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Projections of Education Statistics to 2018

NCES 2009-062
September 2009


Table 33.  Actual and alternative projected numbers for the pupil/teacher ratios in elementary and secondary schools, by control of school: Fall 1993 through fall 2018

Year Total   Public   Private
           
Actual
1993 17.2   17.4   16.7
1994 1 17.1   17.3   16.2
1995 17.1   17.3   15.7
1996 1 16.9   17.1   15.5
1997 16.6   16.8   15.2
1998 1 16.3   16.4   15.0
1999 15.9   16.1   14.7
2000 1 15.9   16.0   14.5
2001 15.7   15.9   14.3
2002 1 15.7   15.9   14.1
2003 15.7   15.9   13.8
2004 1 15.5   15.8   13.7
2005 15.4   15.6   13.5
2006 1 15.2   15.5   13.2
Middle alternative projections
2007 2 15.1   15.4   13.0
2008 15.0   15.3   12.9
2009 15.0   15.3   12.8
2010 15.0   15.3   12.8
2011 14.9   15.2   12.8
2012 14.8   15.1   12.7
2013 14.7   15.0   12.6
2014 14.6   14.9   12.6
2015 14.5   14.8   12.5
2016 14.4   14.7   12.4
2017 14.3   14.6   12.3
2018 14.2   14.5   12.2
Low alternative projections
2007 2 15.1   15.4   13.0
2008 15.0   15.3   12.9
2009 15.0   15.3   12.8
2010 14.9   15.2   12.8
2011 14.8   15.1   12.7
2012 14.7   15.0   12.6
2013 14.6   14.9   12.5
2014 14.5   14.8   12.5
2015 14.4   14.7   12.4
2016 14.3   14.6   12.3
2017 14.2   14.4   12.2
2018 14.1   14.3   12.1
High alternative projections
2007 2 15.1   15.4   13.0
2008 15.0   15.3   12.9
2009 15.0   15.4   12.8
2010 15.1   15.4   12.8
2011 15.0   15.3   12.9
2012 15.0   15.2   12.8
2013 14.9   15.2   12.7
2014 14.8   15.0   12.7
2015 14.7   14.9   12.6
2016 14.6   14.8   12.5
2017 14.4   14.7   12.4
2018 14.4   14.6   12.3
1 Private school numbers are estimated.
2 The private school number is an actual number from the 200708 PSS.
NOTE: The pupil/teacher ratios were derived from tables 1 and 32. Teachers reported in full-time equivalents. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 199394 through 200607; Private School Universe Survey (PSS), selected years, 199394 through 200708; National Elementary and Secondary Enrollment Model, 19722006; and Elementary and Secondary Teacher Model, 19732005. (This table was prepared March 2009.)

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