5 -0.8 -4.3
Oregon 7.4 6.4 -0.4 5.9
Utah 30.5 -8.6 4.4 -4.6
Washington 28.6 4.5 3.6 8.2
Wyoming 2.8 -13.0 -15.6 -26.6
NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data surveys and State Public High School Graduates Model. (This table was prepared May 2001.)

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