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Projections of Education Statistics to 2021

NCES 2013-008
January 2013


Table 14.  Actual and projected numbers for public high school graduates, by region and state: School years 2003–04 through 2021–22 (Table 14—Continued)
Region and state Actual   Projected
2003–04 2004–05 2005–06 2006–07 2007–08 2008–09   2009–10 2010–11 2011–12 2012–13
United States 2,753,438 2,799,250 2,815,544 2,893,045 3,001,337 3,039,015   3,068,550 3,103,540 3,100,510 3,092,290
                       
Northeast 485,670 503,528 521,015 536,697 552,289 552,973   558,750 560,500 554,690 549,890
Connecticut 34,573 35,515 36,222 37,541 38,419 34,968   38,120 38,450 37,100 36,460
Maine 13,278 13,077 12,950 13,151 14,350 14,093   13,970 14,030 13,570 13,060
Massachusetts 58,326 59,665 61,272 63,903 65,197 65,258   64,040 63,820 64,210 63,530
New Hampshire 13,309 13,775 13,988 14,452 14,982 14,757   14,830 14,300 14,310 14,060
New Jersey 83,826 86,502 90,049 93,013 94,994 95,085   96,510 95,200 94,280 93,880
New York 142,526 153,203 161,817 168,333 176,310 180,917   182,880 185,930 185,910 187,890
Pennsylvania 123,474 124,758 127,830 128,603 130,298 130,658   131,250 132,100 128,430 124,830
Rhode Island 9,258 9,881 10,108 10,384 10,347 10,028   10,090 9,880 10,020 9,650
Vermont 7,100 7,152 6,779 7,317 7,392 7,209   7,070 6,790 6,860 6,530
                       
Midwest 680,178 676,786 684,049 702,987 721,220 717,536   707,880 702,540 698,810 692,640
Illinois 124,763 123,615 126,817 130,220 135,143 131,670   132,200 132,670 136,650 135,750
Indiana 56,008 55,444 57,920 59,887 61,901 63,663   63,830 65,460 65,490 65,990
Iowa 34,339 33,547 33,693 34,127 34,573 33,926   34,580 33,710 33,500 32,580
Kansas 30,155 30,355 29,818 30,139 30,737 30,368   31,630 31,320 31,600 31,380
Michigan 98,823 101,582 102,582 111,838 115,183 112,742   113,820 110,300 107,020 107,150
Minnesota 59,096 58,391 58,898 59,497 60,409 59,729   60,400 59,720 58,770 57,250
Missouri 57,983 57,841 58,417 60,275 61,717 62,969   63,640 62,470 62,310 61,860
Nebraska 20,309 19,940 19,764 19,873 20,035 19,501   19,640 19,620 19,750 19,660
North Dakota 7,888 7,555 7,192 7,159 6,999 7,232   7,160 7,110 7,000 6,980
Ohio 119,029 116,702 117,356 117,658 120,758 122,203   107,900 108,010 105,130 104,260
South Dakota 9,001 8,585 8,589 8,346 8,582 8,123   8,240 8,550 8,400 8,280
Wisconsin 62,784 63,229 63,003 63,968 65,183 65,410   64,840 63,600 63,190 61,500
                       
South 946,808 953,206 962,327 986,801 1,031,773 1,068,270   1,087,000 1,108,150 1,111,310 1,120,870
Alabama 36,464 37,453 37,918 38,912 41,346 42,082   43,110 44,520 44,570 44,400
Arkansas 27,181 26,621 28,790 27,166 28,725 28,057   28,650 28,440 28,520 28,170
Delaware 6,951 6,934 7,275 7,205 7,388 7,839   8,050 8,190 8,520 8,320
District of Columbia 3,031 2,781 3,150 2,944 3,352 3,517   3,150 3,260 3,250 3,200
Florida 131,418 133,318 134,686 142,284 149,046 153,461   158,070 163,620 159,450 164,040
Georgia 68,550 70,834 73,498 77,829 83,505 88,003   89,730 92,160 90,130 91,980
Kentucky 37,787 38,399 38,449 39,099 39,339 41,851   41,310 41,930 40,950 40,310
Louisiana 37,019 36,009 33,275 34,274 34,401 35,622   34,790 34,450 34,700 35,210
Maryland 52,870 54,170 55,536 57,564 59,171 58,304   58,560 57,900 58,760 58,560
Mississippi 23,735 23,523 23,848 24,186 24,795 24,505   26,260 26,930 26,610 26,710
North Carolina 72,126 75,010 76,710 76,031 83,307 86,712   84,900 87,370 90,280 89,820
Oklahoma 36,799 36,227 36,497 37,100 37,630 37,219   38,510 38,120 38,170 37,800
South Carolina 33,235 33,439 34,970 35,108 35,303 39,114   39,560 39,880 40,480 39,960
Tennessee 46,096 47,967 50,880 54,502 57,486 60,368   61,500 62,520 61,470 60,180
Texas 244,165 239,717 240,485 241,193 252,121 264,275   273,050 279,970 285,530 292,940
Virginia 72,042 73,667 69,597 73,997 77,369 79,651   80,270 81,600 82,770 81,870
West Virginia 17,339 17,137 16,763 17,407 17,489 17,690   17,540 17,300 17,150 17,410
                       
West 640,782 665,730 648,153 666,560 696,055 700,236   714,920 732,350 735,710 728,890
Alaska 7,236 6,909 7,361 7,666 7,855 8,008   7,820 7,720 7,750 7,450
Arizona 45,508 59,498 54,091 55,954 61,667 62,374   64,800 66,490 64,670 61,830
California 343,480 355,217 343,515 356,641 374,561 372,310   375,070 386,220 390,270 387,300
Colorado 44,777 44,532 44,424 45,628 46,082 47,459   49,780 51,820 52,580 52,830
Hawaii 10,324 10,813 10,922 11,063 11,613 11,508   10,860 11,070 11,150 10,670
Idaho 15,547 15,768 16,096 16,242 16,567 16,807   17,280 17,390 17,150 16,840
Montana 10,500 10,335 10,283 10,122 10,396 10,077   9,910 9,690 9,560 9,210
Nevada 15,201 15,740 16,455 17,149 18,815 19,904   22,190 24,990 25,790 25,680
New Mexico 17,892 17,353 17,822 16,131 18,264 17,931   18,660 19,080 19,080 18,840
Oregon 32,958 32,602 32,394 33,446 34,949 35,138   35,300 35,410 34,780 34,730
Utah 30,252 30,253 29,050 28,276 28,167 30,463   31,280 30,340 30,590 31,330
Washington 61,274 61,094 60,213 62,801 61,625 62,764   66,470 66,580 66,720 66,790
Wyoming 5,833 5,616 5,527 5,441 5,494 5,493   5,510 5,570 5,630 5,380
See notes at end of table. (Table 14—Continued)

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