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Education Statistics Quarterly
Vol 3, Issue 4, Topic:   Libraries
Public Library Trends Analysis: Fiscal Years 1992-1996
By:  Denise Glover
 
This article was originally published as the Executive Summary of the Statistical Analysis Report of the same name. The universe data are from the NCES Public Libraries Survey (PLS).
 
 

The Public Library Trends Analysis report summarizes 5 years of public library data collected through the Public Libraries Survey (PLS), for fiscal years (FY) 1992-96. PLS is conducted annually by the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES) through the Federal-State Cooperative System for Public Library Data.

The purpose of this report is to identify and describe trends in public libraries for 24 selected variables, including library collections, services, operating income and expenditures, and staffing. The national, regional, and state data document how each of the 24 variables changed between FY 92 and FY 96. Librarians, library administrators and library boards, state library agencies, and others can use these trend data to facilitate the planning process, document the use of public funds, and identify services, collections, or resources that need additional support. The 24 selected variables that were analyzed in this report are listed in figure A.

This article presents key findings from the report in four areas: national data compared across the 5 years, regional data compared to national data across the 5 years, regions compared across the 5 years, and each region compared to the other regions for FY 96.


One of the major findings of the report is that, generally, public libraries experienced small increases but no substantial changes in the size of their collections, the number and use of primary services, the amounts of their operating income or expenditures, or the size of their staff.

The only variables that showed fairly substantial increases or significant decreases over the 5-year period were:

  • videos per 1,000 population of legal service area, which increased an average of 16 percent annually (table A);1
  • number of library materials provided by one library to another upon request per 1,000 population of legal service area (hereafter referred to as interlibrary loans provided to other libraries), which increased an average of 9.7 percent annually (table B);
  • number of library materials received by one library from another upon request per 1,000 population of legal service area (hereafter referred to as interlibrary loans received from other libraries), which also increased an average of 9.7 percent annually (table B); and turnover rate, which decreased an average of 1.2 percent annually (table B).2
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To compare regional data, the report used the eight geographic regions provided by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce: New England, Mideast, Southeast, Southwest, Plains, Far West, Rocky Mountains, and Great Lakes.

Figure A.—Variables of interest
Figure A.- Variables of interest

SOURCE: Originally published as exhibit 1 on p.v of the complete report from which this article is excerpted.

Table A.—National mean for collections variables, by year, and average annual percent change: Fiscal years 1992-96
Table A.- National mean for collections variables, by year, and average annual percent change: Fiscal years 1992-96

1
The average percent change for fiscal years 1992-96 is derived by subtracting the national mean for a variable in one year (e.g., 1992) from the national mean in the next year (1993), then dividing the difference by the mean in the first year, and computing the percentage by multiplying by 100. This number is the percent change for the 2 years (e.g., between 1992 and 1993). Once this calculation is performed for each set of years, the yearly percentages are added together, then divided by four, since there are four ranges in years: 1992-93, 1993-94, 1994-95, 1995-96.

2PLSA = Population of legal service area.

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Public Libraries Survey (PLS), fiscal years 1992-96. (Originally published as table 4 on p.12 of the complete report from which this article is excerpted.)

Table B.—National mean for services variables, by year, and average annual percent change: Fiscal years 1992-96
Table B.- National mean for services variables, by year, and average annual percent change: Fiscal years 1992-96

1
The average percent change for fiscal years 1992-96 is derived by subtracting the national mean for a variable in one year (e.g., 1992) from the national mean in the next year (1993), then dividing the difference by the mean in the first year, and computing the percentage by multiplying by 100. This number is the percent change for the 2 years (e.g., between 1992 and 1993). Once this calculation is performed for each set of years, the yearly percentages are added together, then divided by four, since there are four ranges in years: 1992-93, 1993-94, 1994-95, 1995-96.

2PLSA = Population of legal service area.

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Public Libraries Survey (PLS), fiscal years 1992-96. (Originally published as table 6 on p.15 of the complete report from which this article is excerpted.

Over the 5-year period, libraries in the New England, Mideast, Plains, and Great Lakes states generally exceeded the national average for 10 of the 14 collections, services, and staff variables,3 but for only 2 of the 10 financial variables. The two financial variables for which these four regions exceeded the national average were local operating income per capita and operating expenditures for collections per capita.

Generally, libraries in the Southeast, Southwest, and Far West states had substantially lower averages than the national average for 17 of the 24 collections, services, financial, and staff variables.4 However, the turnover rates for libraries in these three regions exceeded the national turnover rate.

Only libraries in the Great Lakes region had a higher average state operating income per capita than the national average, primarily because Ohio, one of the states in this region, receives almost two-thirds of its funding from state sources.

