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Projections of Education Statistics to 2021

NCES 2013-008
January 2013


Table 5.  Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in grades 9–12 in public schools, by race/ethnicity: Fall 1996 through fall 2021
[In thousands]
Year Total   Race/ethnicity
  White Black Hispanic Asian/
Pacific Islander1
American Indian/
Alaska Native
Two or more races2
 
Actual                
1996 12,849   8,530 2,043 1,608 526 141
1997 13,056   8,616 2,068 1,675 552 145
1998 13,195   8,670 2,073 1,732 572 148
1999 13,371   8,719 2,106 1,808 587 151
2000 13,517   8,750 2,119 1,894 601 153
2001 13,736   8,777 2,173 2,008 619 158
2002 14,069   8,854 2,257 2,148 642 168
2003 14,339   8,884 2,334 2,282 663 177
2004 14,618   8,920 2,408 2,427 686 178
2005 14,909   8,954 2,490 2,570 709 186
2006 15,081   8,938 2,540 2,701 720 181
2007 15,087   8,776 2,571 2,821 736 183
2008 3 14,980   8,556 2,565 2,874 746 179 59
2009 4 14,955   8,401 2,540 2,994 757 179 84
2010 14,860   8,109 2,422 3,125 755 171 277
Projected                
2011 14,787   7,982 2,373 3,212 767 168 286
2012 14,752   7,901 2,328 3,287 775 165 296
2013 14,766   7,844 2,305 3,361 783 165 307
2014 14,905   7,821 2,322 3,473 805 167 318
2015 15,038   7,804 2,324 3,588 822 168 332
2016 15,116   7,753 2,314 3,691 845 169 344
2017 15,195   7,713 2,290 3,794 874 170 353
2018 15,241   7,663 2,260 3,889 895 170 364
2019 15,304   7,640 2,266 3,925 927 174 372
2020 15,410   7,640 2,283 3,969 958 178 381
2021 15,515   7,633 2,315 4,011 983 182 391
—Not available. Prior to 2008, “two or more races” was not an available category.
1In 2008 and 2009, some students of both Asian origin and Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander origin were included in the two or more races category.
In 2010, all students of both Asian origin and Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander origin were included in the two or more races category. For more
information, see the Elementary and Secondary Enrollment section A.1 in the appendix.
2A person who has identified himself or herself of two or more of the following race groups: White, Black, Asian, Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific
Islander, or American Indian or Alaska Native.
3Five states reported enrollment counts for students of two or more races.
4Fourteen states reported enrollment counts for students of two or more races.
NOTE: Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Race categories exclude persons of Hispanic ethnicity. The historical racial/ethnic time-series were constructed using racial/ethnic enrollment data at the state level for individual grades. In some instances, enrollment data by race/ethnicity had to be imputed. Further, in some instances, the racial/ethnic enrollment data for individual grades had to be adjusted in order for them to sum to the state total for that grade. For additional information, see the Elementary and Secondary Enrollment section A.1 in Appendix A. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” 1996–97 through 2010–11; and National Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment by Race/Ethnicity Model, 1994–2010. (This table was prepared January 2012.)

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