| Table 9. Actual and projected percentage changes in grades PK–8 enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 2002 through fall 2020 |
|---|
| Region and state | Actual 2002–2008 | Projected | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008-2014 | 2014-2020 | 2008-2020 | |||
| United States | 0.5 | 3.8 | 5.2 | 9.2 | |
| Northeast | -5.7 | -1.6 | 2.2 | 0.5 | |
| Connecticut | -3.4 | -2.7 | 3.4 | 0.6 | |
| Maine | -8.8 | 1.1 | 4.2 | 5.3 | |
| Massachusetts | -4.9 | -2.8 | 0.3 | -2.5 | |
| New Hampshire | -7.4 | -3.3 | 7.0 | 3.4 | |
| New Jersey | -2.2 | 0.1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | |
| New York | -8.6 | -2.6 | 1.1 | -1.6 | |
| Pennsylvania | -3.8 | -0.9 | 3.3 | 2.4 | |
| Rhode Island | -12.9 | 0.8 | 5.4 | 6.2 | |
| Vermont | -8.2 | 3.5 | 10.1 | 13.9 | |
| Midwest | -2.1 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 3.4 | |
| Illinois | -0.6 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2.5 | |
| Indiana | 2.2 | 0.6 | 1.7 | 2.3 | |
| Iowa | 3.0 | 3.2 | -0.1 | 3.1 | |
| Kansas | 2.9 | 4.3 | 1.8 | 6.1 | |
| Michigan | -10.8 | -3.6 | 2.5 | -1.2 | |
| Minnesota | -1.3 | 8.4 | 9.0 | 18.2 | |
| Missouri | 0.1 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3.6 | |
| Nebraska | 4.0 | 7.0 | 0.9 | 7.9 | |
| North Dakota | -7.4 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 2.6 | |
| Ohio | -3.5 | -1.2 | -0.2 | -1.5 | |
| South Dakota | -2.0 | 6.1 | 2.3 | 8.5 | |
| Wisconsin | -0.4 | 3.1 | 4.7 | 7.9 | |
| South | 4.7 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 11.4 | |
| Alabama | -1.0 | -1.0 | -1.2 | -2.2 | |
| Arkansas | 7.1 | 2.5 | 0.3 | 2.8 | |
| Delaware | 5.6 | 8.1 | 5.4 | 13.9 | |
| District of Columbia | -13.6 | 14.1 | 1.2 | 15.5 | |
| Florida | 2.2 | 1.4 | 9.4 | 10.9 | |
| Georgia | 8.9 | 5.4 | 5.8 | 11.4 | |
| Kentucky | -1.0 | 1.0 | -1.6 | -0.7 | |
| Louisiana | -6.1 | -0.3 | -2.9 | -3.2 | |
| Maryland | -5.5 | 4.6 | 9.8 | 14.8 | |
| Mississippi | -2.3 | -1.1 | -4.4 | -5.4 | |
| North Carolina | 9.9 | 7.2 | 7.8 | 15.5 | |
| Oklahoma | 4.2 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 3.4 | |
| South Carolina | 1.4 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 5.7 | |
| Tennessee | 1.7 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 7.0 | |
| Texas | 11.9 | 12.5 | 8.4 | 21.9 | |
| Virginia | 2.8 | 5.3 | 6.6 | 12.3 | |
| West Virginia | -0.3 | -0.3 | -7.2 | -7.4 | |
| West | 0.9 | 6.8 | 9.2 | 16.6 | |
| Alaska | -5.4 | 13.9 | 16.6 | 32.8 | |
| Arizona | 16.9 | 13.2 | 13.9 | 29.0 | |
| California | -4.8 | 4.1 | 8.7 | 13.2 | |
| Colorado | 8.6 | 10.1 | 6.0 | 16.7 | |
| Hawaii | -3.8 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 7.0 | |
| Idaho | 11.7 | 10.8 | 7.8 | 19.4 | |
| Montana | -4.3 | 4.4 | 3.3 | 7.8 | |
| Nevada | 13.8 | 12.0 | 16.3 | 30.3 | |
| New Mexico | 3.1 | 8.7 | 3.8 | 12.8 | |
| Oregon | 3.5 | 5.8 | 10.4 | 16.8 | |
| Utah | 18.1 | 8.0 | 6.0 | 14.5 | |
| Washington | 1.1 | 8.1 | 12.1 | 21.1 | |
| Wyoming | 1.2 | 12.5 | -1.9 | 10.4 | |
| NOTE: PK=prekindergarten. Calculations are based on unrounded numbers.Mean absolute percentage errors of PK-8 enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools by state and region can be found in table A-8, appendix A. | |||||
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” selected years, 2002–03 through 2008–09; and State Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2008. (This table was prepared January 2011.) |
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