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Projections of Education Statistics to 2011
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Table 7.-Percent change in grades K-8 enrollment in public schools, by region and state, with projections: Fall 1993 to fall 2011
Region and state Actual Projected
1993 to 1999 1999 to 2005 2005 to 2011 1999 to 2011
United States 6.3 -1.2 0.3 -0.9
Northeast 6.5 -4.1 -3.3 -7.2
   Connecticut 9.6 -6.1 -4.0 -9.9
   Maine -5.0 -4.9 1.0 -3.9
   Massachusetts 9.4 -4.6 -3.8 -8.3
   New Hampshire 7.8 -3.1 0.5 -2.6
   New Jersey 13.1 -2.0 -2.5 -4.5
   New York 5.9 -4.2 -4.0 -8.1
   Pennsylvania 2.4 -4.3 -3.3 -7.4
   Rhode Island 6.0 -6.5 -2.7 -9.0
   Vermont -3.4 -2.5 0.6 -1.9
Midwest 2.8 -2.9 -1.3 -4.1
   Illinois 7.8 -1.5 -2.6 -4.0
   Indiana 3.0 -0.3 -2.0 -2.3
   Iowa -3.5 -3.1 -0.9 -4.0
   Kansas -1.2 -1.5 2.1 0.5
   Michigan 7.3 -5.5 -2.7 -8.0
   Minnesota 0.6 -3.7 0.9 -2.8
   Missouri 4.3 -2.1 -0.3 -2.4
   Nebraska -3.2 -0.9 2.5 1.6
   North Dakota -10.9 -3.7 2.8 -1.0
   Ohio 0.5 -4.0 -2.6 -6.4
   South Dakota -12.4 -0.1 4.6 4.4
   Wisconsin 0.1 -3.1 0.5 -2.6
South 6.6 -0.5 -0.1 -0.6
   Alabama 0.6 -0.1 -1.6 -1.7
   Arkansas 0.0 -2.5 -2.1 -4.5
   Delaware 4.8 1.6 -2.5 -1.0
   District of Columbia -2.5 -4.8 5.0 -0.1
   Florida 13.9 -3.5 -0.9 -4.4
   Georgia 14.7 3.0 0.7 3.7
   Kentucky -1.9 -3.4 -3.6 -6.8
   Louisiana -6.7 -2.3 0.0 -2.3
   Maryland 6.6 -1.2 -0.8 -1.9
   Mississippi -0.9 0.8 -2.9 -2.1
   North Carolina 12.9 -2.0 -4.0 -6.0
   Oklahoma 1.3 -6.9 0.8 -6.1
   South Carolina 3.6 -3.6 -2.1 -5.6
   Tennessee 5.5 2.0 -0.9 1.1
   Texas 8.0 1.9 3.8 5.8
   Virginia 6.5 2.0 -1.5 0.4
   West Virginia -5.7 -5.0 -4.4 -9.2
West 9.3 1.5 4.7 6.3
   Alaska 2.1 3.8 10.0 14.1
   Arizona 18.5 3.7 1.7 5.5
   California 11.1 0.3 5.3 5.6
   Colorado 10.1 2.4 2.2 4.7
   Hawaii 1.2 5.6 8.4 14.4
   Idaho 1.1 10.5 8.1 19.5
   Montana -7.9 3.5 6.3 10.1
   Nevada 36.9 5.0 -1.9 2.9
   New Mexico 1.0 7.5 8.6 16.7
   Oregon 2.8 -1.0 2.8 1.7
   Utah -0.2 4.4 6.3 11.0
   Washington 5.2 -0.2 3.2 2.9
   Wyoming -13.7 4.8 13.0 18.4
NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Includes most kindergarten and some nursery school enrollment.    Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data surveys and State Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model. (This table was prepared May 2001.)

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