Projections of Education Statistics to 2020

NCES 2011-026
September 2011


Table F.  Mean absolute percentage errors (MAPEs) of projected enrollment in postsecondary degree-granting institutions, by lead time and race/ethnicity: 2011

Statistic Lead time (years)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
                     
Total enrollment 1.6 2.8 3.5 4.0 5.2 6.1 8.1 9.8 11.7 11.4
White 0.4 1.1 2.3 2.8 3.6
Black 2.2 5.3 7.5 9.2 9.4
Hispanic 2.0 4.7 7.0 9.0 9.5
Asian/Pacific Islander 2.2 5.2 7.1 8.3 9.2
American Indian/Alaska Native 4.4 6.4 3.9 4.3 4.6
Nonresident alien 2.6 6.2 8.8 6.5 2.9
—Not available.
NOTE: MAPEs for degree-granting institution enrollments were calculated using the last five editions of Projections of Education Statistics. Calculations were made using unrounded numbers. Some data have been revised from previously published figures.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Projections of Education Statistics, various issues. (This table was prepared March 2011.)