| Table 9. Actual and projected percentage changes in grades PK–8 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Fall 2003 through fall 2021 |
|---|
| Region and state | Actual 2003–2010 |
Projected | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010–2016 | 2016–2021 | 2010–2021 | |||
| United States | 1.2 | 4.1 | 4.4 | 8.6 | |
| Northeast | -3.7 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2.9 | |
| Connecticut | -5.0 | -1.4 | 3.5 | 2.1 | |
| Maine | -7.5 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 4.3 | |
| Massachusetts | -3.7 | -1.4 | 1.3 | -0.1 | |
| New Hampshire | -7.4 | 0.4 | 7.1 | 7.5 | |
| New Jersey | 0.3 | -0.9 | 1.9 | 1.0 | |
| New York | -5.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | |
| Pennsylvania | -2.1 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 7.9 | |
| Rhode Island | -12.1 | 4.1 | 5.1 | 9.4 | |
| Vermont | 1.9 | 3.7 | 6.6 | 10.6 | |
| Midwest | -2.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 | 3.8 | |
| Illinois | -2.5 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.1 | |
| Indiana | 1.8 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 3.6 | |
| Iowa | 6.5 | 1.4 | -0.8 | 0.6 | |
| Kansas | 6.3 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 4.8 | |
| Michigan | -12.5 | -0.8 | 2.4 | 1.6 | |
| Minnesota | 1.0 | 9.9 | 7.3 | 17.9 | |
| Missouri | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 3.8 | |
| Nebraska | 7.6 | 5.6 | 0.3 | 5.9 | |
| North Dakota | -2.7 | 7.6 | -0.7 | 6.9 | |
| Ohio | -4.3 | -1.0 | # | -1.0 | |
| South Dakota | 2.2 | 5.3 | 0.7 | 6.1 | |
| Wisconsin | 1.5 | 4.9 | 3.6 | 8.6 | |
| South | 6.0 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 9.3 | |
| Alabama | 1.6 | -0.8 | -0.3 | -1.1 | |
| Arkansas | 7.6 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.5 | |
| Delaware | 8.9 | 7.4 | 3.5 | 11.1 | |
| District of Columbia | -10.0 | -8.2 | -5.4 | -13.2 | |
| Florida | 1.4 | 5.2 | 8.5 | 14.2 | |
| Georgia | 9.0 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 9.8 | |
| Kentucky | 0.4 | -1.3 | -1.0 | -2.3 | |
| Louisiana | -4.5 | -0.8 | -2.4 | -3.2 | |
| Maryland | -2.9 | 8.9 | 8.2 | 17.8 | |
| Mississippi | -2.8 | -2.5 | -3.4 | -5.8 | |
| North Carolina | 8.7 | -0.6 | 6.4 | 5.8 | |
| Oklahoma | 7.4 | 2.7 | 0.4 | 3.1 | |
| South Carolina | 3.0 | 2.9 | 2.3 | 5.2 | |
| Tennessee | 3.9 | 2.7 | 4.2 | 7.0 | |
| Texas | 14.5 | 9.2 | 6.3 | 16.0 | |
| Virginia | 4.1 | 6.1 | 6.0 | 12.4 | |
| West Virginia | 1.3 | -4.6 | -6.4 | -10.7 | |
| West | 0.3 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 15.4 | |
| Alaska | -1.8 | 13.2 | 12.0 | 26.8 | |
| Arizona | 6.8 | 12.2 | 11.4 | 25.0 | |
| California | -5.3 | 7.0 | 6.7 | 14.2 | |
| Colorado | 12.1 | 7.4 | 4.9 | 12.6 | |
| Hawaii | -1.9 | 3.4 | # | 3.5 | |
| Idaho | 10.7 | 6.1 | 5.3 | 11.8 | |
| Montana | -1.7 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 7.0 | |
| Nevada | 9.5 | 9.7 | 14.8 | 26.0 | |
| New Mexico | 5.9 | 6.5 | 1.4 | 8.0 | |
| Oregon | 3.8 | 7.1 | 8.4 | 16.1 | |
| Utah | 20.0 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 9.6 | |
| Washington | 2.1 | 8.8 | 10.3 | 20.0 | |
| Wyoming | 5.1 | 4.7 | -4.1 | 0.4 | |
| # Rounds to zero. | |||||
| NOTE: PK=prekindergarten. Calculations are based on unrounded numbers.Mean absolute percentage errors of PK-8 enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools by state and region can be found in table A-8, appendix A. | |||||
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” selected years, 2002–03 through 2010–11; and State Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2010. (This table was prepared Febuary 2012.) |
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