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Projections of Education Statistics to 2019

NCES 2011-017
March 2011


Table 2.  Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools, by grade: Fall 1994 through fall 2019

[In thousands]
Year Total Grade
PK K 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Elementary
ungraded
Secondary
ungraded
Actual                                  
1994 44,111 603 3,444 3,593 3,440 3,439 3,426 3,372 3,381 3,404 3,302 3,604 3,131 2,748 2,488 492 244
1995 44,840 637 3,536 3,671 3,507 3,445 3,431 3,438 3,395 3,422 3,356 3,704 3,237 2,826 2,487 500 247
1996 45,611 670 3,532 3,770 3,600 3,524 3,454 3,453 3,494 3,464 3,403 3,801 3,323 2,930 2,586 399 208
1997 46,127 695 3,503 3,755 3,689 3,597 3,507 3,458 3,492 3,520 3,415 3,819 3,376 2,972 2,673 440 216
1998 46,539 729 3,443 3,727 3,681 3,696 3,592 3,520 3,497 3,530 3,480 3,856 3,382 3,021 2,722 449 214
1999 46,857 751 3,397 3,684 3,656 3,691 3,686 3,604 3,564 3,541 3,497 3,935 3,415 3,034 2,782 415 205
2000 47,204 776 3,382 3,636 3,634 3,676 3,711 3,707 3,663 3,629 3,538 3,963 3,491 3,083 2,803 334 177
2001 47,672 865 3,379 3,614 3,593 3,653 3,695 3,727 3,769 3,720 3,616 4,012 3,528 3,174 2,863 304 159
2002 48,183 915 3,434 3,594 3,565 3,623 3,669 3,711 3,788 3,821 3,709 4,105 3,584 3,229 2,990 285 161
2003 48,540 950 3,503 3,613 3,544 3,611 3,619 3,685 3,772 3,841 3,809 4,190 3,675 3,277 3,046 255 150
2004 48,795 990 3,544 3,663 3,560 3,580 3,612 3,635 3,735 3,818 3,825 4,281 3,750 3,369 3,094 215 122
2005 49,113 1,036 3,619 3,691 3,606 3,586 3,578 3,633 3,670 3,777 3,802 4,287 3,866 3,454 3,180 205 121
2006 49,316 1,084 3,631 3,751 3,641 3,627 3,586 3,602 3,660 3,716 3,766 4,260 3,882 3,551 3,277 170 110
2007 49,293 1,081 3,609 3,750 3,704 3,659 3,624 3,600 3,628 3,701 3,709 4,200 3,863 3,558 3,375 139 92
Projected                                  
2008 49,265 1,093 3,650 3,711 3,699 3,728 3,658 3,643 3,634 3,672 3,690 4,155 3,793 3,542 3,368 139 91
2009 49,312 1,109 3,703 3,752 3,660 3,723 3,727 3,676 3,677 3,677 3,661 4,134 3,753 3,478 3,353 139 90
2010 49,386 1,117 3,728 3,795 3,701 3,684 3,722 3,746 3,711 3,721 3,667 4,101 3,733 3,441 3,292 141 89
2011 49,554 1,124 3,752 3,820 3,743 3,725 3,683 3,741 3,781 3,755 3,710 4,107 3,704 3,423 3,257 142 89
2012 49,795 1,132 3,779 3,845 3,768 3,767 3,724 3,701 3,776 3,826 3,744 4,156 3,710 3,396 3,240 143 88
2013 50,088 1,142 3,812 3,874 3,792 3,792 3,766 3,742 3,736 3,821 3,815 4,194 3,753 3,401 3,215 145 88
2014 50,446 1,153 3,848 3,907 3,821 3,817 3,792 3,785 3,778 3,781 3,810 4,274 3,788 3,441 3,219 147 88
2015 50,827 1,164 3,886 3,944 3,854 3,845 3,816 3,811 3,820 3,823 3,769 4,268 3,860 3,473 3,257 148 89
2016 51,198 1,175 3,924 3,984 3,891 3,879 3,844 3,835 3,846 3,866 3,812 4,223 3,854 3,539 3,288 149 90
2017 51,583 1,186 3,961 4,023 3,929 3,916 3,878 3,864 3,871 3,892 3,855 4,270 3,814 3,534 3,350 150 91
2018 51,946 1,197 3,995 4,061 3,968 3,955 3,915 3,897 3,900 3,917 3,881 4,318 3,856 3,497 3,345 152 92
2019 52,342 1,206 4,027 4,096 4,005 3,994 3,954 3,934 3,934 3,947 3,906 4,348 3,900 3,536 3,310 153 93
NOTE: PK=prekindergarten. K=kindergarten. Elementary ungraded includes students in grades prekindergarten through 8 who are in classes or programs to which students are assigned without standard grade designations. Secondary ungraded includes students in grades 9 through 12 who are in classes or programs to which students are assigned without standard grade designations. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 1994–95 through 2007–08; and National Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1972–2007. (This table was prepared January 2010.)

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