Skip Navigation
small NCES header image
Projections of Education Statistics to 2020

NCES 2011-026
September 2011


Table 11.  Actual and projected percentage changes in grades 9–12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 2002 through fall 2020

Region and state Actual 2002–2008   Projected
  2008-2014 2014-2020 2008-2020
           
United States 6.5   -1.9 3.6 1.6
           
Northeast 3.6   -8.3 -1.4 -9.5
Connecticut 6.7   -6.6 -3.5 -9.9
Maine 1.7   -9.2 1.0 -8.4
Massachusetts 3.7   -5.4 -2.8 -8.1
New Hampshire 1.4   -10.1 -5.5 -15.1
New Jersey 9.2   -1.7 0.9 -0.9
New York 2.9   -10.5 -1.9 -12.2
Pennsylvania 1.0   -10.1 -1.3 -11.3
Rhode Island 1.5   -18.1 3.4 -15.4
Vermont -6.0   -14.1 2.9 -11.7
           
Midwest 2.6   -4.8 0.6 -4.3
Illinois 7.4   -2.2 0.2 -2.0
Indiana 9.1   -1.5 0.2 -1.2
Iowa -2.8   -2.9 4.0 1.0
Kansas -6.2   1.1 5.0 6.2
Michigan 1.9   -11.8 -6.2 -17.3
Minnesota -1.2   -3.5 8.0 4.2
Missouri 3.9   -3.9 0.8 -3.1
Nebraska -0.7   -1.7 10.0 8.0
North Dakota -12.4   -10.3 3.8 -6.9
Ohio 4.2   -6.4 -1.9 -8.1
South Dakota -3.7   2.4 8.6 11.3
Wisconsin -1.8   -5.8 2.2 -3.8
           
South 8.7   2.1 5.4 7.6
Alabama 5.5   -0.4 -2.6 -3.0
Arkansas 3.9   2.1 2.4 4.5
Delaware 13.2   1.7 8.9 10.8
District of Columbia 3.1   -17.3 15.9 -4.2
Florida 7.0   -5.2 -0.7 -5.8
Georgia 15.4   2.8 4.3 7.2
Kentucky 7.5   -0.7 1.6 0.9
Louisiana -6.7   -0.1 -0.1 -0.2
Maryland 4.3   -7.7 5.1 -3.0
Mississippi 5.9   -3.4 -0.3 -3.8
North Carolina 15.5   7.7 5.7 13.9
Oklahoma 0.9   2.3 3.8 6.2
South Carolina 8.5   1.2 2.2 3.5
Tennessee 13.0   2.0 1.8 3.9
Texas 10.6   9.9 13.5 24.7
Virginia 10.1   -2.2 5.3 3.0
West Virginia 1.0   -2.6 1.8 -0.9
           
West 9.1   -0.7 6.9 6.2
Alaska 3.5   -5.2 13.4 7.5
Arizona 13.9   6.1 12.6 19.5
California 10.3   -3.8 4.8 0.9
Colorado 9.5   8.1 11.9 21.0
Hawaii 1.1   -6.8 7.4 0.2
Idaho 8.3   5.4 11.1 17.1
Montana -7.8   -6.7 5.2 -1.9
Nevada 26.9   12.8 9.6 23.6
New Mexico 3.2   -2.1 9.9 7.6
Oregon 4.6   0.1 4.5 4.6
Utah 5.9   -1.8 6.3 4.3
Washington 4.6   1.4 6.8 8.3
Wyoming -5.9   4.7 16.0 21.5
NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers.Mean absolute percentage errors of 9-12 enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools by state and region can be found in table A-9, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” selected years, 2002–03 through 2008–09; and State Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2008. (This table was prepared January 2011.)

Would you like to help us improve our products and website by taking a short survey?

YES, I would like to take the survey

or

No Thanks

The survey consists of a few short questions and takes less than one minute to complete.