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Projections of Education Statistics to 2011
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Table 9.-Percent change in grades 9-12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state, with projections: Fall 1993 to fall 2011
Region and state Actual Projected
1993 to 1999 1999 to 2005 2005 to 2011 1999 to 2011
United States 11.8 8.0 -3.1 4.7
Northeast 8.6 10.6 -6.6 3.3
   Connecticut 17.6 15.2 -9.3 4.6
   Maine 0.0 -2.4 -7.8 -9.9
   Massachusetts 14.2 14.1 -7.9 5.1
   New Hampshire 21.9 9.5 -5.8 3.1
   New Jersey 9.0 18.1 -4.4 13.0
   New York 5.0 10.5 -6.5 3.4
   Pennsylvania 8.5 5.6 -6.5 -1.3
   Rhode Island 11.1 9.7 -10.1 -1.3
   Vermont 15.6 -2.7 -4.1 -6.7
Midwest 7.9 3.3 -4.6 -1.4
   Illinois 5.3 12.4 -3.1 8.9
   Indiana 1.0 5.5 -2.4 2.9
   Iowa 7.2 -1.3 -5.3 -6.5
   Kansas 14.4 -2.9 -1.9 -4.8
   Michigan 9.5 4.6 -7.6 -3.3
   Minnesota 17.3 -0.1 -5.6 -5.8
   Missouri 8.7 3.9 -4.0 -0.2
   Nebraska 11.7 -4.8 -1.8 -6.5
   North Dakota 8.0 -13.9 -4.8 -18.0
   Ohio 4.4 1.4 -5.6 -4.3
   South Dakota 2.2 -14.2 -1.0 -15.0
   Wisconsin 13.3 0.3 -4.6 -4.3
South 12.0 7.4 -1.9 5.4
   Alabama 1.7 0.7 -0.8 -0.1
   Arkansas 5.3 0.3 -4.4 -4.1
   Delaware 12.6 5.4 1.7 7.1
   District of Columbia -10.2 15.9 -9.6 4.7
   Florida 24.8 15.0 -6.3 7.7
   Georgia 16.6 14.4 1.9 16.6
   Kentucky 0.9 -1.3 -4.7 -5.9
   Louisiana -2.1 -5.8 -3.6 -9.2
   Maryland 17.9 12.3 -3.9 7.9
   Mississippi -1.4 0.2 0.0 0.2
   North Carolina 11.8 16.9 -5.0 11.0
   Oklahoma 10.6 -4.3 -8.0 -12.0
   South Carolina 3.6 3.1 -3.7 -0.7
   Tennessee 6.5 4.2 1.8 6.0
   Texas 18.2 7.0 1.5 8.6
   Virginia 13.9 10.9 0.3 11.3
   West Virginia -10.4 -6.7 -5.7 -12.0
West 18.1 11.8 -1.0 10.6
   Alaska 19.9 9.4 -0.6 8.8
   Arizona 25.1 18.9 1.7 20.9
   California 19.5 15.5 -2.9 12.1
   Colorado 22.0 10.0 1.3 11.3
   Hawaii 7.9 1.9 2.9 4.8
   Idaho 9.7 -0.1 10.3 10.3
   Montana 8.0 -7.9 3.0 -5.1
   Nevada 41.5 38.5 2.4 41.9
   New Mexico -0.1 2.1 6.4 8.6
   Oregon 12.2 2.4 -2.9 -0.6
   Utah 6.8 -1.7 3.7 1.9
   Washington 20.9 5.2 -2.4 2.7
   Wyoming 3.2 -15.5 4.2 -11.9
NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers.    Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data surveys and State Public Elementary and Secondary    Enrollment Model. (This table was prepared May 2001.)

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