Table 13. Actual and projected numbers for public high school graduates, by race/ethnicity: 1995–96 through 2020

Projections of Education Statistics to 2020

NCES 2011-026
September 2011

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Table 13. Actual and projected numbers for public high school graduates, by race/ethnicity: 1995–96 through 2020–21

[In thousands]
School year	Total		Race/ethnicity
			White	Black	Hispanic	Asian/ Pacific Islander	American Indian/ Alaska Native

		Actual
1995–96	2,273,109		1,639,420	294,253	218,785	99,189	21,463
1996–97	2,358,403		1,687,681	309,626	234,043	104,764	22,287
1997–98	2,439,050		1,733,478	317,846	252,023	112,089	23,614
1998–99	2,485,630		1,754,619	322,532	268,539	115,930	24,012
1999–2000	2,553,844		1,787,322	334,206	283,738	123,231	25,347
2000–01	2,569,200		1,782,292	336,375	297,696	126,847	25,988
2001–02	2,621,534		1,801,173	345,854	314,989	132,347	27,169
2002–03	2,719,947		1,857,957	359,051	339,555	135,614	27,773
2003–04	2,753,438		1,851,136	373,307	362,467	137,913	28,615
2004–05	2,799,250		1,856,758	385,180	382,964	143,751	30,595
2005–06	2,815,544		1,854,775	392,180	388,718	150,567	29,303
2006–07	2,892,351		1,883,601	412,640	410,443	154,871	30,795
2007–08	2,999,508		1,916,642	435,920	453,383	161,164	32,401
Projected
2008–09	3,021,530		1,893,700	450,650	480,280	164,290	32,610
2009–10	3,013,400		1,860,090	457,100	496,670	166,920	32,630
2010–11	2,981,520		1,814,440	460,110	504,600	170,270	31,550
2011–12	2,926,440		1,769,560	448,240	504,270	173,650	30,160
2012–13	2,912,480		1,748,920	440,710	514,210	178,360	29,730
2013–14	2,874,500		1,721,130	421,800	515,800	185,000	29,810
2014–15	2,867,400		1,703,760	422,650	521,950	189,720	29,740
2015–16	2,904,410		1,713,770	432,320	532,280	192,750	31,050
2016–17	2,930,530		1,722,770	436,950	538,600	198,250	31,660
2017–18	2,983,130		1,733,340	443,330	550,950	216,160	31,740
2018–19	2,983,780		1,726,110	442,460	557,020	220,000	32,370
2019–20	2,950,880		1,695,060	436,690	554,700	227,000	31,960
2020–21	2,981,170		1,707,400	425,940	575,060	234,550	32,690

NOTE: Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. The historical racial/ethnic time-series were constructed using racial/ethnic high school graduate data at the state level. In some instances, high school graduate data by race/ethnicity had to be imputed. Further, in some instances, the racial/ethnic data had to be adjusted in order for them to sum to the state total for high school graduates. Race categories exclude persons of Hispanic ethnicity. For additional information see the High School Graduates section A.2 in appendix A. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” 1996–97 through 2008–09; and National Public Elementary and Secondary High School Graduates Model by Race/Ethnicity Model, 1972–73 through 2007–08. (This table was prepared January 2011.)

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