| Table 11. Actual and projected percentage changes in grades 9–12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Fall 2003 through fall 2021 |
|---|
| Region and state | Actual 2003–2010 |
Projected | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010–2016 | 2016–2021 | 2010–2021 | |||
| United States | 3.6 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 4.4 | |
| Northeast | -0.4 | 0.7 | -0.2 | 0.6 | |
| Connecticut | 2.2 | -7.7 | -2.7 | -10.2 | |
| Maine | -4.0 | -8.2 | 0.8 | -7.5 | |
| Massachusetts | 0.3 | -2.5 | -1.3 | -3.8 | |
| New Hampshire | -3.4 | -7.8 | -1.8 | -9.4 | |
| New Jersey | 4.7 | -3.8 | -0.5 | -4.2 | |
| New York | -2.3 | 9.8 | -2.3 | 7.2 | |
| Pennsylvania | # | -2.1 | 4.6 | 2.4 | |
| Rhode Island | -4.4 | -9.9 | 5.7 | -4.7 | |
| Vermont | -10.8 | -11.7 | -0.1 | -11.7 | |
| Midwest | -1.4 | -1.7 | 1.1 | -0.6 | |
| Illinois | 4.7 | -1.5 | -0.5 | -2.0 | |
| Indiana | 8.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 1.2 | |
| Iowa | -4.4 | -0.1 | 1.7 | 1.6 | |
| Kansas | -4.9 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 8.3 | |
| Michigan | -3.2 | -7.8 | -2.7 | -10.3 | |
| Minnesota | -3.8 | 0.9 | 8.3 | 9.3 | |
| Missouri | 0.7 | -0.8 | 1.8 | 1.0 | |
| Nebraska | -2.1 | 5.4 | 7.3 | 13.2 | |
| North Dakota | -11.9 | -0.6 | 12.5 | 11.9 | |
| Ohio | -6.3 | -2.8 | -1.7 | -4.5 | |
| South Dakota | -3.4 | -1.4 | 8.0 | 6.5 | |
| Wisconsin | -5.7 | -1.8 | 3.6 | 1.7 | |
| South | 7.5 | 5.1 | 2.6 | 7.8 | |
| Alabama | 7.8 | 2.0 | -1.4 | 0.6 | |
| Arkansas | 2.5 | 4.6 | 0.3 | 5.0 | |
| Delaware | 12.5 | 2.6 | 5.6 | 8.4 | |
| District of Columbia | -4.5 | -13.2 | -9.2 | -21.2 | |
| Florida | 3.9 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 3.7 | |
| Georgia | 13.2 | 5.4 | 1.6 | 7.1 | |
| Kentucky | 4.1 | 0.9 | -1.7 | -0.8 | |
| Louisiana | -3.7 | 4.5 | -1.8 | 2.6 | |
| Maryland | 0.3 | -2.3 | 8.0 | 5.6 | |
| Mississippi | 5.3 | -2.1 | -1.7 | -3.8 | |
| North Carolina | 11.9 | 7.5 | -6.5 | 0.6 | |
| Oklahoma | 0.3 | 6.1 | 3.6 | 10.0 | |
| South Carolina | 5.9 | 5.7 | 1.4 | 7.1 | |
| Tennessee | 9.3 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 3.1 | |
| Texas | 12.5 | 11.7 | 7.5 | 20.1 | |
| Virginia | 7.1 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 6.5 | |
| West Virginia | -1.2 | -0.2 | -2.3 | -2.5 | |
| West | 5.8 | 0.6 | 5.9 | 6.5 | |
| Alaska | -0.3 | 1.6 | 8.8 | 10.5 | |
| Arizona | 3.9 | # | 8.7 | 8.7 | |
| California | 6.8 | -0.8 | 6.0 | 5.1 | |
| Colorado | 9.4 | 7.8 | 6.2 | 14.4 | |
| Hawaii | -2.8 | -4.6 | 5.2 | 0.4 | |
| Idaho | 6.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 7.1 | |
| Montana | -10.4 | -2.6 | 5.8 | 3.0 | |
| Nevada | 24.1 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 8.2 | |
| New Mexico | 1.8 | 5.1 | 5.8 | 11.2 | |
| Oregon | 2.8 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 4.1 | |
| Utah | 5.6 | -0.4 | 1.9 | 1.5 | |
| Washington | 2.3 | 2.1 | 6.4 | 8.6 | |
| Wyoming | -5.3 | 5.9 | 7.8 | 14.1 | |
| # Rounds to zero. | |||||
| NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers.Mean absolute percentage errors of 9-12 enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools by state and region can be found in table A-9, appendix A. | |||||
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” selected years, 2003–04 through 2010–11; and State Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2010. (This table was prepared January 2012.) | |||||
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