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Projections of Education Statistics to 2021

NCES 2013-008
January 2013


Table 29.  Actual and projected numbers for enrollment of U.S. residents in all postsecondary degree-granting institutions, by race/ethnicity: Fall 1996 through fall 2021
[In thousands]
Year Total Race/ethnicity
White Black Hispanic Asian/Pacific Islander American Indian/
Alaska Native
Actual            
1996 13,901 10,264 1,506 1,166 828 138
1997 14,037 10,266 1,551 1,218 859 142
1998 14,063 10,179 1,583 1,257 900 144
1999 14,362 10,329 1,649 1,324 914 146
2000 14,784 10,462 1,730 1,462 978 151
2001 15,363 10,775 1,850 1,561 1,019 158
2002 16,021 11,140 1,979 1,662 1,074 166
2003 16,314 11,281 2,068 1,716 1,076 173
2004 16,682 11,423 2,165 1,810 1,109 176
2005 16,903 11,495 2,215 1,882 1,134 176
2006 17,163 11,572 2,280 1,964 1,165 181
2007 17,624 11,756 2,383 2,076 1,218 190
2008 18,442 12,089 2,584 2,273 1,303 193
2009 19,743 12,731 2,920 2,547 1,338 208
2010 20,307 12,930 3,088 2,785 1,303 200
Projected            
2011 20,551 12,996 3,144 2,871 1,338 201
2012 20,782 13,042 3,216 2,959 1,364 201
2013 20,987 13,060 3,288 3,051 1,386 201
2014 21,209 13,073 3,372 3,159 1,405 201
2015 21,390 13,053 3,448 3,267 1,422 200
2016 21,613 13,066 3,527 3,379 1,442 200
2017 21,910 13,136 3,610 3,498 1,466 200
2018 22,248 13,236 3,694 3,626 1,492 201
2019 22,561 13,328 3,764 3,750 1,517 202
2020 22,822 13,388 3,824 3,868 1,540 202
2021 23,010 13,407 3,873 3,967 1,560 202
NOTE: Race categories exclude persons of Hispanic ethnicity. Because of underreporting and nonreporting of racial/ethnic data and nonresident aliens, some estimates are slightly lower than corresponding data in other published tables. Enrollment data in the “race/ethnicity unknown” (all years) and “two or more races” (2008, 2009, and 2010 only) categories of the IPEDS “Enrollment component” have been prorated to the other racial/ethnic categories at the institutional level. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A. Some data have been revised from previously published figures.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS), “Fall Enrollment Survey” (IPEDS-EF:96–99); IPEDS Spring 2001 through Spring 2011, Enrollment component; and Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions by Race/Ethnicity Model, 1980–2010. (This table was prepared February 2012.)

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