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Projections of Education Statistics to 2018

NCES 2009-062
September 2009


Table B-6.  Actual and alternative projected numbers for macroeconomic measures of the economy: School years 1993–94 through 2018–19

[In thousands]

School year Disposable income
per capita in
constant 2006–07 dollars1
Education revenue receipts
from state sources
per capita in
constant 2006–07 dollars2
Consumer Price Index
       
Actual      
1993–94 $25,229 $630 0.716
1994–95 25,752 658 0.737
1995–96 26,033 677 0.757
1996–97 26,574 697 0.779
1997–98 27,538 729 0.793
1998–99 28,476 761 0.806
1999–2000 29,159 797 0.829
2000–01 29,829 824 0.858
2001–02 30,427 829 0.873
2002–03 30,588 833 0.892
2003–04 31,409 819 0.912
2004–05 31,949 829 0.939
2005–06 32,310 838 0.975
Middle alternative projections      
2006–073 33,115 846 1.000
2007–083 33,548 861 1.037
2008–09 33,954 872 1.053
2009–10 34,074 874 1.056
2010–11 34,122 873 1.088
2011–12 34,713 890 1.117
2012–13 35,413 912 1.143
2013–14 36,202 937 1.171
2014–15 37,245 971 1.195
2015–16 38,241 1,004 1.218
2016–17 39,098 1,033 1.244
2017–18 39,965 1,062 1.269
2018–19 40,583 1,083 1.289
Low alternative projections      
2006–073 33,115 846 1.000
2007–083 33,548 861 1.037
2008–09 34,051 875 1.047
2009–10 33,952 870 1.039
2010–11 33,521 855 1.077
2011–12 33,776 861 1.122
2012–13 34,251 876 1.159
2013–14 34,879 896 1.196
2014–15 35,862 928 1.229
2015–16 36,848 961 1.261
2016–17 37,673 988 1.296
2017–18 38,464 1,015 1.332
2018–19 39,023 1,033 1.361
High alternative projections      
2006–073 33,115 846 1.000
2007–083 33,548 861 1.037
2008–09 33,966 873 1.057
2009–10 34,442 885 1.071
2010–11 34,816 895 1.104
2011–12 35,526 915 1.127
2012–13 36,302 939 1.145
2013–14 37,261 970 1.163
2014–15 38,417 1,007 1.181
2015–16 39,519 1,044 1.198
2016–17 40,492 1,077 1.219
2017–18 41,440 1,109 1.238
2018–19 42,094 1,131 1.254
1 Based on the price deflator for personal consumption expenditures, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor.
2 Based on the Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor.
3 Disposable income per capita and consumer price index numbers are actual numbers.
NOTE: Calculations were made using unrounded numbers. Some data have been revised from previously published figures.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), “National Public Education Financial Survey,” 1990–91 through 2005–06; Revenue Receipts From State Sources Model, 1971–72 through 2005–06; and IHS Global Insight, "U.S. Quarterly Model: November 2008 Long-Term-Projections." (This table was prepared December 2008.)

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