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Projections of Education Statistics to 2020

NCES 2011-026
September 2011

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Table 3.  Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools, by Race/ethnicity: Fall 1995 through fall 2020

[In thousands]
Year Total   Race/ethnicity
White Black Hispanic Asian/
Pacific Islander		 American Indian/
Alaska Native
               
Actual              
1995 44,840   29,030 7,552 6,085 1,668 505
1996 45,611   29,217 7,708 6,429 1,731 527
1997 46,127   29,241 7,851 6,705 1,796 535
1998 46,539   29,217 7,935 7,007 1,846 534
1999 46,857   29,032 8,054 7,337 1,892 542
2000 47,204   28,873 8,099 7,733 1,949 550
2001 47,672   28,731 8,176 8,175 2,026 563
2002 48,183   28,614 8,297 8,601 2,088 583
2003 48,540   28,438 8,347 9,018 2,144 593
2004 48,795   28,186 8,400 9,415 2,204 591
2005 49,113   28,001 8,443 9,794 2,278 598
2006 49,316   27,797 8,421 10,171 2,331 595
2007 49,293   27,454 8,392 10,457 2,396 594
2008 1 49,265   27,191 8,399 10,621 2,461 592
Projected              
2009 49,282   26,998 8,346 10,800 2,537 594
2010 49,306   26,827 8,291 10,963 2,614 597
2011 49,422   26,716 8,251 11,139 2,694 602
2012 49,642   26,658 8,239 11,334 2,775 610
2013 49,914   26,628 8,244 11,534 2,856 619
2014 50,268   26,634 8,278 11,753 2,935 629
2015 50,659   26,664 8,315 11,982 3,012 640
2016 51,038   26,687 8,344 12,217 3,090 650
2017 51,430   26,710 8,372 12,470 3,165 660
2018 51,803   26,728 8,399 12,729 3,225 670
2019 52,204   26,755 8,435 12,999 3,284 680
2020 52,666   26,814 8,481 13,289 3,338 691
1 In 2008, five states reported enrollment counts for students of two or more races. These enrollment counts were proportioned across the other racial/ethnic categories. When more complete sets of data for students of two or more races are compiled, separate projections for that category will be presented.
NOTE: Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Race categories exclude persons of Hispanic ethnicity. The historical racial/ethnic time-series were constructed using racial/ethnic enrollment data at the state level for individual grades. In some instances, enrollment data by race/ethnicity had to be imputed. Further, in some instances, the racial/ethnic enrollment data for individual grades had to be adjusted in order for them to sum to the state total for that grade. For additional information, see the Elementary and Secondary Enrollment section A.1 in Appendix A. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” 1995–96 through 2008–09; and National Public Elementary and Secondary Enrollment by Race/Ethnicity Model, 1994–2008. (This table was prepared January 2011.)

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