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Projections of Education Statistics to 2019

NCES 2011-017
March 2011


Table 1.  Actual and projected numbers for enrollment in grades PK–12, PK–8, and 9–12 in elementary and secondary schools, by control of school: Fall 1994 through fall 2019

[In thousands]
Year Total   Public   Private
PK–121 PK–81 9–12 PK–12 PK–8 9–12 PK–121 PK–81 9–12
Actual                      
1994 2 50,106 36,752 13,354   44,111 31,896 12,215   5,994 4,856 1,138
1995 50,759 37,094 13,665   44,840 32,338 12,502   5,918 4,756 1,163
1996 2 51,544 37,517 14,027   45,611 32,762 12,849   5,933 4,755 1,178
1997 52,071 37,830 14,241   46,127 33,071 13,056   5,944 4,759 1,185
1998 2 52,526 38,119 14,407   46,539 33,344 13,195   5,988 4,776 1,212
1999 52,875 38,275 14,600   46,857 33,486 13,371   6,018 4,789 1,229
2000 2 53,373 38,592 14,781   47,204 33,686 13,517   6,169 4,906 1,264
2001 53,992 38,959 15,032   47,672 33,936 13,736   6,320 5,023 1,296
2002 2 54,403 39,029 15,374   48,183 34,114 14,069   6,220 4,915 1,306
2003 54,639 38,989 15,651   48,540 34,201 14,339   6,099 4,788 1,311
2004 2 54,882 38,933 15,949   48,795 34,178 14,618   6,087 4,756 1,331
2005 55,187 38,928 16,258   49,113 34,204 14,909   6,073 4,724 1,349
2006 2 55,307 38,866 16,441   49,316 34,235 15,081   5,991 4,631 1,360
2007 55,203 38,751 16,451   49,293 34,205 15,087   5,910 4,546 1,364
Projected                      
2008 55,234 38,890 16,345   49,265 34,316 14,949   5,969 4,574 1,395
2009 55,282 39,086 16,196   49,312 34,505 14,807   5,970 4,580 1,389
2010 55,350 39,312 16,038   49,386 34,730 14,657   5,964 4,582 1,382
2011 55,515 39,572 15,943   49,554 34,974 14,580   5,961 4,598 1,363
2012 55,757 39,828 15,929   49,795 35,206 14,589   5,962 4,622 1,340
2013 56,063 40,094 15,969   50,088 35,437 14,651   5,975 4,657 1,318
2014 56,442 40,338 16,104   50,446 35,636 14,810   5,995 4,702 1,294
2015 56,859 40,637 16,221   50,827 35,881 14,946   6,031 4,757 1,275
2016 57,273 41,006 16,267   51,198 36,205 14,993   6,075 4,801 1,274
2017 57,709 41,369 16,340   51,583 36,526 15,058   6,126 4,844 1,282
2018 58,129 41,723 16,407   51,946 36,838 15,108   6,184 4,885 1,298
2019 58,590 42,083 16,507   52,342 37,156 15,186   6,248 4,927 1,321
1 Includes private nursery and prekindergarten enrollment in schools that offer kindergarten or higher grades.
2 Since the biennial Private School Universe Survey (PSS) is collected in the fall of odd-numbered years, private school numbers for alternate years are estimated based on data from the PSS.
NOTE: PK=prekindergarten. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A-2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 1994–95 through 2007–08; Private School Universe Survey (PSS), selected years 1995–96 through 2007–08; and National Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1972–2007. (This table was prepared January 2010.)

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