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Over the 5-year period, libraries in the nation as a whole generally experienced small increases in the size of their collections, number and use of services, amounts of operating income and expenditures, and size of staff. Libraries in almost every region showed either small increases or—unlike libraries in the nation as a whole—small decreases in these variables, with a few exceptions. The notable exceptions to this finding are

  • videos per 1,000 population of legal service area, in which all regions experienced dramatic increases (table C);
  • reference transactions per capita, in which libraries in the Mideast and Southeast experienced average annual increases of 7.0 and 8.8 percent, respectively;
  • interlibrary loans received from and provided to other libraries per 1,000 population of legal service area, in which libraries in New England experienced substantial annual increases (averaging 24.5 and 28.7 percent, respectively);
  • state operating income per capita, in which libraries in New England experienced a moderate annual increase (an average of 11.9 percent) and libraries in the Southwest experienced a fairly substantial annual decrease (an average of -15.3 percent);
  • percentage distribution of income from state sources, in which libraries in New England experienced a moderate annual increase (an average of 9.2 percent) and libraries in the Southwest experienced a moderate annual decrease (an average of -9.5 percent); and
  • percentage distribution of income from federal sources, in which libraries in New England and the Mideast experienced fairly substantial annual increases (averaging 21.7 and 17.5 percent, respectively) and libraries in the Southwest and Plains regions experienced fairly substantial annual decreases (averaging -17.5 and -9.2 percent, respectively).

Table C.—Regional means for collections variables, by year, and average annual percent change: Fiscal years 1992-96
Table C.- Regional means for collections variables, by year, and average annual percent change: Fiscal years 1992-96
1
The average percent change for fiscal years 1992-96 is derived by subtracting the region’s mean for a variable in one year (e.g., 1992) from the region’s mean in the next year (1993), then dividing the difference by the mean in the first year, and computing the percentage by multiplying by 100. This number is the percent change for the 2 years (e.g., between 1992 and 1993). Once this calculation is performed for each set of years, the yearly percentages are added together, then divided by four, since there are four ranges in years: 1992-93, 1993-94, 1994-95, and 1995-96.

2PLSA = Population of legal service area.

SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Public Libraries Survey (PLS), fiscal years 1992-96. (Originally published as table 15 on p. 33 of the complete report from which this article is excerpted.)

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Generally, in FY 96, when compared to the other five regions, libraries in the New England, Great Lakes, and Mideast regions had higher averages for many (15 of the 24) variables of interest listed in figure A. This finding did not hold true for turnover rate, reference transactions per capita, net loan rate, local operating income per capita, state operating income per capita, and percent of income from local, state, federal, and other sources.

In FY 96, libraries in the Southeast, Southwest, and Far West, as compared to the other five regions, generally showed lower averages for many (16 of the 24) variables of interest. Variables that were exceptions to this finding include turnover rate, interlibrary loans provided to other libraries per 1,000 population of legal service area, state operating income per capita, operating expenditures for staff per capita, and percent of income from other sources.

Without further research, the reasons for these regional differences could not be determined. However, a correlation analysis is often used to describe the relationship between two variables. In this case, the correlation analysis indicated that libraries with higher circulation per capita tended to have higher total operating expenditures per capita. To a lesser degree, libraries with higher numbers of visits per capita also tended to have higher total operating expenditures per capita.

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Footnotes

1Population of legal service area refers to the number of people in the geographic area for which a public library has been established to offer services and from which (or on behalf of which) the library derives income, plus any areas served under contract for which the library is the primary service provider.

2Turnover rate is the average total annual circulation per volume owned. This number is calculated by dividing the total annual circulation by the total number of the library’s books and serial volumes, plus audio materials and video materials.

3These variables were book/serial volumes per capita (per capita figures are based on the total unduplicated population of legal service areas in the states, not on the total population of the states), serial subscriptions per 1,000 population of legal service area, and audios and videos per 1,000 population of legal service area; circulation and library visits per capita, and interlibrary loans received from and provided to other libraries per 1,000 population of legal service area; and paid full-time-equivalent (FTE) librarians with Master’s of Library Science (MLS) degrees from programs in library and information science accredited by the American Library Association (ALA) per 25,000 population of legal service area and total paid FTE staff per 25,000 population of legal service area.

4These variables were book/serial volumes per capita, serial subscriptions per 1,000 population of legal service area, and audios and videos per 1,000 population of legal service area; circulation and library visits per capita, and interlibrary loans received from and provided to other libraries per 1,000 population of legal service area; total operating income per capita, state operating income per capita, total operating expenditures per capita, operating expenditures for collections per capita, and operating expenditures for staff per capita; percentage distribution of income from state sources and other sources; and paid FTE librarians with MLS degrees from programs in library and information science accredited by the ALA per 25,000 population of legal service area and total paid FTE staff per 25,000 population of legal service area.

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Data source: The NCES Public Libraries Survey (PLS), fiscal years 1992-96.

For technical information, see the complete report:

Glover, D. (2001). Public Library Trends Analysis: Fiscal Years 1992-1996 (NCES 2001–324).

Author affiliation: D. Glover, Westat.

For questions about content, contact Adrienne Chute (adrienne.chute@ed.gov).

To obtain the complete report (NCES 2001-324), call the toll-free ED Pubs number (877-433-7827), visit the NCES Web Site (http://nces.ed.gov), or contact GPO (202-512-1800).



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