| Table 7. Actual and projected percentage changes in PK–12 enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools, by region and state: Selected years, fall 2002 through fall 2020 |
|---|
| Region and state | Projected | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual 2002–2008 | 2008-2014 | 2014-2020 | 2008-2020 | ||
| United States | 2.2 | 2.0 | 4.8 | 6.9 | |
| Northeast | -2.9 | -3.7 | 1.1 | -2.7 | |
| Connecticut | -0.5 | -3.9 | 1.3 | -2.6 | |
| Maine | -5.6 | -2.3 | 3.2 | 0.8 | |
| Massachusetts | -2.4 | -3.6 | -0.6 | -4.2 | |
| New Hampshire | -4.7 | -5.6 | 3.1 | -2.7 | |
| New Jersey | 1.0 | -0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | |
| New York | -5.1 | -5.2 | 0.2 | -5.1 | |
| Pennsylvania | -2.3 | -3.9 | 1.9 | -2.1 | |
| Rhode Island | -8.7 | -5.4 | 4.8 | -0.8 | |
| Vermont | -7.5 | -2.3 | 8.0 | 5.6 | |
| Midwest | -0.7 | -0.8 | 1.7 | 1.0 | |
| Illinois | 1.7 | -0.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | |
| Indiana | 4.2 | # | 1.2 | 1.2 | |
| Iowa | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 2.4 | |
| Kansas | # | 3.3 | 2.7 | 6.2 | |
| Michigan | -7.0 | -6.3 | -0.2 | -6.5 | |
| Minnesota | -1.3 | 4.5 | 8.7 | 13.6 | |
| Missouri | 1.3 | -0.1 | 1.6 | 1.5 | |
| Nebraska | 2.5 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 7.9 | |
| North Dakota | -9.1 | -2.1 | 1.7 | -0.5 | |
| Ohio | -1.1 | -2.9 | -0.7 | -3.6 | |
| South Dakota | -2.5 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 9.4 | |
| Wisconsin | -0.8 | 0.2 | 3.9 | 4.1 | |
| South | 5.8 | 4.6 | 5.5 | 10.3 | |
| Alabama | 0.9 | -0.8 | -1.6 | -2.4 | |
| Arkansas | 6.2 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 3.3 | |
| Delaware | 7.8 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 12.9 | |
| District of Columbia | -9.8 | 5.9 | 4.2 | 10.3 | |
| Florida | 3.6 | -0.5 | 6.5 | 5.9 | |
| Georgia | 10.7 | 4.7 | 5.3 | 10.3 | |
| Kentucky | 1.4 | 0.5 | -0.7 | -0.2 | |
| Louisiana | -6.2 | -0.2 | -2.2 | -2.4 | |
| Maryland | -2.6 | 0.7 | 8.4 | 9.2 | |
| Mississippi | -0.1 | -1.7 | -3.2 | -4.9 | |
| North Carolina | 11.4 | 7.4 | 7.2 | 15.1 | |
| Oklahoma | 3.3 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 4.2 | |
| South Carolina | 3.4 | 2.8 | 2.1 | 5.0 | |
| Tennessee | 4.8 | 2.7 | 3.3 | 6.1 | |
| Texas | 11.6 | 11.8 | 9.7 | 22.7 | |
| Virginia | 5.0 | 3.0 | 6.2 | 9.4 | |
| West Virginia | 0.1 | -1.0 | -4.6 | -5.5 | |
| West | 3.3 | 4.5 | 8.6 | 13.4 | |
| Alaska | -2.8 | 7.9 | 15.7 | 24.8 | |
| Arizona | 16.0 | 11.2 | 13.5 | 26.2 | |
| California | -0.5 | 1.6 | 7.5 | 9.3 | |
| Colorado | 8.9 | 9.6 | 7.7 | 18.0 | |
| Hawaii | -2.4 | 1.6 | 3.3 | 5.0 | |
| Idaho | 10.7 | 9.2 | 8.7 | 18.7 | |
| Montana | -5.4 | 0.9 | 3.8 | 4.7 | |
| Nevada | 17.3 | 12.3 | 14.3 | 28.4 | |
| New Mexico | 3.1 | 5.5 | 5.5 | 11.2 | |
| Oregon | 3.8 | 4.0 | 8.6 | 13.0 | |
| Utah | 14.4 | 5.3 | 6.1 | 11.7 | |
| Washington | 2.2 | 5.9 | 10.5 | 17.0 | |
| Wyoming | -1.1 | 10.2 | 3.3 | 13.8 | |
| # Rounds to zero. | |||||
| NOTE: PK=prekindergarten. Calculations are based on unrounded numbers. Mean absolute percentage errors of PK-12 enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools by state and region can be found in table A-7, appendix A. | |||||
| SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” selected years, 2002–03 through 2008–09; and State Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1980–2008. (This table was prepared January 2011.) | |||||
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