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Projections of Education Statistics to 2021

NCES 2013-008
January 2013


Table 19.  Actual and projected numbers for current expenditures and current expenditures per pupil in average daily attendance (ADA) for public elementary and secondary education: School years 1996–97 through 2021–22
School year ADA
(in thousands)
Current expenditures
Constant 2010–11 dollars1   Current dollars
Total
(in billions)
Per pupil
in ADA
  Total
(in billions)
Per pupil
in ADA
Actual            
1996–97 42,262 $375.9 $8,895   $270.2 $6,393
1997–98 42,766 390.2 9,125   285.5 6,676
1998–99 43,187 407.0 9,423   302.9 7,013
1999–2000 43,807 423.0 9,656   323.9 7,394
2000–01 44,076 440.0 9,982   348.4 7,904
2001–02 44,605 457.1 10,249   368.4 8,259
2002–03 45,017 470.6 10,454   387.6 8,610
2003–04 45,326 479.2 10,573   403.4 8,900
2004–05 45,625 490.2 10,745   425.0 9,316
2005–06 45,932 499.2 10,867   449.1 9,778
2006–07 46,133 516.5 11,196   476.8 10,336
2007–08 46,156 529.4 11,471   506.9 10,982
2008–09 46,213 534.6 11,568   519.0 11,231
Projected            
2009–10 46,176 519.3 11,246   519.3 11,246
2010–11 46,280 539.5 11,657   539.4 11,655
2011–12 46,422 541.6 11,668   556.0 11,976
2012–13 46,602 548.7 11,775   571.4 12,261
2013–14 46,825 556.8 11,890   591.3 12,628
2014–15 47,143 571.3 12,119   619.1 13,132
2015–16 47,486 585.6 12,332  
2016–17 47,834 599.0 12,522  
2017–18 48,188 612.5 12,711  
2018–19 48,521 625.5 12,892  
2019–20 48,876 639.8 13,091  
2020–21 49,276 654.5 13,283  
2021–22 49,674 665.5 13,397  
–Not available: projections in current dollars are not shown after 2014–15 due to uncertain behavior of inflation over time.
1Based on the Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor. For more detail about CPI, see table B-6 in appendix B.
NOTE: Calculations were made using unrounded numbers. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “National Public Education Financial Survey,” 1996–97 through 2008–09; National Elementary and Secondary Average Daily Attendance Model, 1994–95 through 2008–09; and Public Elementary and Secondary Education Current Expenditures Model, 1969–70 through 2008–09. (This table was prepared February 2012.)

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