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Projections of Education Statistics to 2020

NCES 2011-026
September 2011


Table A-5.  Actual and projected national public school grade progression rates: Fall 2008, and fall 2009 through fall 2020

Grade   Actual 2008   Projected 2009 through 2020
         
1 to 2   98.6   98.6
2 to 3   100.1   100.3
3 to 4   99.7   100.1
4 to 5   100.1   100.4
5 to 6   100.4   100.8
6 to 7   100.7   100.8
7 to 8   99.8   99.8
8 to 9   111.1   111.1
9 to 10   91.0   91.0
10 to 11   91.8   91.8
11 to 12   95.6   95.6
NOTE: The progression rate for a particular grade in a year equals the enrollment in the grade for that year divided by the enrollment in the previous grade in the previous year all multiplied by 100. For example, the progression rate for third-graders in 2008 equals the enrollment of third-graders in 2008 divided by the enrollment of second-graders in 2007, all multiplied by 100.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 2008–09; and National Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1972–2008. (This table was prepared February 2011.)

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