| Table 11. Actual and projected percentage changes in grades 9–12 enrollment in public schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 2002 through fall 2020 |
|---|
| Region and state | Actual 2002–2008 | Projected | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008-2014 | 2014-2020 | 2008-2020 | |||
| United States | 6.5 | -1.9 | 3.6 | 1.6 | |
| Northeast | 3.6 | -8.3 | -1.4 | -9.5 | |
| Connecticut | 6.7 | -6.6 | -3.5 | -9.9 | |
| Maine | 1.7 | -9.2 | 1.0 | -8.4 | |
| Massachusetts | 3.7 | -5.4 | -2.8 | -8.1 | |
| New Hampshire | 1.4 | -10.1 | -5.5 | -15.1 | |
| New Jersey | 9.2 | -1.7 | 0.9 | -0.9 | |
| New York | 2.9 | -10.5 | -1.9 | -12.2 | |
| Pennsylvania | 1.0 | -10.1 | -1.3 | -11.3 | |
| Rhode Island | 1.5 | -18.1 | 3.4 | -15.4 | |
| Vermont | -6.0 | -14.1 | 2.9 | -11.7 | |
| Midwest | 2.6 | -4.8 | 0.6 | -4.3 | |
| Illinois | 7.4 | -2.2 | 0.2 | -2.0 | |
| Indiana | 9.1 | -1.5 | 0.2 | -1.2 | |
| Iowa | -2.8 | -2.9 | 4.0 | 1.0 | |
| Kansas | -6.2 | 1.1 | 5.0 | 6.2 | |
| Michigan | 1.9 | -11.8 | -6.2 | -17.3 | |
| Minnesota | -1.2 | -3.5 | 8.0 | 4.2 | |
| Missouri | 3.9 | -3.9 | 0.8 | -3.1 | |
| Nebraska | -0.7 | -1.7 | 10.0 | 8.0 | |
| North Dakota | -12.4 | -10.3 | 3.8 | -6.9 | |
| Ohio | 4.2 | -6.4 | -1.9 | -8.1 | |
| South Dakota | -3.7 | 2.4 | 8.6 | 11.3 | |
| Wisconsin | -1.8 | -5.8 | 2.2 | -3.8 | |
| South | 8.7 | 2.1 | 5.4 | 7.6 | |
| Alabama | 5.5 | -0.4 | -2.6 | -3.0 | |
| Arkansas | 3.9 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 4.5 | |
| Delaware | 13.2 | 1.7 | 8.9 | 10.8 | |
| District of Columbia | 3.1 | -17.3 | 15.9 | -4.2 | |
| Florida | 7.0 | -5.2 | -0.7 | -5.8 | |
| Georgia | 15.4 | 2.8 | 4.3 | 7.2 | |
| Kentucky | 7.5 | -0.7 | 1.6 | 0.9 | |
| Louisiana | -6.7 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.2 | |
| Maryland | 4.3 | -7.7 | 5.1 | -3.0 | |
| Mississippi | 5.9 | -3.4 | -0.3 | -3.8 | |
| North Carolina | 15.5 | 7.7 | 5.7 | 13.9 | |
| Oklahoma | 0.9 | 2.3 | 3.8 | 6.2 | |
| South Carolina | 8.5 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 3.5 | |
| Tennessee | 13.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 3.9 | |
| Texas | 10.6 | 9.9 | 13.5 | 24.7 | |
| Virginia | 10.1 | -2.2 | 5.3 | 3.0 | |
| West Virginia | 1.0 | -2.6 | 1.8 | -0.9 | |
| West | 9.1 | -0.7 | 6.9 | 6.2 | |
| Alaska | 3.5 | -5.2 | 13.4 | 7.5 | |
| Arizona | 13.9 | 6.1 | 12.6 | 19.5 | |
| California | 10.3 | -3.8 | 4.8 | 0.9 | |
| Colorado | 9.5 | 8.1 | 11.9 | 21.0 | |
| Hawaii | 1.1 | -6.8 | 7.4 | 0.2 | |
| Idaho | 8.3 | 5.4 | 11.1 | 17.1 | |
| Montana | -7.8 | -6.7 | 5.2 | -1.9 | |
| Nevada | 26.9 | 12.8 | 9.6 | 23.6 | |
| New Mexico | 3.2 | -2.1 | 9.9 | 7.6 | |
| Oregon | 4.6 | 0.1 | 4.5 | 4.6 | |
| Utah | 5.9 | -1.8 | 6.3 | 4.3 | |
| Washington | 4.6 | 1.4 | 6.8 | 8.3 | |
| Wyoming | -5.9 | 4.7 | 16.0 | 21.5 | |
| NOTE: Calculations are based on unrounded numbers.Mean absolute percentage errors of 9-12 enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools by state and region can be found in table A-9, appendix A. | |||||
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” selected years, 2002–03 through 2008–09; and State Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2008. (This table was prepared January 2011.) |
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