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Projections of Education Statistics to 2021

NCES 2013-008
January 2013


Table 3.  Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools, by race/ethnicity: Fall 1996 through fall 2021
[In thousands]
Year Total   Race/ethnicity
  White Black Hispanic Asian/
Pacific Islander1
American Indian/
Alaska Native
Two or more races2
 
Actual                
1996 45,611   29,217 7,707 6,429 1,731 527
1997 46,127   29,241 7,851 6,705 1,796 535
1998 46,539   29,217 7,935 7,007 1,846 534
1999 46,857   29,032 8,054 7,337 1,892 542
2000 47,204   28,873 8,099 7,733 1,949 550
2001 47,672   28,731 8,176 8,175 2,026 563
2002 48,183   28,614 8,297 8,601 2,088 583
2003 48,540   28,438 8,347 9,018 2,144 593
2004 48,795   28,186 8,400 9,415 2,204 591
2005 49,113   28,001 8,443 9,794 2,278 598
2006 49,316   27,797 8,421 10,171 2,331 595
2007 49,293   27,454 8,392 10,457 2,396 594
2008 3 49,266   27,057 8,358 10,569 2,449 589 244
2009 4 49,373   26,753 8,282 10,918 2,492 593 335
2010 49,484   25,932 7,916 11,444 2,466 566 1,161
Projected                
2011 49,636   25,755 7,902 11,673 2,535 573 1,197
2012 49,828   25,627 7,877 11,920 2,595 576 1,233
2013 50,067   25,525 7,876 12,161 2,653 582 1,270
2014 50,407   25,455 7,913 12,427 2,716 590 1,306
2015 50,773   25,417 7,949 12,688 2,777 600 1,344
2016 51,146   25,379 7,991 12,945 2,842 608 1,380
2017 51,524   25,350 8,035 13,200 2,906 618 1,416
2018 51,880   25,320 8,077 13,445 2,959 627 1,452
2019 52,260   25,311 8,135 13,676 3,015 638 1,486
2020 52,688   25,329 8,200 13,921 3,070 648 1,521
2021 53,113   25,338 8,273 14,170 3,117 658 1,557
—Not available. Prior to 2008, “two or more races” was not an available category.
1In 2008 and 2009, some students of both Asian origin and Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander origin were included in the two or more races category.
In 2010, all students of both Asian origin and Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander origin were included in the two or more races category. For more
information, see the Elementary and Secondary Enrollment section A.1 in the appendix.
2A person who has identified himself or herself of two or more of the following race groups: White, Black, Asian, Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific
Islander, or American Indian or Alaska Native.
3Five states reported enrollment counts for students of two or more races.
4Fourteen states reported enrollment counts for students of two or more races.
NOTE: Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Race categories exclude persons of Hispanic ethnicity. The historical racial/ethnic time-series were constructed using racial/ethnic enrollment data at the state level for individual grades. In some instances, enrollment data by race/ethnicity had to be imputed. Further, in some instances, the racial/ethnic enrollment data for individual grades had to be adjusted in order for them to sum to the state total for that grade. For additional information, see the Elementary and Secondary Enrollment section A.1 in Appendix A. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” 1996–97 through 2010–11; and National Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment by Race/Ethnicity Model, 1994–2010. (This table was prepared January 2012.)

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