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Projections of Education Statistics to 2019

NCES 2011-017
March 2011


Table 12.  Actual and projected numbers for high school graduates, by control of school: 199495 through 201920

School year Total Public Private
Actual      
1994–95 2,519,084 2,273,541 245,543
1995–96 1 2,518,109 2,273,109 245,000
1996–97 2,611,988 2,358,403 253,585
1997–98 1 2,704,050 2,439,050 265,000
1998–99 2,758,655 2,485,630 273,025
1999–2000 1 2,832,844 2,553,844 279,000
2000–01 2,847,973 2,569,200 278,773
2001–02 1 2,906,534 2,621,534 285,000
2002–03 3,015,702 2,719,947 295,755
2003–04 1 3,054,438 2,753,438 301,000
2004–05 3,106,499 2,799,250 307,249
2005–06 1 3,122,544 2,815,544 307,000
2006–07 3,198,956 2,892,351 306,605
Projected      
2007–08 3,325,370 3,011,060 314,310
2008–09 3,318,770 3,004,570 314,200
2009–10 3,306,220 2,991,310 314,910
2010–11 3,251,720 2,937,170 314,550
2011–12 3,221,990 2,905,990 316,000
2012–13 3,200,130 2,890,740 309,390
2013–14 3,176,300 2,868,100 308,200
2014–15 3,170,560 2,872,470 298,090
2015–16 3,201,060 2,906,330 294,730
2016–17 3,223,000 2,933,220 289,780
2017–18 3,273,690 2,988,630 285,060
2018–19 3,265,020 2,984,530 280,490
2019–20 3,245,900 2,953,060 292,840
1 Since the biennial Private School Universe Survey (PSS) is collected in the fall of odd-numbered years, private school numbers for alternate years are estimated based on data from the PSS.
NOTE: Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 1995–96 through 2007–08; Private School Universe Survey (PSS), selected years, 1993–94 through 2007–08; and National Elementary and Secondary High School Graduates Model, 1972–73 through 2006–07. (This table was prepared January 2010.)

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