| Table 7. Actual and projected percentage changes in grades PK–12 enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools, by region and state: Fall 2003 through fall 2021 |
|---|
| Region and state | Actual 2003–2010 |
Projected | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010–2016 | 2016–2021 | 2010–2021 | |||
| United States | 1.9 | 3.4 | 3.8 | 7.3 | |
| Northeast | -2.7 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2.2 | |
| Connecticut | -2.9 | -3.3 | 1.7 | -1.7 | |
| Maine | -6.4 | -1.5 | 2.0 | 0.5 | |
| Massachusetts | -2.5 | -1.7 | 0.5 | -1.2 | |
| New Hampshire | -6.1 | -2.2 | 4.4 | 2.0 | |
| New Jersey | 1.6 | -1.7 | 1.2 | -0.6 | |
| New York | -4.5 | 3.3 | -0.4 | 2.9 | |
| Pennsylvania | -1.5 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 6.1 | |
| Rhode Island | -9.8 | -0.4 | 5.3 | 4.9 | |
| Vermont | -2.3 | -0.9 | 4.9 | 4.0 | |
| Midwest | -1.8 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 2.4 | |
| Illinois | -0.4 | # | 0.8 | 0.8 | |
| Indiana | 3.6 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2.9 | |
| Iowa | 3.0 | 0.9 | # | 0.9 | |
| Kansas | 2.8 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 5.8 | |
| Michigan | -9.7 | -3.1 | 0.8 | -2.2 | |
| Minnesota | -0.6 | 7.0 | 7.6 | 15.1 | |
| Missouri | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 3.0 | |
| Nebraska | 4.5 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 8.1 | |
| North Dakota | -5.8 | 5.1 | 3.2 | 8.4 | |
| Ohio | -4.9 | -1.6 | -0.5 | -2.1 | |
| South Dakota | 0.5 | 3.3 | 2.8 | 6.2 | |
| Wisconsin | -0.9 | 2.8 | 3.6 | 6.5 | |
| South | 6.4 | 4.6 | 4.1 | 8.9 | |
| Alabama | 3.3 | # | -0.6 | -0.6 | |
| Arkansas | 6.1 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 2.5 | |
| Delaware | 10.0 | 5.9 | 4.1 | 10.3 | |
| District of Columbia | -8.7 | -9.5 | -6.3 | -15.2 | |
| Florida | 2.2 | 4.1 | 6.7 | 11.1 | |
| Georgia | 10.1 | 4.4 | 4.4 | 9.0 | |
| Kentucky | 1.5 | -0.7 | -1.2 | -1.9 | |
| Louisiana | -4.3 | 0.6 | -2.2 | -1.6 | |
| Maryland | -1.9 | 5.4 | 8.2 | 14.0 | |
| Mississippi | -0.6 | -2.4 | -2.9 | -5.2 | |
| North Carolina | 9.6 | 1.8 | 2.5 | 4.3 | |
| Oklahoma | 5.4 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 4.9 | |
| South Carolina | 3.8 | 3.7 | 2.0 | 5.8 | |
| Tennessee | 5.4 | 2.5 | 3.3 | 5.9 | |
| Texas | 13.9 | 9.9 | 6.6 | 17.2 | |
| Virginia | 5.0 | 4.8 | 5.6 | 10.6 | |
| West Virginia | 0.6 | -3.4 | -5.2 | -8.3 | |
| West | 2.0 | 5.4 | 6.9 | 12.7 | |
| Alaska | -1.4 | 9.7 | 11.1 | 21.9 | |
| Arizona | 5.9 | 8.6 | 10.7 | 20.1 | |
| California | -1.8 | 4.5 | 6.5 | 11.3 | |
| Colorado | 11.3 | 7.5 | 5.3 | 13.1 | |
| Hawaii | -2.2 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 2.6 | |
| Idaho | 9.4 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 10.4 | |
| Montana | -4.5 | 3.0 | 2.7 | 5.8 | |
| Nevada | 13.4 | 8.0 | 11.8 | 20.7 | |
| New Mexico | 4.7 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 8.9 | |
| Oregon | 3.5 | 5.1 | 6.9 | 12.4 | |
| Utah | 15.7 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 7.4 | |
| Washington | 2.2 | 6.7 | 9.1 | 16.4 | |
| Wyoming | 1.8 | 5.1 | -0.6 | 4.4 | |
| # Rounds to zero. | |||||
| NOTE: PK=prekindergarten. Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of PK-12 enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools by state and region can be found in table A-7, appendix A. | |||||
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” selected years, 2003–04 through 2010–11; and State Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2010. (This table was prepared January 2012.) |
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