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Projections of Education Statistics to 2018

NCES 2009-062
September 2009


Table B-5.  Actual and projected numbers for fall enrollment in public elementary and secondary schools, change in fall enrollment from previous year, population, and fall enrollment as a ratio of the population: 1993–94 through 2018–19

[In thousands]

School year Fall enrollment
(in thousands)
Change in fall
enrollment from
previous year
(in thousands)
Population
(in millions)
Fall enrollment
as a ratio of
the population
         
Actual        
1993–94 43,465 642 260.3 0.167
1994–95 44,111 647 263.4 0.167
1995–96 44,840 729 266.6 0.168
1996–97 45,611 771 269.7 0.169
1997–98 46,127 516 272.9 0.169
1998–99 46,539 412 276.1 0.169
1999–2000 46,857 319 279.3 0.168
2000–01 47,204 346 282.4 0.167
2001–02 47,672 468 285.3 0.167
2002–03 48,183 511 288.2 0.167
2003–04 48,540 357 290.9 0.167
2004–05 48,795 255 293.6 0.166
2005–06 49,113 318 296.3 0.166
2006–07 49,299 186 299.2 0.165
Projected        
2007–08 49,470 171 302.0 0.164
2008–09 49,623 153 304.9 0.163
2009–10 49,788 165 307.6 0.162
2010–11 50,034 246 310.3 0.161
2011–12 50,349 315 312.9 0.161
2012–13 50,767 418 315.6 0.161
2013–14 51,239 472 318.3 0.161
2014–15 51,769 530 321.0 0.161
2015–16 52,346 577 323.7 0.162
2016–17 52,892 546 326.4 0.162
2017–18 53,426 534 329.1 0.162
2018–19 53,933 507 331.8 0.163
NOTE: Calculations were made using unrounded numbers. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Population projections are from the U.S. Census Bureau's middle series.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Commerce, Census Bureau, Population Estimates, retrieved October 27, 2008, from http://www.census.gov/popest/national/asrh/2006_nat_af.html; and Population Projections, retrieved October 29, 2008, from http://www.census.gov/ipc/www/usinterimproj/. U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 1993–94 through 2006–07; and Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 1972–2006. (This table was prepared December 2008.)

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