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Projections of Education Statistics to 2020

NCES 2011-026
September 2011

List of Appendix Tables


Appendix A: Introduction to Projection Methodology


Table A-1 Summary of forecast assumptions to 2020
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Table A-2 Mean absolute percentage errors (MAPEs) by lead time for selected statistics in all public elementary and secondary schools and postsecondary degree-granting institutions: 2011
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Table A-3 Example of constructing mean absolute percentage errors, part 1
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Table A-4 Example of constructing mean absolute percentage errors, part 2
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Table A-5 Actual and projected national public school grade progression rates: Fall 2008, and fall 2009 through fall 2020
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Table A-6 Actual and projected national enrollment rates in public schools, by grade level: Fall 2008, and fall 2009 through fall 2020
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Table A-7 Mean absolute percentage errors (MAPEs) for projected prekindergarten–12 enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools, by lead time, region, and state: 2011
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Table A-8 Mean absolute percentage errors (MAPEs) for projected prekindergarten–8 enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools, by lead time, region, and state: 2011
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Table A-9 Mean absolute percentage errors (MAPEs) for projected grades 9–12 enrollment in public schools, by lead time, region, and state: 2011
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Table A-10 Mean absolute percentage errors (MAPEs) for the projected number of high school graduates in public schools, by lead time, region, and state: 2011
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Table A-11 Estimated equations and model statistics for public elementary and secondary teachers
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Table A-12 Percentage distribution of full-time and part-time school teachers, by age, control of school, and teaching status: 2007–08
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Table A-13 Percentage distribution of full-time and part-time newly hired teachers, by age and control of school: Selected years, 1987–88 through 2007–08
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Table A-14 Actual and projected continuation rates of full-time and part-time school teachers, by age and control of school: Selected years, 1993–94 to 1994–95 through 2020–21 to 2021–22
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Table A-15 Estimated equations and model statistics for current expenditures per pupil in fall enrollment for public elementary and secondary schools, and education revenue from state sources per capita
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Table A-16 Actual and projected numbers for college enrollment rates, by sex, attendance status, and age: Fall 2009, fall 2015, and fall 2020
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Table A-17 Estimated equations and model statistics for full-time and part-time college enrollment rates of men
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Table A-18 Estimated equations and model statistics for full-time and part-time college enrollment rates of women
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Table A-19 Actual and projected percentages of full-time students at postsecondary degree-granting institutions, by sex, age group, student level, and institution level: Fall 2009, and fall 2010 through fall 2020
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Table A-20 Actual and projected percentages of part-time students at postsecondary degree-granting institutions, by sex, age group, level enrolled, and level of institution: Fall 2009, and fall 2010 through fall 2020
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Table A-21 Actual and projected enrollment in public postsecondary degree-granting institutions as a percent of total postsecondary enrollment, by sex, attendance status, level enrolled, and level of institution: Fall 2009, and fall 2010 through fall 2020
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Table A-22 Estimated equations and model statistics for full-time and part-time college enrollment rates of White men
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Table A-23 Estimated equations and model statistics for full-time and part-time college enrollment rates of White women
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Table A-24 Estimated equations and model statistics for full-time and part-time college enrollment rates of Black men
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Table A-25 Estimated equations and model statistics for full-time and part-time college enrollment rates of Black women
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Table A-26 Estimated equations and model statistics for full-time and part-time college enrollment rates of Hispanic men
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Table A-27 Estimated equations and model statistics for full-time and part-time college enrollment rates of Hispanic women
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Table A-28 Estimated equations and model statistics for full-time and part-time college enrollment rates of Asian/Pacific Islander men
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Table A-29 Estimated equations and model statistics for full-time and part-time college enrollment rates of Asian/Pacific Islander women
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Table A-30 Estimated equations and model statistics for degrees conferred, by degree level and sex
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Appendix B. Supplementary Tables


Table B-1 Annual number of births: 1946 through 2009
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Table B-2 Actual and projected prekindergarten- and kindergarten-age populations, by age: 1995 through 2020
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Table B-3 Actual and projected school-age populations, by selected ages: 1995 through 2020
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Table B-4 Actual and projected college-age populations, by selected ages: 1995 through 2020
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Table B-5 Actual and projected fall enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools, change in fall enrollment from previous year, resident population, and fall enrollment as a ratio of the population: School years 1995–96 through 2020–21
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Table B-6 Actual and projected macroeconomic measures of the economy: School years 1995–96 through 2020–21
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