Projections of Education Statistics to 2020

NCES 2011-026
September 2011

Table A-6.  Actual and projected national enrollment rates in public schools, by grade level: Fall 2008, and fall 2009 through fall 2020

Grade level   Actual 2008   Projected 2009 through 2020
Prekindergarten   28.6   28.6
Kindergarten   88.2   88.2
Grade 1   90.5   90.5
Elementary ungraded   0.3   0.3
Secondary ungraded   0.4   0.4
NOTE: The enrollment rate for each grade level equals the enrollment at that grade level divided by the population of that grade’s base age, all multiplied by 100. The base age for each grade level is as follows: kindergarten, 5 years old; grade 1, 6 years old; elementary ungraded, 5- to 13-years-olds; and secondary ungraded, 14- to 17-years-olds. Projected values for 2009 through 2020 were held constant at the actual values for 2008.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 2008–09; and National Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1972–2008. (This table was prepared February 2011.)