| Table A-7. Mean absolute percentage errors (MAPEs) for projected prekindergarten–12 enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools, by lead time, region, and state: 2012 (Table 7—Continued) |
|---|
| Region and state | Lead time (years) | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| United States | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.6 |
| Northeast | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 1.1 |
| Connecticut | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 5.6 | 6.8 |
| Maine | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| Massachusetts | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.1 |
| New Hampshire | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| New Jersey | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 5.1 | 6.2 |
| New York | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 3.1 | 3.2 |
| Pennsylvania | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| Rhode Island | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3.0 | 2.5 |
| Vermont | 1.1 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 3.6 | 4.1 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 6.5 |
| Midwest | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Illinois | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 3.2 |
| Indiana | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| Iowa | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.7 |
| Kansas | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.3 |
| Michigan | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 3.4 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| Minnesota | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Missouri | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Nebraska | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.4 |
| North Dakota | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 4.1 | 5.6 | 6.9 | 8.3 | 10.1 |
| Ohio | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2.0 |
| South Dakota | 1.3 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 6.5 | 6.9 | 7.7 | 8.4 | 10.3 |
| Wisconsin | 0.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| See notes at end of table. (Table 7—Continued) |
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