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Projections of Education Statistics to 2020

NCES 2011-026
September 2011

Section 5. Enrollment in Postsecondary Degree-Granting Institutions: Enrollment by Selected Characteristics and Control of Institution



Figure 17. Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in all postsecondary degree-granting institutions, by age group: Fall 1995, fall 2009, and fall 2020

Figure 17.	Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in all postsecondary degree-granting institutions, by age group: Fall 1995, fall 2009, and fall 2020


NOTE: Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Data by age are based on the distribution by age from the Census Bureau. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System, "Fall Enrollment Survey” (IPEDS-EF:95) and Spring 2010; Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model, 1980–2009; and U.S. Department of Commerce, Census Bureau, Current Population Reports, "Social and Economic Characteristics of Students,” various years. (This figure was prepared March 2011.)

Enrollment by age of student

Between 2009 and 2020, enrollment is projected to increase

  • 9 percent for students who are 18 to 24 years old;
  • 21 percent for students who are 25 to 34 years old; and
  • 16 percent for students who are 35 years old and over.

For more information: Table 21














Figure 18. Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in all postsecondary degree-granting institutions, by sex: Fall 1995 through fall 2020

Figure 18.	Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in all postsecondary degree-granting institutions, by sex: Fall 1995 through fall 2020


NOTE: Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System, "Fall Enrollment Survey” (IPEDS-EF:95–99), and Spring 2001 through Spring 2010; and Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model, 1980–2009. (This figure was prepared March 2011.)

Enrollment by sex of student

Between 2009 and 2020, enrollment is projected to increase

  • 8 percent for men; and
  • 16 percent for women.

For more information: Tables 2026














Figure 19. Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in all postsecondary degree-granting institutions, by attendance status: Fall 1995 through fall 2020

Figure 19. 	Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in all postsecondary degree-granting institutions, by attendance status: Fall 1995 through fall 2020


NOTE: Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System, "Fall Enrollment Survey” (IPEDS-EF:95–99), and Spring 2001 through Spring 2010; and Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model, 1980–2009. (This figure was prepared March 2011.)

Enrollment by attendance status

Between 2009 and 2020, enrollment is projected to increase

  • 11 percent for full-time students; and
  • 16 percent for part-time students.

For more information: Tables 2027














Figure 20. Actual and projected numbers for undergraduate and postbaccalaureate enrollment in all postsecondary degree-granting institutions: Fall 1995 through fall 2020

Figure 20.	Actual and projected numbers for undergraduate and postbaccalaureate enrollment in all postsecondary degree-granting institutions: Fall 1995 through fall 2020


NOTE: Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System, "Fall Enrollment Survey” (IPEDS-EF:95–99), and Spring 2001 through Spring 2010; and Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model, 1980–2009. (This figure was prepared April 2011.)

Enrollment by level of student

Between 2009 and 2020, enrollment is projected to increase

  • 12 percent for undergraduate students; and
  • 18 percent for postbaccalaureate students.

For more information: Tables 2728













Figure 21. Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in all postsecondary degree-granting institutions, by race/ethnicity: Fall 1995 through fall 2020

Figure 21.	Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in all postsecondary degree-granting institutions, by race/ethnicity: Fall 1995 through fall 2020


NOTE: Race categories exclude persons of Hispanic ethnicity. Enrollment data in the "race/ethnicity unknown” (all years) and "two or more races” (2008 and 2009 only) categories of the IPEDS "Fall Enrollment Survey” have been prorated to the other racial/ethnic categories at the institutional level. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System, "Fall Enrollment Survey” (IPEDS-EF:95–99), and Spring 2001 through Spring 2010; and Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions by Race/Ethnicity Model, 1980–2009. (This figure was prepared March 2011.)

Enrollment by race/ethnicity

Between 2009 and 2020, enrollment is projected to

  • increase 1 percent for students who are White;
  • increase 25 percent for students who are Black;
  • increase 46 percent for students who are Hispanic;
  • increase 25 percent for students who are Asian/Pacific Islander; and
  • decrease 1 percent for students who are American Indian/Alaska Native.

For more information: Table 29







Figure 22. Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in all postsecondary degree-granting institutions, by control of institution: Fall 1995 through fall 2020

Figure 22.	Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in all postsecondary degree-granting institutions, by control of institution: Fall 1995 through fall 2020


NOTE: Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System, "Fall Enrollment Survey” (IPEDS-EF:95–99), and Spring 2001 through Spring 2010; Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions Model, 1980–2009. (This figure was prepared March 2011.)

Enrollment in public and private institutions

Between 2009 and 2020, enrollment is projected to increase

  • 13 percent in public institutions; and
  • 13 percent in private institutions.

For more information: Table 20









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