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Projections of Education Statistics to 2019

NCES 2011-017
March 2011


Table A-12.  Actual and projected continuation rates of full-time and part-time school teachers, by age and control of school: Various years, 199394 to 199495 through 201819 to 201920

Control of school and school year Total Continuation rates, by age
Less than 25 years 25–29 years 30–39 years 40–49 years 50–59 years 60–64 years 65 years or more
Public actual                                
1993–94 to 1994–95 93.4 (0.36) 96.2 (1.09) 90.0 (1.22) 93.3 (1.03) 96.1 (0.54) 93.7 (0.77) 69.5 (4.79) 65.9 (8.81)
1999–2000 to 2000–01 92.4 (0.38) 95.8 (1.51) 89.3 (1.31) 93.2 (0.85) 94.5 (0.74) 92.9 (0.73) 76.8 (4.59) 77.6 (5.97)
2003–04 to 2004–05 91.4 (0.45) 94.9 (1.79) 90.1 (1.71) 92.6 (0.93) 94.5 (0.78) 90.8 (0.81) 77.2 (3.00) 70.3 (9.40)
Public projected                                
2004–05 to 2005–06 92.3 (†) 95.8 (†) 91.0 (†) 93.2 (†) 95.1 (†) 92.0 (†) 74.6 (†) 67.4 (†)
2005–06 to 2006–07 92.2 (†) 95.8 (†) 91.0 (†) 93.3 (†) 95.1 (†) 91.8 (†) 74.3 (†) 70.2 (†)
2006–07 to 2007–08 92.0 (†) 95.8 (†) 91.0 (†) 93.3 (†) 95.0 (†) 91.7 (†) 74.3 (†) 69.0 (†)
2007–08 to 2008–09 91.9 (†) 95.8 (†) 91.0 (†) 93.3 (†) 95.0 (†) 91.7 (†) 75.0 (†) 66.3 (†)
2008–09 to 2009–10 91.7 (†) 95.8 (†) 91.0 (†) 93.3 (†) 95.0 (†) 91.6 (†) 74.6 (†) 65.2 (†)
2009–10 to 2010–11 91.6 (†) 95.8 (†) 91.0 (†) 93.3 (†) 95.0 (†) 91.6 (†) 74.0 (†) 65.2 (†)
2010–11 to 2011–12 91.6 (†) 95.8 (†) 91.0 (†) 93.3 (†) 95.0 (†) 91.5 (†) 73.8 (†) 65.9 (†)
2011–12 to 2012–13 91.5 (†) 95.8 (†) 91.0 (†) 93.3 (†) 95.0 (†) 91.5 (†) 73.8 (†) 64.0 (†)
2012–13 to 2013–14 91.6 (†) 95.8 (†) 91.0 (†) 93.2 (†) 95.0 (†) 91.6 (†) 74.0 (†) 63.5 (†)
2013–14 to 2014–15 91.6 (†) 95.8 (†) 91.0 (†) 93.2 (†) 95.0 (†) 91.6 (†) 73.6 (†) 64.3 (†)
2014–15 to 2015–16 91.7 (†) 95.8 (†) 91.0 (†) 93.2 (†) 95.0 (†) 91.6 (†) 73.6 (†) 65.5 (†)
2015–16 to 2016–17 91.7 (†) 95.8 (†) 91.0 (†) 93.2 (†) 95.0 (†) 91.6 (†) 73.5 (†) 66.4 (†)
2016–17 to 2017–18 91.8 (†) 95.8 (†) 91.0 (†) 93.2 (†) 95.0 (†) 91.7 (†) 73.8 (†) 66.0 (†)
2017–18 to 2018–19 91.8 (†) 95.8 (†) 91.0 (†) 93.3 (†) 95.0 (†) 91.8 (†) 73.8 (†) 66.6 (†)
2018–19 to 2019–20 91.8 (†) 95.8 (†) 91.0 (†) 93.3 (†) 95.0 (†) 91.8 (†) 73.8 (†) 66.6 (†)
Private actual                                
