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Projections of Education Statistics to 2020

NCES 2011-026
September 2011


Table 14.  Actual and projected numbers for public high school graduates, by region and state: School years 2002–03 through 2020–21 (Table 14—Continued)

Region and state Actual Projected
2002–03 2003–04 2004–05 2005–06 2006–07 2007–08   2008–09 2009–10 2010–11 2011–12
                       
United States 2,719,947 2,753,438 2,799,250 2,815,544 2,892,351 2,999,508   3,021,530 3,013,400 2,981,520 2,926,440
                       
Northeast 477,241 485,670 503,528 521,015 536,697 552,289   545,240 540,220 528,450 518,650
Connecticut 33,667 34,573 35,515 36,222 37,541 38,419   38,340 37,750 37,130 36,220
Maine 12,947 13,278 13,077 12,950 13,151 14,350   13,570 13,970 13,280 13,200
Massachusetts 55,987 58,326 59,665 61,272 63,903 65,197   64,040 63,650 61,470 61,270
New Hampshire 13,210 13,309 13,775 13,988 14,452 14,982   14,440 14,480 13,890 13,680
New Jersey 81,391 83,826 86,502 90,049 93,013 94,994   95,510 94,660 94,480 93,790
New York 143,818 142,526 153,203 161,817 168,333 176,310   176,380 177,260 172,390 167,610
Pennsylvania 119,933 123,474 124,758 127,830 128,603 130,298   125,850 121,890 119,940 117,300
Rhode Island 9,318 9,258 9,881 10,108 10,384 10,347   10,140 9,480 9,330 9,290
Vermont 6,970 7,100 7,152 6,779 7,317 7,392   6,980 7,070 6,540 6,290
                       
Midwest 673,248 680,178 676,786 684,049 702,987 721,220   724,990 715,570 711,730 690,710
Illinois 117,507 124,763 123,615 126,817 130,220 135,143   137,860 133,710 139,390 138,140
Indiana 57,897 56,008 55,444 57,920 59,887 61,901   63,020 62,440 61,860 61,650
Iowa 34,860 34,339 33,547 33,693 34,127 34,573   33,660 33,510 32,500 31,700
Kansas 29,963 30,155 30,355 29,818 30,139 30,737   29,950 30,060 29,520 29,370
Michigan 100,301 98,823 101,582 102,582 111,838 115,183   116,470 112,740 112,110 102,890
Minnesota 59,432 59,096 58,391 58,898 59,497 60,409   60,280 59,700 58,190 56,890
Missouri 56,925 57,983 57,841 58,417 60,275 61,717   62,300 63,720 62,130 59,220
Nebraska 20,161 20,309 19,940 19,764 19,873 20,035   20,260 20,070 19,660 19,120
North Dakota 8,169 7,888 7,555 7,192 7,159 6,999   6,960 6,780 6,650 6,320
Ohio 115,762 119,029 116,702 117,356 117,658 120,758   121,000 120,180 118,240 115,560
South Dakota 8,999 9,001 8,585 8,589 8,346 8,582   8,400 8,640 8,890 8,890
Wisconsin 63,272 62,784 63,229 63,003 63,968 65,183   64,830 64,040 62,600 60,960
                       
South 930,476 946,808 953,206 962,327 986,801 1,031,610   1,046,660 1,051,540 1,045,530 1,023,570
Alabama 36,741 36,464 37,453 37,918 38,912 41,346   41,310 40,630 41,650 41,010
Arkansas 27,555 27,181 26,621 28,790 27,166 28,725   28,400 28,510 27,680 27,870
Delaware 6,817 6,951 6,934 7,275 7,205 7,388   7,820 8,140 8,000 8,110
District of Columbia 2,725 3,031 2,781 3,150 2,944 3,352   3,260 3,010 2,940 2,890
Florida 127,484 131,418 133,318 134,686 142,284 149,046   147,290 144,250 140,250 130,660
Georgia 66,890 68,550 70,834 73,498 77,829 83,505   84,160 85,370 85,600 83,900
Kentucky 37,654 37,787 38,399 38,449 39,099 39,339   41,480 40,980 40,900 39,620
Louisiana 37,610 37,019 36,009 33,275 34,274 34,401   34,190 34,570 32,620 33,260
Maryland 51,864 52,870 54,170 55,536 57,564 59,171   58,010 58,150 57,370 57,120
Mississippi 23,810 23,735 23,523 23,848 24,186 24,795   25,630 25,970 26,240 25,470
North Carolina 69,696 72,126 75,010 76,710 76,031 83,307   84,050 85,490 89,700 91,520
Oklahoma 36,694 36,799 36,227 36,497 37,100 37,630   37,230 38,110 37,040 36,850
South Carolina 32,482 33,235 33,439 34,970 35,108 35,140   37,690 38,590 38,270 37,350
Tennessee 44,113 46,096 47,967 50,880 54,502 57,486   60,410 58,180 57,600 56,280
Texas 238,111 244,165 239,717 240,485 241,193 252,121   259,190 265,660 263,680 257,550
Virginia 72,943 72,042 73,667 69,597 73,997 77,369   78,790 78,440 78,670 76,920
West Virginia 17,287 17,339 17,137 16,763 17,407 17,489   17,770 17,520 17,330 17,190
                       
West 638,982 640,782 665,730 648,153 665,866 694,389   704,650 706,070 695,800 693,520
Alaska 7,297 7,236 6,909 7,361 7,666 7,855   7,700 8,360 7,780 7,590
Arizona 49,986 45,508 59,498 54,091 55,954 61,667   62,180 60,610 59,170 58,350
California 341,097 343,480 355,217 343,515 356,641 374,561   381,190 383,680 379,340 378,140
Colorado 42,379 44,777 44,532 44,424 45,628 46,082   46,620 47,740 47,400 47,740
Hawaii 10,013 10,324 10,813 10,922 11,063 11,613   11,700 10,700 11,130 10,930
Idaho 15,858 15,547 15,768 16,096 16,242 16,567   16,950 17,220 16,840 16,840
Montana 10,657 10,500 10,335 10,283 10,122 10,396   9,970 9,940 9,430 9,260
Nevada 16,378 15,201 15,740 16,455 16,455 17,149   18,300 18,540 18,810 19,450
New Mexico 16,923 17,892 17,353 17,822 16,131 18,264   18,480 18,130 18,160 18,370
Oregon 32,587 32,958 32,602 32,394 33,446 34,949   35,580 34,860 33,720 33,230
Utah 29,527 30,252 30,253 29,050 28,276 28,167   26,410 26,390 25,930 26,460
Washington 60,435 61,274 61,094 60,213 62,801 61,625   64,150 64,510 62,920 62,020
Wyoming 5,845 5,833 5,616 5,527 5,441 5,494   5,430 5,390 5,200 5,140
See notes at end of table. (Table 14—Continued)

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