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Projections of Education Statistics to 2021

NCES 2013-008
January 2013


Table 16.  Actual and projected numbers for elementary and secondary teachers and elementary and secondary new teacher hires, by control of school: Fall 1996 through fall 2021
[In thousands]
Year Number of teachers   Number of new teacher hires
Total   Control       Control
  Public   Private   Total   Public   Private
Actual                      
1996 1 3,051   2,667   384      
1997 3,138   2,746   391      
1998 1 3,230   2,830   400      
1999 3,319   2,911   408   305   222   83
2000 1 3,366   2,941   424      
2001 3,440   3,000   441      
2002 1 3,476   3,034   442      
2003 3,490   3,049   441   311   236   74
2004 1 3,536   3,091   445      
2005 3,593   3,143   450      
2006 1 3,619   3,166   453      
2007 3,634   3,178   456   327   246   80
2008 1,2 3,667   3,219   448   386   310   76
2009 2 3,647   3,210   437   358   289   69
2010 1,2 3,653   3,210   443   385   301   84
Projected                      
2011 3,679   3,246   432   407   339   69
2012 3,711   3,283   428   416   344   72
2013 3,738   3,312   426   414   340   74
2014 3,782   3,357   425   434   359   75
2015 3,830   3,403   427   441   364   78
2016 3,881   3,451   430   448   369   79
2017 3,935   3,500   434   454   373   81
2018 3,988   3,549   439   459   377   82
2019 4,045   3,601   444   467   383   84
2020 4,102   3,651   451   472   386   86
2021 4,151   3,694   457   470   384   87
—Not available.                      
1 Since the biennial Private School Universe Survey (PSS) is collected in the fall of odd-numbered years, private school numbers for alternate years are estimated based on data from the PSS.
2 Public and private new teacher hire numbers are estimated using the New Teacher Hires Model. For more information about the New Teacher Hires model, see appendix A-3.
NOTE: Number of teachers reported in full-time equivalents. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” 1996–97 through 2010–11; Private School Universe Survey (PSS), selected years, 1997–98 through 2009–10; Schools and Staffing Survey (SASS), "Public School Teacher Questionnaire," 1999-2000 through 2007-08 and "Private School Teacher Questionnaire," 1999-2000 through 2007-08; Elementary and Secondary Teacher Model, 1973–2010; and New Teacher Hires Model, 1988–2007. (This table was prepared March 2012.)

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