1993–94 to 1994–95 88.1 (0.74) 80.0 (4.42) 86.9 (1.64) 85.1 (1.70) 91.3 (1.14) 91.8 (1.52) 86.9 (2.74) 58.1 (8.67)
1999–2000 to 2000–01 83.0 (0.72) 61.7 (4.90) 72.2 (2.76) 80.2 (1.57) 86.1 (1.47) 92.3 (1.00) 78.8 (4.79) 75.2 (5.17)
2003–04 to 2004–05 83.3 (2.06) 75.4 (5.97) 71.7 (3.62) 82.2 (2.30) 86.8 (2.28) 89.2 (9.17) 80.1 (4.15) 79.5 (6.07)
Private projected                                
2004–05 to 2005–06 83.2 (†) 72.7 (†) 73.6 (†) 81.3 (†) 86.9 (†) 89.6 (†) 79.6 (†) 75.7 (†)
2005–06 to 2006–07 83.1 (†) 72.5 (†) 73.5 (†) 81.1 (†) 86.8 (†) 89.5 (†) 79.1 (†) 75.1 (†)
2006–07 to 2007–08 83.3 (†) 72.5 (†) 73.5 (†) 81.3 (†) 87.0 (†) 89.5 (†) 79.7 (†) 76.0 (†)
2007–08 to 2008–09 83.3 (†) 72.4 (†) 73.5 (†) 81.4 (†) 86.8 (†) 89.4 (†) 79.7 (†) 75.3 (†)
2008–09 to 2009–10 83.2 (†) 72.4 (†) 73.5 (†) 81.4 (†) 86.9 (†) 89.5 (†) 79.6 (†) 75.7 (†)
2009–10 to 2010–11 83.1 (†) 72.4 (†) 73.5 (†) 81.4 (†) 86.8 (†) 89.4 (†) 79.3 (†) 72.8 (†)
2010–11 to 2011–12 83.1 (†) 72.4 (†) 73.5 (†) 81.3 (†) 86.8 (†) 89.4 (†) 79.0 (†) 74.8 (†)
2011–12 to 2012–13 83.0 (†) 72.4 (†) 73.5 (†) 81.4 (†) 86.9 (†) 89.4 (†) 79.2 (†) 73.0 (†)
2012–13 to 2013–14 83.1 (†) 72.4 (†) 73.5 (†) 81.3 (†) 86.9 (†) 89.4 (†) 79.3 (†) 74.1 (†)
2013–14 to 2014–15 83.0 (†) 72.4 (†) 73.5 (†) 81.3 (†) 86.9 (†) 89.4 (†) 79.1 (†) 72.9 (†)
2014–15 to 2015–16 83.0 (†) 72.4 (†) 73.5 (†) 81.3 (†) 86.8 (†) 89.4 (†) 79.2 (†) 72.4 (†)
2015–16 to 2016–17 83.0 (†) 72.4 (†) 73.5 (†) 81.3 (†) 86.9 (†) 89.4 (†) 79.2 (†) 73.2 (†)
2016–17 to 2017–18 83.0 (†) 72.4 (†) 73.5 (†) 81.3 (†) 86.9 (†) 89.4 (†) 79.2 (†) 73.7 (†)
2017–18 to 2018–19 83.0 (†) 72.4 (†) 73.5 (†) 81.3 (†) 86.9 (†) 89.4 (†) 79.3 (†) 73.3 (†)
2018–19 to 2019–20 83.0 (†) 72.4 (†) 73.5 (†) 81.3 (†) 86.9 (†) 89.4 (†) 79.3 (†) 73.3 (†)
†Not applicable.
NOTE: The continuation rate for teachers for each of the two sectors (public schools and private schools) is the percentage of teachers in that sector who continued teaching in the same sector from the first year to the next. Standard errors appear in parentheses.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Teacher Follow up Survey (TFS), "Public School Teacher Questionnaire," 1994–95 through 2004–05 and "Private School Teacher Questionnaire," 1994–95 through 2004–05; and unpublished tabulations. (This table was prepared October 2010.)

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