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Projections of Education Statistics to 2019

NCES 2011-017
March 2011


Table A-22.  Estimated equations and model statistics for full-time and part-time college enrollment rates of Black men

Independent variable Coefficient Standard error t-statistic R2 D.W. statistic
Full-time          
Intercept term for 17-year-olds -9.66 0.436 -22.16 0.97 1.58*
Intercept term for 18-year-olds -7.45 0.430 -17.32    
Intercept term for 19-year-olds -7.20 0.430 -16.74    
Intercept term for 20-year-olds -7.29 0.430 -16.93    
Intercept term for 21-year-olds -7.56 0.431 -17.57    
Intercept term for 22-year-olds -7.73 0.432 -17.89    
Intercept term for 23-year-olds -8.23 0.436 -18.91    
Intercept term for 24-year-olds -8.51 0.433 -19.68    
Intercept term for 25- to 29-year-olds -9.28 0.433 -21.45    
Intercept term for 30- to 34-year-olds -10.08 0.438 -23.02    
Intercept term for 35- to 44-year-olds -10.45 0.434 -24.07    
Log of Black per capita disposable income in current dollars 0.32 0.023 13.61    
Part-time          
Intercept term for 17-year-olds -9.85 0.334 -29.48 0.66 1.85*
Intercept term for 18-year-olds -9.01 0.365 -24.71    
Intercept term for 19-year-olds -8.17 0.342 -23.93    
Intercept term for 20-year-olds -8.12 0.339 -23.98    
Intercept term for 21-year-olds -8.08 0.329 -24.60    
Intercept term for 22-year-olds -8.15 0.345 -23.64    
Intercept term for 23-year-olds -8.37 0.352 -23.75    
Intercept term for 24-year-olds -8.38 0.354 -23.68    
Intercept term for 25- to 29-year-olds -8.47 0.327 -25.89    
Intercept term for 30- to 34-year-olds -8.68 0.326 -26.66    
Intercept term for 35- to 44-year-olds -8.75 0.323 -27.12    
Log of Black per capita disposable income in current dollars 0.28 0.017 16.10    
* p <05.
R2 = Coefficient of determination.
D.W. statistic = Durbin-Watson statistic, a test for autocorrelation among regression residuals. For more details, see Johnston, J., and Dinardo, J. (1996). Econometric Methods. New York: McGraw-Hill.
NOTE: The regression method used to estimate the full-time and part-time equations was the pooled seemingly unrelated regression method. The time period used to estimate the equations is from 1980 to 2008. The number of observations is 319. For additional information, see Intriligator, M.D. (1978). Econometric Models, Techniques, & Applications. New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, Inc., pp. 165–173. Race categories exclude persons of Hispanic ethnicity.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Enrollment in Degree-Granting Institutions by Race/Ethnicity Model, 1980–2008. (This table was prepared January 2010.)

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