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Projections of Education Statistics to 2018

NCES 2009-062
September 2009


Table 32.  Actual and alternative projected numbers for elementary and secondary teachers and elementary and secondary new teacher hires, by control of school: Fall 1993 through fall 2018

[In thousands]

Year Number of teachers, by control   Number of new teacher hires, by control
Total   Public   Private Total   Public   Private
                       
Actual
1993 2,874   2,504   364      
1994 1 2,925   2,552   370      
1995 2,974   2,598   376      
1996 1 3,051   2,667   384      
1997 3,138   2,746   391      
1998 1 3,230   2,830   400      
1999 3,319   2,911   408   305   222   83
2000 1 3,366   2,941   424      
2001 3,440   3,000   441      
2002 1 3,476   3,034   442      
2003 3,490   3,049   441   303   236   67
2004 2 3,536   3,091   445   377   296   81
2005 3 3,593   3,143   450   364   285   79
2006 2 3,637   3,180   456   365   284   82
Middle alternative projections                      
2007 4 3,665   3,205   456   356   279   77
2008 3,689   3,233   456   365   289   76
2009 3,705   3,249   456   359   283   76
2010 3,725   3,271   454   370   295   75
2011 3,763   3,310   453   389   314   75
2012 3,812   3,358   454   406   329   77
2013 3,867   3,410   457   414   336   79
2014 3,933   3,473   460   429   349   80
2015 4,001   3,536   465   435   352   83
2016 4,069   3,599   470   440   356   84
2017 4,141   3,665   476   448   362   86
2018 4,205   3,722   483   445   357   88
Low alternative projections                      
2007 4 3,665   3,205   456   356   279   77
2008 3,691   3,235   456   366   290   76
2009 3,699   3,243   456   352   276   76
2010 3,706   3,253   453   357   282   74
2011 3,736   3,285   451   380   307   74
2012 3,780   3,329   451   399   323   76
2013 3,831   3,378   453   408   330   78
2014 3,896   3,440   456   425   346   79
2015 3,964   3,504   460   433   350   82
2016 4,033   3,567   466   437   353   83
2017 4,103   3,632   472   443   358   85
2018 4,166   3,688   478   440   354   87
High alternative projections                      
2007 4 3,665   3,205   456   356   279   77
2008 3,690   3,235   456   366   290   76
2009 3,717   3,261   456   370   294   76
2010 3,747   3,292   456   381   304   77
2011 3,789   3,332   456   395   318   77
2012 3,839   3,382   458   410   331   78
2013 3,897   3,437   460   420   341   80
2014 3,966   3,502   464   435   354   81
2015 4,037   3,568   469   441   357   84
2016 4,108   3,634   474   446   361   85
2017 4,182   3,701   480   453   367   87
2018 4,247   3,759   487   450   361   89
—Not available.
1 Since the biennial Private School Universe Survey (PSS) is collected in the fall of odd numbered years, private school numbers for alternate years are estimated based on data from the PSS.
2 Since the biennial Private School Universe Survey (PSS) is collected in the fall of odd numbered years, counts of private school teachers for alternate years are estimated based on data from the PSS. Public and private new teacher hire numbers are estimated using the New Teacher Hires Model. Numbers are estimated.
3 Public and private new teacher hire numbers are estimated using the New Teacher Hires Model.
4 The private school teacher number is an actual number from the 200708 PSS.
NOTE: Number of teachers reported in full-time equivalents. Some data have been revised from previously published figures. Detail may not sum to totals because of rounding. Mean absolute percentage errors of selected education statistics can be found in table A2, appendix A.
SOURCE: U.S. Department of Education, National Center for Education Statistics, Common Core of Data (CCD), "State Nonfiscal Survey of Public Elementary/Secondary Education," 199394 through 200607; Private School Universe Survey (PSS), selected years, 199394 through 200708; Elementary and Secondary Teacher Model, 19732005; and New Teacher Hires Model, 19882004. (This table was prepared December 2008.)

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