Projections of Education Statistics to 2021

NCES 2013-008
January 2013


Table F.  Mean absolute percentage errors (MAPEs) of projected enrollment in postsecondary degree-granting institutions, by lead time and race/ethnicity: 2012
Statistic Lead time (years)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Total enrollment 1.7 2.6 3.6 4.7 5.3 6.2 7.6 9.4 11.7 13.1
White 1.1 2.4 3.9 5.5 6.7 7.4
Black 4.2 8.8 12.5 15.8 19.0 20.5
Hispanic 4.2 8.6 12.1 15.5 18.9 22.1
Asian/Pacific Islander 2.6 5.0 5.7 7.0 6.0 4.7
American Indian/Alaska Native 5.2 4.1 5.6 3.3 2.4 5.0
Nonresident alien 2.7 4.8 7.8 9.5 7.3 2.1
—Not available.
NOTE: MAPEs for total postsecondary degree-granting institution enrollments were calculated using the last 14 editions of Projections of Education Statistics, and MAPEs for degree-granting institution enrollments were calculated using the last six editions of Projections of Education Statistics. Calculations were made using unrounded numbers. Some data have been revised from previously published figures.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Projections of Education Statistics, various issues. (This table was prepared February 2012.)