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Projections of Education Statistics to 2021

NCES 2013-008
January 2013


Table 18.  Actual and projected numbers for current expenditures and current expenditures per pupil in fall enrollment for public elementary and secondary education: School years 1996–97 through 2021–22
School year Fall enrollment
(in thousands)
Current expenditures
Constant 2010–11 dollars1   Current dollars
Total
(in billions)
Per pupil in
fall enrollment
  Total
(in billions)
Per pupil in
fall enrollment
Actual            
1996–97 45,611 $375.9 $8,242   $270.2 $5,923
1997–98 46,127 390.2 8,460   285.5 6,189
1998–99 46,539 407.0 8,745   302.9 6,508
1999–2000 46,857 423.0 9,028   323.9 6,912
2000–01 47,204 440.0 9,321   348.4 7,380
2001–02 47,672 457.1 9,589   368.4 7,727
2002–03 48,183 470.6 9,767   387.6 8,044
2003–04 48,540 479.2 9,873   403.4 8,310
2004–05 48,795 490.2 10,047   425.0 8,711
2005–06 49,113 499.2 10,163   449.1 9,145
2006–072 49,262 516.5 10,473   476.8 9,669
2007–082 49,221 529.4 10,741   506.9 10,283
2008–092 49,003 534.6 10,909   519.0 10,591
Projected            
2009–103 49,373 519.3 10,518   519.3 10,518
2010–113 49,484 539.5 10,902   539.4 10,901
2011–12 49,636 541.6 10,912   556.0 11,201
2012–13 49,828 548.7 11,012   571.4 11,467
2013–14 50,067 556.8 11,121   591.3 11,810
2014–15 50,407 571.3 11,335   619.1 12,281
2015–16 50,773 585.6 11,534  
2016–17 51,146 599.0 11,711  
2017–18 51,524 612.5 11,888  
2018–19 51,880 625.5 12,058  
2019–20 52,260 639.8 12,243  
2020–21 52,688 654.5 12,423  
2021–22 53,113 665.5 12,530  
–Not available: projections in current dollars are not shown after 2014–15 due to uncertain behavior of inflation over time.
1Based on the Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor. For more detail about CPI, see table B-6 in appendix B.
2Fall enrollment pertains only to students for whom finance data were collected. This enrollment count differs slightly from enrollment counts reported on other tables.
3The fall enrollment numbers for 2009–10 and 2010–11 are actual numbers.
NOTE: Calculations were made using unrounded numbers. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” 1996–97 through 2010–11; “National Public Education Financial Survey,” 1996–97 through 2008–09; National Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1972–2010; and Public Elementary and Secondary Education Current Expenditures Model, 1969–70 through 2008–09. (This table was prepared February 2012.)

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