National |
Over the projection period, growth in the school-age and traditional college-age populations is expected to cause increases in enrollments. |
The 5- to 17-year old population is projected to increase from 50.9 million in 1998 to 52.0 million in 2010, an increase of 2 percent. The 18- to 24-year-old population is expected to increase from 25.6 million in 1998 to 30.3 million in 2010, an increase of 18 percent (tables B3 and B4). |
Total public and private elementary and secondary enrollment is projected to increase 1 percent over the projection period. |
Total public and private elementary and secondary enrollment is projected to increase from 52.5 million in 1998 to 53.5 million in 2005, an increase of 2 percent . Then total enrollment is projected to decrease by 1 percent to 53.0 million by 2010, resulting in an overall increase of 1 percent from 1998 (table 1). |
Enrollment in higher education is projected to increase 20 percent over the projection period |
Higher education enrollment is projected to increase from an estimated 14.6 million in 1998 to 17.5 million by the year 2010, an increase of 20 percent. A 17-percent increase is projected under the low alternative and a 24-percent increase is projected under the high alternative (table 10). |
The number of high school graduates is projected to increase 14 percent over the projection period. |
High school graduates from public and private high schools are projected to increase from 2.7 million in 1997-98 to 3.1 million by 2009-10, an increase of 14 percent. This significant increase reflects the projected rise in the 18-year-old population (table 33). |
Over the projection period, the number of bachelor's degrees is projected to increase 13 percent. |
The number of bachelor's degrees is expected to increase from 1,175,000 in 1997-98 to 1,324,000 by 2009-10, an increase of 13 percent (table 37). |
The number of classroom teachers is projected to increase 4 percent over the projection period. |
Under the middle alternative, the number of classroom teachers is expected to increase from 3.22 million in 1998 to 3.35 million by the year 2010, an increase of 4 percent. A 2-percent increase is projected under the low alternative and a 7-percent increase is projected under the high alternative (table 41). |
Current expenditures for public elementary and secondary schools are forecast to increase 38 percent from 1997-98 to 2009-10 in constant dollars. |
Under the middle alternative, a 38-percent increase in current expenditures for public elementary and secondary schools is projected for the period from 1997-98 to 2009-10. Under the low alternative, current expenditures are projected to increase by 29 percent; under the high alternative, current expenditures are projected to increase by 50 percent (table 43). |
Current expenditures per pupil are forecast to increase 36 percent for the period 1997-98 to 2009-10 in constant dollars. |
Under the middle alternative, current expenditures per pupil in average daily attendance are forecast to increase 36 percent in constant dollars from 1997-98 to 2009-10. Under the low alternative, current expenditures per pupil are projected to increase 26 percent and under the high alternative, current expenditures per pupil are projected to increase 47 percent (table 43). |
Teacher salaries are projected to increase 7 percent in constant dollars between 1998-99 and 2009-10. |
Under the middle alternative, teacher salaries are projected to increase 7 percent in constant dollars between 1998-99 and 2009-10. A 4-percent increase is projected under the low alternative and an 11-percent increase is projected under the high alternative (table 45). |
Current-fund expenditures are projected to increase in constant dollars in both public and private institutions |
Total current-fund expenditures of institutions of higher education are projected to increase 50 percent in constant dollars under the middle alternative from 1995-96 to 2009-10. A 52-percent increase is projected for public institutions and a 45-percent increase is projected for private institutions (table 46). |
State-Level |
Public elementary and secondary school enrollment (kindergarten through grade 12) is expected to increase between 1999 and the year 2010, but these increases will vary by region. |
Public elementary and secondary school enrollment will increase moderately in the West, where total enrollment is expected to rise 7 percent between 1999 and 2010. Enrollment in the South is projected to increase by 1 percent. The Northeast is expected to decrease by 4 percent, while the Midwest is projected to decrease by 3 percent (table 5). |
Changes in public school enrollment are projected to range from increases of 10 percent or more in some states to decreases in other states between 1999 and 2010. |
Nationally, public school enrollment is projected to increase 0.5 percent between 1999 and 2010. The largest increases are expected in Alaska (12 percent), Arizona (12 percent), Hawaii (12 percent), Idaho (16 percent), Nevada (15 percent), and New Mexico (14 percent) (table 5). |
Growth in the number of graduates from public high schools will vary by region. |
The number of public high school graduates is projected to increase 12 percent between 1998-99 and 2009-10. Across regions, the West is expected to rise by 20 percent. The Northeast is projected to grow by 11 percent. The South and Midwest are expected to increase by 13 percent and 4 percent, respectively, over the projection period (table 35). |
Increases in the number of public high school graduates are projected for most states. |
Between 1998-99 and 2009-10, sizable increases are expected in Arizona (48 percent), Florida (28 percent), Nevada (79 percent), and North Carolina (31 percent) (table 35). |