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Projections of Education Statistics to 2020

NCES 2011-026
September 2011


Table 1.  Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in grades PK–12, PK–8, and 9–12 in elementary and secondary schools, by control of school: Fall 1995 through fall 2020

[In thousands]
Year Total   Public   Private
PK–121 PK–81 9–12   PK–12 PK–8 9–12   PK–121 PK–81 9–12
                       
Actual                      
1995 50,759 37,059 13,699   44,840 32,338 12,502   5,918 4,721 1,197
1996 2 51,544 37,481 14,062   45,611 32,762 12,849   5,933 4,719 1,213
1997 52,071 37,797 14,275   46,127 33,071 13,056   5,944 4,726 1,219
1998 2 52,526 38,091 14,435   46,539 33,344 13,195   5,988 4,747 1,240
1999 52,875 38,251 14,625   46,857 33,486 13,371   6,018 4,764 1,254
2000 2 53,373 38,564 14,809   47,204 33,686 13,517   6,169 4,877 1,292
2001 53,992 38,929 15,063   47,672 33,936 13,736   6,320 4,993 1,327
2002 2 54,403 39,000 15,404   48,183 34,114 14,069   6,220 4,886 1,335
2003 54,639 38,962 15,678   48,540 34,201 14,339   6,099 4,761 1,338
2004 2 54,882 38,908 15,974   48,795 34,178 14,618   6,087 4,731 1,356
2005 55,187 38,903 16,283   49,113 34,204 14,909   6,073 4,699 1,374
2006 2 55,307 38,838 16,469   49,316 34,235 15,081   5,991 4,604 1,388
2007 55,203 38,722 16,481   49,293 34,205 15,087   5,910 4,517 1,394
2008 2 54,972 38,620 16,352   49,265 34,285 14,980   5,707 4,335 1,373
Projected                      
2009 54,770 38,592 16,179   49,282 34,440 14,842   5,488 4,151 1,337
2010 54,704 38,729 15,975   49,306 34,637 14,668   5,398 4,092 1,306
2011 54,746 38,949 15,797   49,422 34,892 14,530   5,324 4,057 1,266
2012 54,905 39,163 15,742   49,642 35,129 14,512   5,263 4,034 1,229
2013 55,133 39,394 15,739   49,914 35,368 14,545   5,219 4,025 1,194
2014 55,455 39,606 15,849   50,268 35,579 14,689   5,187 4,027 1,160
2015 55,836 39,872 15,964   50,659 35,829 14,830   5,176 4,042 1,134
2016 56,214 40,234 15,980   51,038 36,161 14,877   5,176 4,073 1,103
2017 56,617 40,602 16,015   51,430 36,491 14,939   5,187 4,110 1,077
2018 57,009 40,949 16,060   51,803 36,803 15,000   5,206 4,146 1,060
2019 57,438 41,303 16,135   52,204 37,121 15,083   5,234 4,181 1,052
2020 57,939 41,661 16,278   52,666 37,444 15,222   5,273 4,216 1,056
1 Includes private nursery and prekindergarten enrollment in schools that offer kindergarten or higher grades.
2 Since the biennial Private School Universe Survey (PSS) is collected in the fall of odd numbered years, private school numbers for alternate years are estimated based on data from the PSS.
NOTE: PK=prekindergarten. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education,” 1995–96 through 2008–09; Private School Universe Survey (PSS), selected years 1995–96 through 2009–10; and National Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1972–2008. (This table was prepared January 2011.)

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