| Table 15. Actual and projected percentage changes in public high school graduates, by region and state: School years 2003–04 through 2021–22 |
|---|
| Region and state | Actual 2003–04 to 2008–09 | Projected | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008–09 to 2015–16 | 2015–16 to 2021–22 | 2008–09 to 2021–22 | |||
| United States | 10.4 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 4.7 | |
| Northeast | 13.9 | -0.4 | 0.3 | -0.1 | |
| Connecticut | 1.1 | 0.6 | -5.9 | -5.3 | |
| Maine | 6.1 | -10.6 | -3.2 | -13.4 | |
| Massachusetts | 11.9 | -3.4 | -1.6 | -5.0 | |
| New Hampshire | 10.9 | -8.3 | -6.6 | -14.3 | |
| New Jersey | 13.4 | -3.9 | -0.2 | -4.1 | |
| New York | 26.9 | 9.5 | -0.5 | 9.0 | |
| Pennsylvania | 5.8 | -7.0 | 6.5 | -0.9 | |
| Rhode Island | 8.3 | -7.6 | -0.8 | -8.3 | |
| Vermont | 1.5 | -16.4 | -5.8 | -21.2 | |
| Midwest | 5.5 | -6.0 | 1.6 | -4.5 | |
| Illinois | 5.5 | -0.9 | 0.5 | -0.4 | |
| Indiana | 13.7 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 4.5 | |
| Iowa | -1.2 | -3.7 | 2.7 | -1.1 | |
| Kansas | 0.7 | 4.6 | 6.7 | 11.7 | |
| Michigan | 14.1 | -11.4 | -5.5 | -16.3 | |
| Minnesota | 1.1 | -5.3 | 10.0 | 4.1 | |
| Missouri | 8.6 | -2.0 | 0.8 | -1.2 | |
| Nebraska | -4.0 | 1.1 | 13.0 | 14.3 | |
| North Dakota | -8.3 | -2.5 | 12.8 | 9.9 | |
| Ohio | 2.7 | -17.0 | -1.4 | -18.2 | |
| South Dakota | -9.8 | 0.2 | 8.8 | 9.1 | |
| Wisconsin | 4.2 | -7.8 | 3.7 | -4.4 | |
| South | 12.8 | 5.5 | 5.3 | 11.1 | |
| Alabama | 15.4 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 6.1 | |
| Arkansas | 3.2 | 3.3 | 3.5 | 6.9 | |
| Delaware | 12.8 | 1.9 | 11.1 | 13.3 | |
| District of Columbia | 16.0 | -20.7 | -9.7 | -28.3 | |
| Florida | 16.8 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 6.9 | |
| Georgia | 28.4 | 7.2 | 1.9 | 10.0 | |
| Kentucky | 10.8 | -5.4 | 2.2 | -3.3 | |
| Louisiana | -3.8 | -1.6 | 3.1 | 1.4 | |
| Maryland | 10.3 | -3.2 | 6.6 | 3.1 | |
| Mississippi | 3.2 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 5.7 | |
| North Carolina | 20.2 | 4.8 | -2.9 | 1.8 | |
| Oklahoma | 1.1 | 5.1 | 6.4 | 11.9 | |
| South Carolina | 17.7 | 3.2 | 5.8 | 9.1 | |
| Tennessee | 31.0 | -0.4 | 3.7 | 3.3 | |
| Texas | 8.2 | 14.7 | 11.8 | 28.2 | |
| Virginia | 10.6 | 1.4 | 6.2 | 7.7 | |
| West Virginia | 2.0 | -3.8 | 1.3 | -2.5 | |
| West | 9.3 | 1.9 | 6.3 | 8.4 | |
| Alaska | 10.7 | -8.0 | 8.4 | -0.2 | |
| Arizona | 37.1 | -5.3 | 12.4 | 6.4 | |
| California | 8.4 | -0.2 | 4.6 | 4.4 | |
| Colorado | 6.0 | 11.7 | 11.5 | 24.5 | |
| Hawaii | 11.5 | -9.7 | 3.0 | -7.0 | |
| Idaho | 8.1 | 1.7 | 4.3 | 6.1 | |
| Montana | -4.0 | -10.1 | 5.7 | -4.9 | |
| Nevada | 30.9 | 28.0 | 3.6 | 32.5 | |
| New Mexico | 0.2 | 5.1 | 9.0 | 14.6 | |
| Oregon | 6.6 | -0.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | |
| Utah | 0.7 | 13.3 | 15.4 | 30.7 | |
| Washington | 2.4 | 6.5 | 5.1 | 12.0 | |
| Wyoming | -5.8 | 3.2 | 10.8 | 14.3 | |
| NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of public high school graduates by state and region can be found in table A-10, appendix A. | |||||
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” 2004–05 and 2009–10; and State Public High School Graduates Model, 1980–81 through 2008–09. (This table was prepared January 2012.) |
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